The Glove Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Black Sand
2x $1.12
Ironwork
1x $1.35
Polymer
1x $1.61
RMX
1x $0.43
Fragment
1x $0.52
Zubastick
3x $0.57
↓
Possible Outputs
Cyrex
8.0% $34.05
Gila
8.0% $17.92
Flashback
8.0% $13.21
Royal Consorts
8.0% $9.89
Stinger
8.0% $8.24
Electrum
12.0% $7.00
Max Win
$34.05 (+288.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$9.27 (+5.8%)
Win %
32.0%
Volatility
+97.1%
Cost
$8.76
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $8.76
Ask Price EV $9.27 (+5.8%)
Bid Price EV $8.80 (+0.5%)
Ask Profit $0.51 (+5.8%)
Bid Profit $0.04 (+0.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.47 (+5.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.51
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.04
Risk
Win Probability 32.0%
Loss Probability 68.0%
Best Case $34.05 (+288.7%)
Worst Case $3.15 (-64.0%)
Volatility +97.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$10.01
Avg Loss -$3.96
Bottom 5% Outcome $3.15 (-64.0%)
Std Dev $8.51
Avg Norm Float 0.1273
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 15m
Oldest Output Price 146h 10m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Field-Tested
$1.12 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Field-Tested
$1.16 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Ironwork
—
Field-Tested
$1.35 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Polymer
—
Minimal Wear
$1.61 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Minimal Wear
$0.57 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Minimal Wear
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Minimal Wear
$0.64 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.77 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 45M 39S //TOTAL COST $8.76 //ASK PRICE EV $9.27 //BID PRICE EV $8.80 //ASK PROFIT $0.51 (+5.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.04 (+0.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 32.0% //BEST CASE $34.05 //VOLATILITY +97.1% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$34.05
+$25.29
+288.7%
$33.35
+$24.59
+280.7%
$0.70
2.1%
—
BIG WIN
8.0%
$17.92
+$9.16
+104.6%
$17.55
+$8.79
+100.3%
$0.37
2.1%
—
BIG WIN
8.0%
$13.21
+$4.45
+50.8%
$12.39
+$3.63
+41.4%
$0.82
6.2%
—
SMALL WIN
8.0%
$9.89
+$1.13
+12.9%
$9.74
+$0.98
+11.2%
$0.15
1.5%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$8.24
-$0.52
-5.9%
$8.14
-$0.62
-7.1%
$0.10
1.2%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$7.00
-$1.76
-20.1%
$5.93
-$2.83
-32.3%
$1.07
15.2%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$5.02
-$3.74
-42.7%
$3.97
-$4.79
-54.7%
$1.05
20.9%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$3.28
-$5.48
-62.6%
$3.15
-$5.61
-64.0%
$0.13
3.8%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$3.26
-$5.50
-62.7%
$3.12
-$5.64
-64.4%
$0.14
4.4%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$3.15
-$5.61
-64.0%
$3.08
-$5.68
-64.8%
$0.07
2.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-15|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.12726,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 5.0200000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 4.95,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 3.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:12:02.254588Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.12726,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.275,
"optimistic_value": 3.24,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 3.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:42:38.911963Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.12726,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 6.997,
"optimistic_value": 6.99,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 5.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:54.312286Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.12726,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 3.2635,
"optimistic_value": 3.26,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 3.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:40:31.986953Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.12726,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 3.151,
"optimistic_value": 3.13,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:37:26.840609Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.12726,
"output_skin_id": "skin-54963e630d31",
"realistic_value": 9.889,
"optimistic_value": 9.84,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts",
"conservative_value": 9.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:55:07.689543Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-54963e630d31.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.08908200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-00b8673938d7",
"realistic_value": 8.241999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 8.2,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger",
"conservative_value": 8.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:59.223520Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-00b8673938d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.12726,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3795f6827a11",
