The Genesis Collection ×7+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Bullfrog
2x $0.35
MAGnitude
1x $0.36
Focus
1x $0.38
Broken Record
2x $0.39
Trigger Discipline
1x $0.58
Exchanger
2x $0.41
↓
Possible Outputs
Random Access
10.0% $19.63
Core Breach
10.0% $8.43
Nuclear Garden
10.0% $8.25
Liquidation
14.0% $7.67
Cat Fight
14.0% $2.21
Angel Eyes
14.0% $2.13
Max Win
$19.63 (+335.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.88 (+30.4%)
Win %
44.0%
Volatility
+118.6%
Cost
$4.51
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.51
Ask Price EV $5.88 (+30.4%)
Bid Price EV $5.55 (+22.9%)
Ask Profit $1.37 (+30.4%)
Bid Profit $1.04 (+22.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.33 (+7.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.37
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.04
Risk
Win Probability 44.0%
Loss Probability 56.0%
Best Case $19.63 (+335.3%)
Worst Case $2.00 (-55.7%)
Volatility +118.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 56.0%
Avg Win +$6.18
Avg Loss -$2.41
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.00 (-55.7%)
Std Dev $5.35
Avg Norm Float 0.1397
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 148h 57m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | MAGnitude
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Focus
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Broken Record
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Minimal Wear
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Broken Record
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Trigger Discipline
—
Minimal Wear
$0.58 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Exchanger
—
Minimal Wear
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Co-Processor
—
Minimal Wear
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Exchanger
—
Minimal Wear
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 04M 06S //TOTAL COST $4.51 //ASK PRICE EV $5.88 //BID PRICE EV $5.55 //ASK PROFIT $1.37 (+30.4%) //BID PROFIT $1.04 (+22.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 44.0% //BEST CASE $19.63 //VOLATILITY +118.6% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$19.63
+$15.12
+335.3%
$19.52
+$15.01
+332.8%
$0.11
0.6%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$8.43
+$3.92
+86.9%
$8.05
+$3.54
+78.5%
$0.38
4.5%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$8.25
+$3.74
+83.0%
$7.16
+$2.65
+58.8%
$1.09
13.3%
—
BIG WIN
14.0%
$7.67
+$3.16
+70.0%
$6.71
+$2.20
+48.8%
$0.96
12.5%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$2.21
-$2.30
-51.1%
$2.04
-$2.47
-54.8%
$0.17
7.6%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$2.13
-$2.38
-52.8%
$2.03
-$2.48
-55.0%
$0.10
4.6%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$2.05
-$2.46
-54.5%
$2.03
-$2.48
-55.0%
$0.02
1.0%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$2.00
-$2.51
-55.7%
$1.99
-$2.52
-55.9%
$0.01
0.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1397,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 2.1270000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 2.12,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 2.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:05:03.414401Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1397,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 7.667,
"optimistic_value": 7.66,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 6.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:53.771865Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1397,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 2.2075,
"optimistic_value": 2.19,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 2.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:37:40.271248Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1397,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 2.0505,
"optimistic_value": 2.04,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 2.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:10.566851Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1397,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 2,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 1.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:37.128223Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06985,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8b56130194c8",
"realistic_value": 19.634,
"optimistic_value": 19.62,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Random Access",
"conservative_value": 19.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Random Access (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:06:49.743750Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8b56130194c8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.09778999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96e7c9f4d6b6",
"realistic_value": 8.254,
"optimistic_value": 8.24,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden",
"conservative_value": 7.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:00.670069Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96e7c9f4d6b6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1397,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7444d53b5e17",
"realistic_value": 8.428,
"optimistic_value": 8.4,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Core Breach",
"conservative_value": 8.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Core Breach (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:11:45.432521Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7444d53b5e17.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_31d111f057895b870fda0101",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "523123940968782754",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:13.701508Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-e8947585ba24",
"listing_id": "514116741796993650",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8947585ba24.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:38.674158Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-e051c197f5af",
"listing_id": "514116688950234174",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Focus (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Focus",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e051c197f5af.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:10:11.036438Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-fb7ae83c1e81",
"listing_id": "641341944860654767",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Broken Record",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb7ae83c1e81.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:36.175132Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "511864888985506221",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:13.701508Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-fb7ae83c1e81",
"listing_id": "524249529997681095",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Broken Record",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb7ae83c1e81.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:36.175132Z"
},
{
"price": 0.58,
"skin_id": "skin-ab9a15ef8110",
"listing_id": "643593816553635061",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Trigger Discipline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab9a15ef8110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:10:38.384656Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"listing_id": "501731789729328713",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:06:59.737036Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"listing_id": "508487242221843518",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:01:38.376302Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"listing_id": "505109489448960284",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:06:59.737036Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:7+collection-set-nuke-2:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×7+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Random Access 10.0% $4.26 Liquidation 14.0% $4.01 Nuclear Garden 10.0% $3.34 Core Breach 10.0% $1.48 Cat Fight 14.0% $1.13 Continuum 14.0% $1.06 | $4.26 +125.3% | $2.06 +9.2% | 34.0% | +64.2% | $1.89 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Nuclear Garden 10.0% $55.76 Core Breach 10.0% $29.13 Random Access 10.0% $19.63 Liquidation 14.0% $19.42 Cat Fight 14.0% $6.50 Angel Eyes 14.0% $6.27 | $55.76 +240.8% | $16.67 +1.9% | 44.0% | +86.4% | $16.36 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×6+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Random Access 13.3% $19.63 Core Breach 13.3% $8.43 Nuclear Garden 13.3% $8.25 Liquidation 12.0% $7.67 Cat Fight 12.0% $2.21 Angel Eyes 12.0% $2.13 | $19.63 +271.2% | $6.77 +27.9% | 52.0% | +99.9% | $5.29 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×4+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Random Access 20.0% $4.26 Liquidation 8.0% $4.01 Nuclear Garden 20.0% $3.34 Core Breach 20.0% $1.47 Cat Fight 8.0% $1.13 Continuum 8.0% $1.07 | $4.26 +118.4% | $2.48 +27.0% | 48.0% | +62.3% | $1.95 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Random Access 23.3% $4.26 Liquidation 6.0% $4.01 Nuclear Garden 23.3% $3.34 Core Breach 23.3% $1.47 Cat Fight 6.0% $1.13 Continuum 6.0% $1.07 | $4.26 +103.8% | $2.61 +25.0% | 52.7% | +57.6% | $2.09 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×5+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Random Access 16.7% $4.28 Liquidation 10.0% $4.01 Nuclear Garden 16.7% $3.34 Core Breach 16.7% $1.46 Cat Fight 10.0% $1.13 Continuum 10.0% $1.08 | $4.28 +117.2% | $2.34 +18.9% | 43.3% | +62.2% | $1.97 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×6+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Control Panel  20.0% $418.56 Remote Control  20.0% $94.77 Ice Coaled  20.0% $52.00 Smoking Kills  20.0% $47.40 Mirror Mosaic  20.0% $44.00 | $418.56 +278.8% | $131.35 +18.9% | 20.0% | +131.0% | $110.50 | — |