The Clutch Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Grip
1x $0.39
Night Riot
4x $1.85
Wurst Hölle
4x $1.15
Teal Graf
1x $2.14
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
16.7% $26.89
Sweet Little Angels
16.7% $25.66
Monster Melt
16.7% $20.01
SWAG-7
10.0% $10.69
Arctic Wolf
10.0% $9.64
Wild Six
10.0% $6.02
Max Win
$26.89 (+48.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$15.64 (-13.8%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+49.6%
Cost
$18.15
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $18.15
Ask Price EV $15.64 (-13.8%)
Bid Price EV $15.43 (-15.0%)
Ask Profit $-2.51 (-13.8%)
Bid Profit $-2.72 (-15.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.20 (+1.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.51
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.72
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $26.89 (+48.2%)
Worst Case $3.81 (-79.0%)
Volatility +49.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$6.04
Avg Loss -$11.07
Bottom 5% Outcome $3.81 (-79.0%)
Std Dev $9.01
Avg Norm Float 0.0697
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 80h 19m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Factory New
$1.85 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Factory New
$2.56 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Factory New
$2.77 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Factory New
$3.08 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Minimal Wear
$1.15 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Minimal Wear
$1.17 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Minimal Wear
$1.49 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Minimal Wear
$1.55 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Factory New
$2.14 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 11M 38S //TOTAL COST $18.15 //ASK PRICE EV $15.64 //BID PRICE EV $15.43 //ASK PROFIT $-2.51 (-13.8%) //BID PROFIT $-2.72 (-15.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $26.89 //VOLATILITY +49.6% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
16.7%
$26.89
+$8.74
+48.2%
$26.46
+$8.31
+45.8%
$0.43
1.6%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Factory New | ƒ 0.0571622
The Overpass 2024 Collection
WIN
16.7%
$25.66
+$7.51
+41.4%
$25.62
+$7.47
+41.2%
$0.04
0.2%
—
SMALL WIN
16.7%
$20.01
+$1.86
+10.3%
$19.85
+$1.70
+9.4%
$0.16
0.8%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$10.69
-$7.46
-41.1%
$10.09
-$8.06
-44.4%
$0.60
5.6%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$9.64
-$8.51
-46.9%
$9.52
-$8.63
-47.5%
$0.12
1.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$6.02
-$12.13
-66.8%
$5.95
-$12.20
-67.2%
$0.07
1.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$5.26
-$12.89
-71.0%
$5.23
-$12.92
-71.2%
$0.03
0.5%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$3.81
-$14.34
-79.0%
$3.65
-$14.50
-79.9%
$0.16
4.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.059253499999999994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 26.892,
"optimistic_value": 26.57,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 26.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:25.248120Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.05716219999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 25.661,
"optimistic_value": 25.64,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 25.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T08:04:07.969401Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.052282499999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 20.0135,
"optimistic_value": 19.87,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 19.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:07:35.449570Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0453115,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 5.2575,
"optimistic_value": 5.24,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 5.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:15.924515Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0641332,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 10.6915,
"optimistic_value": 10.59,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 10.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:50:14.335502Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0383405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 3.807,
"optimistic_value": 3.8,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Lionfish (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:55.923643Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.055768,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 6.0245,
"optimistic_value": 6,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 5.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:17.295668Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.055768,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 9.641,
"optimistic_value": 9.62,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 9.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:07:18.512250Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_2505d9b2b25799e69b168ae7",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-a70d55eb979d",
"listing_id": "498354037510657507",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a70d55eb979d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:19.515333Z"
},
{
"price": 1.85,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "498354089953989859",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:58:42.330567Z"
},
{
"price": 2.56,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "514115891833693782",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:58:42.330567Z"
},
{
"price": 2.77,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "520872035663982948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:58:42.330567Z"
},
{
"price": 3.08,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "502857524062905616",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:58:42.330567Z"
},
{
"price": 1.15,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "498354142900856119",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:11:27.553081Z"
},
{
"price": 1.17,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "500605942755438839",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:11:27.553081Z"
},
{
"price": 1.49,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "516368541588556442",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:11:27.553081Z"
},
{
"price": 1.55,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "517494336190410286",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:11:27.553081Z"
},
{
"price": 2.14,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "518620341244248292",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:42.662684Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:5+collection-set-overpass-2024:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.28 Eye of Zapems 16.7% $9.60 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.66 Moonrise 10.0% $2.25 Arctic Wolf 10.0% $1.50 Lionfish 10.0% $1.29 | $10.28 +134.2% | $5.46 +24.4% | 50.0% | +81.4% | $4.39 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.28 Eye of Zapems 16.7% $9.60 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.66 Moonrise 10.0% $2.25 SWAG-7 10.0% $1.72 Arctic Wolf 10.0% $1.50 | $10.28 +88.7% | $5.55 +1.9% | 50.0% | +64.3% | $5.45 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.28 Eye of Zapems 23.3% $9.60 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.66 Moonrise 6.0% $2.25 Arctic Wolf 6.0% $1.50 Lionfish 6.0% $1.29 | $10.28 +77.0% | $7.08 +21.9% | 70.0% | +53.7% | $5.81 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.28 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.55 Eye of Zapems 20.0% $7.50 Moonrise 8.0% $2.25 Arctic Wolf 8.0% $1.50 Lionfish 8.0% $1.29 | $10.28 +104.4% | $5.83 +16.0% | 60.0% | +63.4% | $5.03 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crakow!  20.0% $47.63 Dragon Snore  20.0% $33.05 Mortis  20.0% $5.96 Cortex  20.0% $5.71 Stymphalian  20.0% $5.38 | $47.63 +162.1% | $19.55 +7.6% | 40.0% | +96.8% | $18.17 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  60.0% $1,312.69 Bloodsport  20.0% $154.83 Neo-Noir  20.0% $83.22 | $1,312.69 +87.9% | $835.22 +19.6% | 60.0% | +83.8% | $698.57 | — |