The Clutch Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Night Riot
2x $0.28
Urban Hazard
1x $0.29
Grip
2x $0.31
Metallic Squeezer
1x $0.37
Teal Graf
3x $0.40
Wurst Hölle
1x $0.50
↓
Possible Outputs
Sweet Little Angels
16.7% $10.28
Monster Melt
16.7% $8.50
Eye of Zapems
16.7% $7.50
Moonrise
10.0% $2.25
Arctic Wolf
10.0% $1.50
Lionfish
10.0% $1.29
Max Win
$10.28 (+135.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.09 (+16.8%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+86.5%
Cost
$4.36
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.36
Ask Price EV $5.09 (+16.8%)
Bid Price EV $4.70 (+7.9%)
Ask Profit $0.73 (+16.8%)
Bid Profit $0.34 (+7.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.39 (+8.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.73
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.34
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $10.28 (+135.9%)
Worst Case $0.82 (-81.3%)
Volatility +86.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$4.40
Avg Loss -$2.94
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.82 (-81.3%)
Std Dev $3.77
Avg Norm Float 0.1762
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 154h 41m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Urban Hazard
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Field-Tested
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.66 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 14M 49S //TOTAL COST $4.36 //ASK PRICE EV $5.09 //BID PRICE EV $4.70 //ASK PROFIT $0.73 (+16.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.34 (+7.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $10.28 //VOLATILITY +86.5% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.1445168
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
16.7%
$10.28
+$5.92
+135.9%
$10.25
+$5.89
+135.1%
$0.03
0.3%
—
BIG WIN
16.7%
$8.50
+$4.14
+95.0%
$8.23
+$3.87
+88.8%
$0.27
3.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.7%
$7.50
+$3.14
+72.0%
$6.00
+$1.64
+37.6%
$1.50
20.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$2.25
-$2.11
-48.5%
$2.09
-$2.27
-52.1%
$0.16
7.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.50
-$2.86
-65.6%
$1.28
-$3.08
-70.6%
$0.22
14.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.29
-$3.07
-70.5%
$1.04
-$3.32
-76.1%
$0.25
19.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.27
-$3.10
-71.0%
$1.11
-$3.25
-74.5%
$0.16
12.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.82
-$3.54
-81.3%
$0.72
-$3.64
-83.5%
$0.10
11.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.149804,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 7.5,
"optimistic_value": 6,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:08:15.713256Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1445168,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.2835,
"optimistic_value": 10.28,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:31.490215Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.13218000000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.503499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 8.29,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:07.829188Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.114556,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 2.247,
"optimistic_value": 2.24,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 2.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:45.069175Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1621408,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 0.8170000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 0.81,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 0.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:23.309311Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.09693200000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 1.287,
"optimistic_value": 1.28,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Lionfish (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T10:40:25.221598Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.140992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 1.2650000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.23,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:33:39.035405Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.140992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 1.5,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:08:01.420074Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_2505d9b2b25799e69b168ae7",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "518619491434524568",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:05:04.233103Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "503982792736258675",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:05:04.233103Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-87386812a8f9",
"listing_id": "523123940969224690",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-87386812a8f9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:08:03.883938Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-a70d55eb979d",
"listing_id": "523123888073084050",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a70d55eb979d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:28.548084Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-a70d55eb979d",
"listing_id": "498354037510657507",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a70d55eb979d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:28.548084Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "492724643508409833",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:24:14.260695Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "506235442368101796",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:15:59.082766Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "502857742727323396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:15:08.691011Z"
},
{
"price": 0.66,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "520872141038972316",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:03:06.436567Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "516368488726379318",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:03:06.436567Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:5+collection-set-overpass-2024:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.28 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.45 Moonrise 8.0% $2.25 Arctic Wolf 8.0% $1.50 Wild Six 8.0% $1.48 | $10.49 +111.1% | $6.43 +29.4% | 60.0% | +70.8% | $4.97 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.59 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.28 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.50 Moonrise 6.0% $2.25 Arctic Wolf 6.0% $1.50 Lionfish 6.0% $1.29 | $10.59 +87.4% | $7.28 +28.9% | 70.0% | +57.9% | $5.65 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sweet Little Angels 30.0% $10.28 Monster Melt 30.0% $8.55 Eye of Zapems 30.0% $7.50 Moonrise 2.0% $2.25 Arctic Wolf 2.0% $1.50 Lionfish 2.0% $1.29 | $10.28 +35.7% | $8.04 +6.1% | 60.0% | +26.8% | $7.58 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crakow!  20.0% $47.63 Dragon Snore  20.0% $33.19 Mortis  20.0% $5.96 Cortex  20.0% $5.69 Stymphalian  20.0% $5.45 | $47.63 +156.8% | $19.58 +5.6% | 40.0% | +94.9% | $18.55 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  70.0% $1,312.69 Bloodsport  15.0% $154.83 Neo-Noir  15.0% $83.05 | $1,312.69 +59.3% | $954.56 +15.9% | 70.0% | +66.4% | $823.80 | — |