The Inferno Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New
Inputs
Gunsmoke
2x $4.60
Electric Blue
1x $0.23
Gum Wall Camo
3x $0.36
Rose Nacre
1x $0.46
Ocean Topo
3x $1.05
↓
Possible Outputs
Brass
10.0% $181.74
Anodized Navy
10.0% $35.31
Yeti Camo
16.0% $4.46
Mint Fan
16.0% $3.37
Cobalt Paisley
16.0% $2.66
Royal Baroque
16.0% $2.64
Max Win
$181.74 (+893.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$24.17 (+32.1%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+292.0%
Cost
$18.29
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $18.29
Ask Price EV $24.17 (+32.1%)
Bid Price EV $17.76 (-2.9%)
Ask Profit $5.88 (+32.1%)
Bid Profit $-0.53 (-2.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $6.41 (+35.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$5.88
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.53
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $181.74 (+893.7%)
Worst Case $2.26 (-87.7%)
Volatility +292.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$90.24
Avg Loss -$15.21
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.26 (-87.7%)
Std Dev $53.40
Avg Norm Float 0.0697
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 8m
Oldest Output Price 143h 52m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Field-Tested
$4.60 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Minimal Wear
$7.37 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
—
Factory New
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
—
Factory New
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Factory New
$0.46 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
—
Factory New
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Ocean Topo
—
Factory New
$1.05 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Ocean Topo
—
Factory New
$1.44 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Ocean Topo
—
Factory New
$1.45 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 25M 20S //TOTAL COST $18.29 //ASK PRICE EV $24.17 //BID PRICE EV $17.76 //ASK PROFIT $5.88 (+32.1%) //BID PROFIT $-0.53 (-2.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $181.74 //VOLATILITY +292.0% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$181.74
+$163.45
+893.7%
$120.00
+$101.71
+556.1%
$61.74
34.0%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$35.31
+$17.02
+93.1%
$33.55
+$15.26
+83.4%
$1.76
5.0%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$4.46
-$13.83
-75.6%
$4.43
-$13.86
-75.8%
$0.03
0.7%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$3.37
-$14.92
-81.6%
$3.34
-$14.95
-81.7%
$0.03
1.0%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$2.66
-$15.63
-85.5%
$2.62
-$15.67
-85.7%
$0.04
1.4%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$2.64
-$15.65
-85.6%
$2.62
-$15.67
-85.7%
$0.02
0.8%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$2.26
-$16.03
-87.7%
$2.00
-$16.29
-89.1%
$0.26
11.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.041832,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"realistic_value": 3.3735,
"optimistic_value": 3.37,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"conservative_value": 3.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:12.767444Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.048804,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"realistic_value": 4.461,
"optimistic_value": 4.44,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"conservative_value": 4.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:09.131172Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.045318000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"realistic_value": 2.657,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:56.230017Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.041832,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"realistic_value": 2.64,
"optimistic_value": 2.64,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:10.616732Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.041832,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"realistic_value": 2.257,
"optimistic_value": 2.25,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"conservative_value": 2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:59.016792Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0055776,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc4aeda27ca",
"realistic_value": 35.3115,
"optimistic_value": 35,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy",
"conservative_value": 33.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:06:08.805854Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc4aeda27ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62fc4feb5c7c",
"realistic_value": 181.7415,
"optimistic_value": 150.91,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Brass",
"conservative_value": 120,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Brass (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:58.072873Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62fc4feb5c7c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_1de1fd09ba93e662d961fb5f",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 4.6,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "524249529996069051",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:28.957785Z"
},
{
"price": 7.37,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "524248990847644659",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:21.617130Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "505109489448989120",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:11.528425Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"listing_id": "518620288314199036",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:02.899539Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"listing_id": "521997988015573782",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:02.899539Z"
},
{
"price": 0.46,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "490471993876686363",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Factory New)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:12.530174Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"listing_id": "525375522202630771",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:02.899539Z"
},
{
"price": 1.05,
"skin_id": "skin-ad93599cbfb9",
"listing_id": "622201718380639200",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Factory New)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad93599cbfb9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:05.848323Z"
},
{
"price": 1.44,
"skin_id": "skin-ad93599cbfb9",
"listing_id": "491598690698614958",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Factory New)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad93599cbfb9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:05.848323Z"
},
{
"price": 1.45,
"skin_id": "skin-ad93599cbfb9",
"listing_id": "528753221919408945",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Factory New)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad93599cbfb9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:05.848323Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 5.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 5.0% $35.31 Yeti Camo 18.0% $4.46 Mint Fan 18.0% $3.37 Cobalt Paisley 18.0% $2.66 Royal Baroque 18.0% $2.64 | $181.74 +1512.6% | $13.60 +20.7% | 10.0% | +345.3% | $11.27 | — |