The Inferno Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Gunsmoke
2x $2.37
Rose Nacre
5x $0.06
Naval Shred Camo
1x $0.07
Gum Wall Camo
1x $0.08
Sour Grapes
1x $0.10
↓
Possible Outputs
Anodized Navy
10.0% $35.31
Brass
10.0% $9.61
Yeti Camo
16.0% $0.48
Reef Grief
16.0% $0.43
Cobalt Paisley
16.0% $0.41
Mint Fan
16.0% $0.39
Max Win
$35.31 (+545.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.83 (-11.8%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+192.4%
Cost
$5.47
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.47
Ask Price EV $4.83 (-11.8%)
Bid Price EV $4.57 (-16.5%)
Ask Profit $-0.64 (-11.8%)
Bid Profit $-0.90 (-16.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.26 (+4.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.64
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.90
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $35.31 (+545.5%)
Worst Case $0.37 (-93.3%)
Volatility +192.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$16.99
Avg Loss -$5.05
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.37 (-93.3%)
Std Dev $10.52
Avg Norm Float 0.3572
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 44h 8m
Oldest Output Price 144h 48m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.37 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.41 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Field-Tested
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Sour Grapes
—
Field-Tested
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 30M 44S //TOTAL COST $5.47 //ASK PRICE EV $4.83 //BID PRICE EV $4.57 //ASK PROFIT $-0.64 (-11.8%) //BID PROFIT $-0.90 (-16.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $35.31 //VOLATILITY +192.4% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$35.31
+$29.84
+545.5%
$33.55
+$28.08
+513.3%
$1.76
5.0%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$9.61
+$4.14
+75.6%
$9.09
+$3.62
+66.2%
$0.52
5.4%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.48
-$4.99
-91.2%
$0.46
-$5.01
-91.6%
$0.02
4.9%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.43
-$5.04
-92.1%
$0.34
-$5.13
-93.8%
$0.09
20.9%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.41
-$5.06
-92.4%
$0.40
-$5.07
-92.7%
$0.01
3.3%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.39
-$5.08
-92.8%
$0.36
-$5.11
-93.4%
$0.03
8.5%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.37
-$5.10
-93.3%
$0.35
-$5.12
-93.6%
$0.02
4.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.21429,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"realistic_value": 0.3935,
"optimistic_value": 0.39,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"conservative_value": 0.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:40:32.069061Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.250005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"realistic_value": 0.4835,
"optimistic_value": 0.48,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"conservative_value": 0.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:16:05.765953Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.23214750000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"realistic_value": 0.4135,
"optimistic_value": 0.41,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"conservative_value": 0.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:40:01.804971Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.21429,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"realistic_value": 0.367,
"optimistic_value": 0.36,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"conservative_value": 0.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:42:24.024530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.21429,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"realistic_value": 0.43,
"optimistic_value": 0.43,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"conservative_value": 0.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:02.928112Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.028572000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc4aeda27ca",
"realistic_value": 35.3115,
"optimistic_value": 35,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy",
"conservative_value": 33.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:06:08.805854Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc4aeda27ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.35715,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62fc4feb5c7c",
"realistic_value": 9.607000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 9.32,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Brass",
"conservative_value": 9.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Brass (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:00.426921Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62fc4feb5c7c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_1de1fd09ba93e662d961fb5f",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.37,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "508487023588358342",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T08:46:05.835728Z"
},
{
"price": 2.41,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "503983423967333359",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T08:46:05.835728Z"
},
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "499479989896880293",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:43:18.687351Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "528753387757424781",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:43:37.738013Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"listing_id": "512989991916998255",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:41:07.669824Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "659355708657479017",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:43:18.687351Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "510738823413281230",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:43:18.687351Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "627831217894428764",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:43:18.687351Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-2891a487ea6c",
"listing_id": "526501587737774393",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Negev | Sour Grapes",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2891a487ea6c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:40:15.888307Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "506235389470029900",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:42:14.180251Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 10.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 10.0% $35.31 Yeti Camo 16.0% $4.46 Mint Fan 16.0% $3.37 Cobalt Paisley 16.0% $2.65 Royal Baroque 16.0% $2.64 | $181.74 +899.7% | $24.15 +32.9% | 20.0% | +289.8% | $18.18 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 5.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 5.0% $35.31 Yeti Camo 18.0% $4.46 Mint Fan 18.0% $3.36 Cobalt Paisley 18.0% $2.66 Royal Baroque 18.0% $2.64 | $181.74 +1505.5% | $13.61 +20.2% | 10.0% | +343.8% | $11.32 | — |