The Glove Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Black Sand
3x $0.62
Sonar
1x $0.97
Fragment
4x $0.21
Bock Blocks
1x $0.25
RMX
1x $0.43
↓
Possible Outputs
Gila
8.0% $17.92
Cyrex
8.0% $7.04
Royal Consorts
8.0% $6.08
Stinger
8.0% $6.03
Flashback
8.0% $5.82
Electrum
12.0% $4.11
Max Win
$17.92 (+252.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.94 (-2.8%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+83.7%
Cost
$5.08
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.08
Ask Price EV $4.94 (-2.8%)
Bid Price EV $4.59 (-9.6%)
Ask Profit $-0.14 (-2.8%)
Bid Profit $-0.49 (-9.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.35 (+6.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.14
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.49
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $17.92 (+252.7%)
Worst Case $1.72 (-66.1%)
Volatility +83.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$3.50
Avg Loss -$2.57
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.72 (-66.1%)
Std Dev $4.25
Avg Norm Float 0.2302
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 15m
Oldest Output Price 145h 50m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Well-Worn
$0.62 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Field-Tested
$0.89 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Field-Tested
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Sonar
—
Minimal Wear
$0.97 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 45M 39S //TOTAL COST $5.08 //ASK PRICE EV $4.94 //BID PRICE EV $4.59 //ASK PROFIT $-0.14 (-2.8%) //BID PROFIT $-0.49 (-9.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $17.92 //VOLATILITY +83.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$17.92
+$12.84
+252.7%
$17.55
+$12.47
+245.5%
$0.37
2.1%
—
WIN
8.0%
$7.04
+$1.96
+38.6%
$6.64
+$1.56
+30.7%
$0.40
5.7%
—
WIN
8.0%
$6.08
+$1.00
+19.7%
$5.72
+$0.64
+12.6%
$0.36
5.9%
—
WIN
8.0%
$6.03
+$0.95
+18.7%
$5.49
+$0.41
+8.1%
$0.54
9.0%
—
SMALL WIN
8.0%
$5.82
+$0.74
+14.5%
$5.61
+$0.53
+10.4%
$0.21
3.5%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$4.11
-$0.97
-19.1%
$3.61
-$1.47
-28.9%
$0.50
12.2%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$2.79
-$2.29
-45.1%
$2.32
-$2.76
-54.3%
$0.47
16.8%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$2.19
-$2.89
-56.9%
$1.74
-$3.34
-65.7%
$0.45
20.4%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.76
-$3.32
-65.4%
$1.63
-$3.45
-67.9%
$0.13
7.2%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.72
-$3.36
-66.1%
$1.63
-$3.45
-67.9%
$0.09
5.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-15|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.23021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 2.787,
"optimistic_value": 2.78,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 2.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:10:34.264440Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.23021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 2.1870000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 2.18,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 1.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T21:44:11.833560Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.23021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 4.111,
"optimistic_value": 3.95,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 3.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:22.267196Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.23021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 1.7235,
"optimistic_value": 1.65,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 1.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:53:00.652155Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.23021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 1.7565,
"optimistic_value": 1.69,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 1.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:37:25.967489Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.23021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-54963e630d31",
"realistic_value": 6.0805,
"optimistic_value": 6,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts",
"conservative_value": 5.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:40:43.878009Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-54963e630d31.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.16114699999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-00b8673938d7",
"realistic_value": 6.0315,
"optimistic_value": 6,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger",
"conservative_value": 5.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:31.741370Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-00b8673938d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.23021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3795f6827a11",
"realistic_value": 5.8155,
"optimistic_value": 5.77,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 5.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:35:02.294840Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3795f6827a11.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.069063,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b935cdf1da4b",
"realistic_value": 17.919,
"optimistic_value": 17.66,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Gila",
"conservative_value": 17.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Gila (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:22:26.067480Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b935cdf1da4b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.12661550000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-95653cc7fb0e",
"realistic_value": 7.0405,
"optimistic_value": 7.03,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cyrex",
"conservative_value": 6.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:55:26.744620Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-95653cc7fb0e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_2437ec81b14edbe7fda41efe",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.62,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "507361289453329069",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:00.899461Z"
},
{
"price": 0.89,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "526501587738121217",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:20.289968Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "526501587738123809",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:20.289968Z"
},
{
"price": 0.97,
"skin_id": "skin-cc6ec471ea94",
"listing_id": "490472738291740887",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sonar (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sonar",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cc6ec471ea94.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:02.675645Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "493850490550715500",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:03.419539Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "500605889841770843",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:03.419539Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "518620288314429040",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:27.911080Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "523123888072505314",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:03.419539Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "512990789044719455",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:03.419539Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "491598690700057406",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:55:09.445620Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-15:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Flashback 8.0% $119.03 Royal Consorts 8.0% $44.55 Cyrex 8.0% $34.05 Stinger 8.0% $19.50 Electrum 12.0% $19.50 Gila 8.0% $17.92 | $119.03 +445.8% | $26.48 +21.4% | 24.0% | +124.0% | $21.81 | — |
The Glove Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Cyrex 8.0% $34.05 Gila 8.0% $17.92 Flashback 8.0% $13.21 Royal Consorts 8.0% $9.89 Stinger 8.0% $8.24 Electrum 12.0% $7.00 | $34.05 +288.7% | $9.27 +5.8% | 32.0% | +86.3% | $8.76 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Flashback 6.0% $119.03 Royal Consorts 6.0% $44.55 Cyrex 6.0% $34.05 Stinger 6.0% $19.50 Electrum 14.0% $19.50 Gila 6.0% $17.92 | $119.03 +549.4% | $23.06 +25.8% | 38.0% | +132.7% | $18.33 | — |
The Glove Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Flashback 4.0% $119.03 Royal Consorts 4.0% $44.55 Cyrex 4.0% $34.05 Stinger 4.0% $19.50 Electrum 16.0% $19.50 Gila 4.0% $17.92 | $119.03 +606.8% | $19.64 +16.6% | 36.0% | +122.9% | $16.84 | — |
The Glove Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Flashback 10.0% $119.03 Royal Consorts 10.0% $44.55 Cyrex 10.0% $34.05 Stinger 10.0% $19.50 Electrum 10.0% $19.50 Gila 10.0% $17.92 | $119.03 +363.0% | $29.90 +16.3% | 30.0% | +113.6% | $25.71 | — |
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Flashback 2.0% $119.03 Royal Consorts 2.0% $44.55 Cyrex 2.0% $34.05 Stinger 2.0% $19.50 Electrum 18.0% $19.50 Gila 2.0% $17.92 | $119.03 +706.4% | $16.20 +9.8% | 28.0% | +104.1% | $14.76 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Mecha Industries  3.3% $52.58 Wasteland Princess  3.3% $52.30 Shallow Grave  3.3% $51.36 Crane Flight  30.0% $35.39 Deathgaze  30.0% $10.22 Kintsugi  30.0% $9.69 | $52.58 +180.1% | $21.80 +16.1% | 40.0% | +81.0% | $18.77 | — |
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New | Buzz Kill  5.0% $912.62 Dragonfire  5.0% $629.14 Queen's Gambit  45.0% $460.85 Fully Tuned  45.0% $379.68 | $912.62 +110.9% | $455.32 +5.2% | 55.0% | +27.9% | $432.79 | — |