The Glove Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Ironwork
1x $1.15
Polymer
1x $1.61
Black Sand
2x $2.31
Zubastick
1x $0.83
RMX
1x $2.08
Bock Blocks
3x $2.14
↓
Possible Outputs
Flashback
8.0% $119.03
Royal Consorts
8.0% $44.55
Cyrex
8.0% $34.05
Stinger
8.0% $19.50
Electrum
12.0% $19.50
Gila
8.0% $17.92
Max Win
$119.03 (+479.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$26.47 (+28.9%)
Win %
24.0%
Volatility
+141.6%
Cost
$20.54
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $20.54
Ask Price EV $26.47 (+28.9%)
Bid Price EV $24.86 (+21.0%)
Ask Profit $5.93 (+28.9%)
Bid Profit $4.32 (+21.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.61 (+7.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$5.93
Bid Slippage Buffer +$4.32
Risk
Win Probability 24.0%
Loss Probability 76.0%
Best Case $119.03 (+479.5%)
Worst Case $9.90 (-51.8%)
Volatility +141.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$45.34
Avg Loss -$6.51
Bottom 5% Outcome $9.90 (-51.8%)
Std Dev $29.08
Avg Norm Float 0.0696
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 145h 14m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Glock-18 | Ironwork
—
Field-Tested
$1.15 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Polymer
—
Minimal Wear
$1.61 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$3.45 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Minimal Wear
$0.83 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Factory New
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.14 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.20 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.21 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Factory New
$2.56 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 42M 23S //TOTAL COST $20.54 //ASK PRICE EV $26.47 //BID PRICE EV $24.86 //ASK PROFIT $5.93 (+28.9%) //BID PROFIT $4.32 (+21.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 24.0% //BEST CASE $119.03 //VOLATILITY +141.6% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$119.03
+$98.49
+479.5%
$109.91
+$89.37
+435.1%
$9.12
7.7%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$44.55
+$24.01
+116.9%
$41.59
+$21.05
+102.5%
$2.96
6.6%
—
BIG WIN
8.0%
$34.05
+$13.51
+65.8%
$33.35
+$12.81
+62.4%
$0.70
2.1%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$19.50
-$1.04
-5.0%
$19.06
-$1.48
-7.2%
$0.44
2.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$19.50
-$1.04
-5.1%
$17.32
-$3.22
-15.7%
$2.18
11.2%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$17.92
-$2.62
-12.8%
$17.55
-$2.99
-14.6%
$0.37
2.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$12.97
-$7.57
-36.9%
$11.57
-$8.97
-43.7%
$1.40
10.8%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$11.31
-$9.23
-44.9%
$10.69
-$9.85
-48.0%
$0.62
5.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$10.24
-$10.30
-50.2%
$10.09
-$10.45
-50.9%
$0.15
1.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$9.90
-$10.64
-51.8%
$9.86
-$10.68
-52.0%
$0.04
0.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-15|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 12.967,
"optimistic_value": 12.89,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 11.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T13:05:51.443586Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 11.311,
"optimistic_value": 11.29,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 10.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:36:49.347022Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 19.4975,
"optimistic_value": 19.34,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 17.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:57.497142Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 10.237,
"optimistic_value": 10.23,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 10.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:36:50.939414Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 9.897,
"optimistic_value": 9.89,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 9.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:40:14.838832Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-54963e630d31",
"realistic_value": 44.551500000000004,
"optimistic_value": 44.31,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts",
"conservative_value": 41.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:46:31.541057Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-54963e630d31.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.04874799999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-00b8673938d7",
"realistic_value": 19.503,
"optimistic_value": 19.09,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger",
"conservative_value": 19.06,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:42:26.491213Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-00b8673938d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3795f6827a11",
"realistic_value": 119.032,
"optimistic_value": 118.57,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 109.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:51:44.772567Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3795f6827a11.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.020891999999999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b935cdf1da4b",
"realistic_value": 17.919,
"optimistic_value": 17.66,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Gila",
"conservative_value": 17.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Gila (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:32.572473Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b935cdf1da4b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.038302,
"output_skin_id": "skin-95653cc7fb0e",
"realistic_value": 34.054,
"optimistic_value": 34.04,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cyrex",
"conservative_value": 33.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Cyrex (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:49:56.407117Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-95653cc7fb0e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_2437ec81b14edbe7fda41efe",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.15,
"skin_id": "skin-19a7e921eb77",
"listing_id": "500605889841658451",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Ironwork (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Ironwork",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-19a7e921eb77.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:51.147946Z"
},
{
"price": 1.61,
"skin_id": "skin-6f20b68a8c63",
"listing_id": "791079303168381102",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Polymer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f20b68a8c63.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:45:27.331848Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "521997988015041918",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:55:55.933214Z"
},
{
"price": 3.45,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "517494388633380082",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:55:55.933214Z"
},
{
"price": 0.83,
"skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
"listing_id": "632334745617362111",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:45:48.970083Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "505109437007186264",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | RMX (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:50:23.961625Z"
},
{
"price": 2.14,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "630083017705272354",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:42:48.867760Z"
},
{
"price": 2.2,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "525375688036676887",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:42:48.867760Z"
},
{
"price": 2.21,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "502857637418052784",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:42:48.867760Z"
},
{
"price": 2.56,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "498354089952808447",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:44:53.672519Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-15:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Cyrex 8.0% $34.05 Gila 8.0% $17.92 Flashback 8.0% $13.21 Royal Consorts 8.0% $9.85 Stinger 8.0% $8.24 Electrum 12.0% $7.00 | $34.05 +300.6% | $9.27 +9.0% | 32.0% | +88.9% | $8.50 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Flashback 6.0% $119.03 Royal Consorts 6.0% $44.55 Cyrex 6.0% $34.05 Stinger 6.0% $19.50 Electrum 14.0% $19.50 Gila 6.0% $17.92 | $119.03 +566.5% | $23.05 +29.1% | 44.0% | +136.2% | $17.86 | — |
The Glove Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Flashback 4.0% $119.03 Royal Consorts 4.0% $44.55 Cyrex 4.0% $34.05 Stinger 4.0% $19.50 Electrum 16.0% $19.50 Gila 4.0% $17.92 | $119.03 +659.1% | $19.64 +25.2% | 36.0% | +132.0% | $15.68 | — |
The Glove Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Flashback 10.0% $119.03 Royal Consorts 10.0% $44.55 Cyrex 10.0% $34.05 Stinger 10.0% $19.50 Electrum 10.0% $19.50 Gila 10.0% $17.92 | $119.03 +385.3% | $29.90 +21.9% | 30.0% | +119.1% | $24.53 | — |
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Flashback 2.0% $119.03 Royal Consorts 2.0% $44.55 Cyrex 2.0% $34.05 Stinger 2.0% $19.50 Electrum 18.0% $19.50 Gila 2.0% $17.92 | $119.03 +775.2% | $16.20 +19.2% | 28.0% | +113.0% | $13.60 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Mecha Industries  3.3% $52.58 Wasteland Princess  3.3% $52.30 Shallow Grave  3.3% $51.36 Crane Flight  30.0% $35.39 Kintsugi  30.0% $9.90 Deathgaze  30.0% $9.64 | $52.58 +175.1% | $21.69 +13.5% | 40.0% | +80.0% | $19.11 | — |
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New | Buzz Kill  5.0% $912.62 Dragonfire  5.0% $629.14 Queen's Gambit  45.0% $460.85 Fully Tuned  45.0% $379.68 | $912.62 +112.7% | $455.32 +6.1% | 55.0% | +28.1% | $428.97 | — |