The Clutch Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Night Riot
2x $0.28
Urban Hazard
1x $0.29
Grip
2x $0.31
Pipsqueak
2x $0.49
Wurst Hölle
2x $0.50
Teal Graf
1x $0.87
↓
Possible Outputs
Sweet Little Angels
16.7% $10.28
Eye of Zapems
16.7% $9.60
Monster Melt
16.7% $8.66
Moonrise
10.0% $2.25
SWAG-7
10.0% $1.72
Arctic Wolf
10.0% $1.50
Max Win
$10.28 (+88.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.55 (+1.9%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+73.3%
Cost
$5.45
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $5.45
Ask Price EV $5.55 (+1.9%)
Bid Price EV $5.30 (-2.8%)
Ask Profit $0.10 (+1.9%)
Bid Profit $-0.15 (-2.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.26 (+4.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.10
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.15
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $10.28 (+88.7%)
Worst Case $1.22 (-77.6%)
Volatility +73.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$4.06
Avg Loss -$3.85
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.22 (-77.6%)
Std Dev $4.00
Avg Norm Float 0.1497
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 155h 40m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Urban Hazard
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Minimal Wear
$1.17 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 12M 25S //TOTAL COST $5.45 //ASK PRICE EV $5.55 //BID PRICE EV $5.30 //ASK PROFIT $0.10 (+1.9%) //BID PROFIT $-0.15 (-2.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $10.28 //VOLATILITY +73.3% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.1227704
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
16.7%
$10.28
+$4.83
+88.7%
$10.25
+$4.80
+88.1%
$0.03
0.3%
—
BIG WIN
16.7%
$9.60
+$4.15
+76.2%
$9.00
+$3.55
+65.1%
$0.60
6.3%
—
BIG WIN
16.7%
$8.66
+$3.21
+58.8%
$8.23
+$2.78
+51.0%
$0.43
4.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$2.25
-$3.20
-58.8%
$2.09
-$3.36
-61.7%
$0.16
7.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.72
-$3.73
-68.4%
$1.64
-$3.81
-69.9%
$0.08
4.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.50
-$3.95
-72.5%
$1.28
-$4.17
-76.5%
$0.22
14.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.29
-$4.16
-76.4%
$1.04
-$4.41
-80.9%
$0.25
19.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.22
-$4.23
-77.6%
$1.11
-$4.34
-79.6%
$0.11
9.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.127262,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 9.602,
"optimistic_value": 9,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:59:19.117251Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.12277039999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.2835,
"optimistic_value": 10.28,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:33.783721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.11229,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.6555,
"optimistic_value": 8.47,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:39:27.390749Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.097318,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 2.247,
"optimistic_value": 2.24,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 2.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:45.069175Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1377424,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 1.7245,
"optimistic_value": 1.7,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 1.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:24.106352Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.082346,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 1.287,
"optimistic_value": 1.28,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Lionfish (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T10:40:25.221598Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.119776,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 1.2205,
"optimistic_value": 1.21,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:50:14.460761Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.119776,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 1.5,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:59:04.862979Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_2505d9b2b25799e69b168ae7",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "518619491434524568",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:46.181061Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "494976443343237450",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:46.181061Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-87386812a8f9",
"listing_id": "523123940969224690",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-87386812a8f9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:24.133248Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-a70d55eb979d",
"listing_id": "523123888073084050",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a70d55eb979d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:19.515333Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-a70d55eb979d",
"listing_id": "498354037510657507",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a70d55eb979d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:19.515333Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "508487242222727030",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:05:23.053362Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "494976443342822334",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:05:06.250887Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "518619491421941344",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:05:23.053362Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "516368488726379318",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:38.287411Z"
},
{
"price": 1.17,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "500605942755438839",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:11:27.553081Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:5+collection-set-overpass-2024:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.28 Eye of Zapems 16.7% $9.60 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.66 Moonrise 10.0% $2.25 Arctic Wolf 10.0% $1.50 Lionfish 10.0% $1.29 | $10.28 +134.2% | $5.46 +24.4% | 50.0% | +81.4% | $4.39 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.28 Eye of Zapems 23.3% $9.60 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.66 Moonrise 6.0% $2.25 Arctic Wolf 6.0% $1.50 Lionfish 6.0% $1.29 | $10.28 +77.0% | $7.08 +21.9% | 70.0% | +53.7% | $5.81 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.28 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.55 Eye of Zapems 20.0% $7.50 Moonrise 8.0% $2.25 Arctic Wolf 8.0% $1.50 Lionfish 8.0% $1.29 | $10.28 +104.4% | $5.83 +16.0% | 60.0% | +63.4% | $5.03 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crakow!  20.0% $47.63 Dragon Snore  20.0% $33.05 Mortis  20.0% $5.96 Cortex  20.0% $5.71 Stymphalian  20.0% $5.38 | $47.63 +162.1% | $19.55 +7.6% | 40.0% | +96.8% | $18.17 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  60.0% $1,312.69 Bloodsport  20.0% $154.83 Neo-Noir  20.0% $83.22 | $1,312.69 +87.9% | $835.22 +19.6% | 60.0% | +83.8% | $698.57 | — |