"realistic_value": 13.2125,
"optimistic_value": 13.16,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 12.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T15:10:44.174937Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3795f6827a11.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.038178000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b935cdf1da4b",
"realistic_value": 17.919,
"optimistic_value": 17.66,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Gila",
"conservative_value": 17.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Gila (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:22:26.067480Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b935cdf1da4b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06999300000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-95653cc7fb0e",
"realistic_value": 34.054,
"optimistic_value": 34.04,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cyrex",
"conservative_value": 33.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Cyrex (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:49:56.407117Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-95653cc7fb0e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_2437ec81b14edbe7fda41efe",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.12,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "502857637416045316",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:20.289968Z"
},
{
"price": 1.16,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "527627322006920552",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:20.289968Z"
},
{
"price": 1.35,
"skin_id": "skin-19a7e921eb77",
"listing_id": "626702889934242064",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Ironwork (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Ironwork",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-19a7e921eb77.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:06.801870Z"
},
{
"price": 1.61,
"skin_id": "skin-6f20b68a8c63",
"listing_id": "791079303168381102",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Polymer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f20b68a8c63.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:55:09.307128Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "491598690700057406",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:55:09.445620Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "507361289453751817",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:57:39.652121Z"
},
{
"price": 0.57,
"skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
"listing_id": "499479989897047261",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:55:29.743379Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
"listing_id": "512990789045291351",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:55:29.743379Z"
},
{
"price": 0.64,
"skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
"listing_id": "514116688949983218",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:55:29.743379Z"
},
{
"price": 0.77,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "525374890948044523",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:10.458159Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-15:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Flashback 8.0% $119.03 Royal Consorts 8.0% $44.55 Cyrex 8.0% $34.05 Stinger 8.0% $19.50 Electrum 12.0% $19.50 Gila 8.0% $17.92 | $119.03 +445.8% | $26.48 +21.4% | 24.0% | +124.0% | $21.81 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Flashback 6.0% $119.03 Royal Consorts 6.0% $44.55 Cyrex 6.0% $34.05 Stinger 6.0% $19.50 Electrum 14.0% $19.50 Gila 6.0% $17.92 | $119.03 +549.4% | $23.06 +25.8% | 38.0% | +132.7% | $18.33 | — |
The Glove Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Flashback 4.0% $119.03 Royal Consorts 4.0% $44.55 Cyrex 4.0% $34.05 Stinger 4.0% $19.50 Electrum 16.0% $19.50 Gila 4.0% $17.92 | $119.03 +606.8% | $19.64 +16.6% | 36.0% | +122.9% | $16.84 | — |
The Glove Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Flashback 10.0% $119.03 Royal Consorts 10.0% $44.55 Cyrex 10.0% $34.05 Stinger 10.0% $19.50 Electrum 10.0% $19.50 Gila 10.0% $17.92 | $119.03 +363.0% | $29.90 +16.3% | 30.0% | +113.6% | $25.71 | — |
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Flashback 2.0% $119.03 Royal Consorts 2.0% $44.55 Cyrex 2.0% $34.05 Stinger 2.0% $19.50 Electrum 18.0% $19.50 Gila 2.0% $17.92 | $119.03 +706.4% | $16.20 +9.8% | 28.0% | +104.1% | $14.76 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Mecha Industries  3.3% $52.58 Wasteland Princess  3.3% $52.30 Shallow Grave  3.3% $51.36 Crane Flight  30.0% $35.39 Deathgaze  30.0% $10.22 Kintsugi  30.0% $9.69 | $52.58 +180.1% | $21.80 +16.1% | 40.0% | +81.0% | $18.77 | — |
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New | Buzz Kill  5.0% $912.62 Dragonfire  5.0% $629.14 Queen's Gambit  45.0% $460.85 Fully Tuned  45.0% $379.68 | $912.62 +110.9% | $455.32 +5.2% | 55.0% | +27.9% | $432.79 | — |