The Fever Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5

Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items

Battle-Scarred +1.7%Factory New +30.8%Field-Tested +25.7%Minimal Wear +25.8%Well-Worn +4.1%

Contract

Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™

Inputs

Wave Breaker

4x $0.95

Tosai

1x $1.19

Amberline

5x $1.99

↓

Possible Outputs

Crane Flight

16.7% $45.29

Searing Rage

16.7% $15.02

Shinobu

16.7% $10.90

Deathgaze

16.7% $10.08

K.O. Factory

16.7% $9.83

Kintsugi

16.7% $7.96

Max Win

$45.29 (+185.5%)

EV (ROI %)

$16.51 (+4.1%)

Win %

16.7%

Volatility

+82.2%

Cost

$15.86

Age —

Financials

ASK-ONLY EDGE

Total Cost $15.86

Ask Price EV $16.51 (+4.1%)

Bid Price EV $14.92 (-5.9%)

Ask Profit $0.65 (+4.1%)

Bid Profit $-0.94 (-5.9%)

Liquidity Gap $1.59 (+10.0%)

Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.65

Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.94

Risk

Win Probability 16.7%

Loss Probability 83.3%

Best Case $45.29 (+185.5%)

Worst Case $7.96 (-49.8%)

Volatility +82.2%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%

Avg Win +$29.42

Avg Loss -$5.10

Bottom 5% Outcome $7.96 (-49.8%)

Std Dev $13.04

Avg Norm Float 0.4500

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 3m

Oldest Output Price 142h 36m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Edge

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

P90 | Wave Breaker

—

Well-Worn

$0.95 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Wave Breaker

—

Well-Worn

$0.97 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Wave Breaker

—

Well-Worn

$1.06 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Wave Breaker

—

Well-Worn

$1.08 Float: HIDDEN

Zeus x27 | Tosai

—

Field-Tested

$1.19 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$1.99 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.08 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.09 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.15 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.30 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 02M 46S //TOTAL COST $15.86 //ASK PRICE EV $16.51 //BID PRICE EV $14.92 //ASK PROFIT $0.65 (+4.1%) //BID PROFIT $-0.94 (-5.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 16.7% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +82.2% //

Possible Outputs · 6

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 5,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 5,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.16666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.44996,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 45.285,
      "optimistic_value": 44.9,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 41.72,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.16666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.44996,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-4c2e3face5fd",
      "realistic_value": 15.0245,
      "optimistic_value": 15,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Searing Rage",
      "conservative_value": 13.75,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:33.985454Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c2e3face5fd.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.16666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.44996,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-a7838b4ba71f",
      "realistic_value": 10.9025,
      "optimistic_value": 10.85,
      "output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Shinobu",
      "conservative_value": 10.52,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:45.901844Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a7838b4ba71f.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.16666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.44996,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 7.96,
      "optimistic_value": 7.89,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 7.67,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:31:43.377011Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.16666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.44996,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 10.0805,
      "optimistic_value": 10,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 8.25,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:56:01.692457Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.16666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.44996,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
      "realistic_value": 9.826500000000001,
      "optimistic_value": 9.48,
      "output_full_name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
      "conservative_value": 7.61,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T21:37:07.932834Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_1a51bc7dd17c9f7440c3f567",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 0.95,
      "skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
      "listing_id": "514116688950050862",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:57:47.782570Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.97,
      "skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
      "listing_id": "514116688948562046",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:57:47.782570Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.06,
      "skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
      "listing_id": "503983589618509771",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:57:47.782570Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.08,
      "skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
      "listing_id": "512990623222377911",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:57:47.782570Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.19,
      "skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
      "listing_id": "490472790736781979",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:53.565020Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.99,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "529879287551401776",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:57:44.357117Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.08,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361289452694821",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:57:44.357117Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.09,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "514116688949678190",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:57:44.357117Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "490472738292168531",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:57:44.357117Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.3,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "525375635593980187",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:28.228501Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-35:5+collection-set-community-37:5"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Fever Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Shinobu 16.7% $85.17 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Searing Rage 16.7% $64.42 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 K.O. Factory 16.7% $49.28	$290.04 +269.5%	$102.65 +30.8%	33.3%	+107.6%	$78.49	—
The Fever Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 16.7% $126.41 Shinobu 16.7% $35.33 Searing Rage 16.7% $27.21 Kintsugi 16.7% $23.12 Deathgaze 16.7% $21.23 K.O. Factory 16.7% $14.07	$126.41 +285.6%	$41.23 +25.8%	33.3%	+117.8%	$32.78	—
The Fever Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 16.7% $63.86 Searing Rage 16.7% $15.95 Shinobu 16.7% $14.72 Kintsugi 16.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 16.7% $11.91 K.O. Factory 16.7% $8.67	$63.86 +277.0%	$21.29 +25.7%	16.7%	+113.2%	$16.94	—
The Fever Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Battle-Scarred ST	Crane Flight 16.7% $46.25 Searing Rage 16.7% $15.12 Shinobu 16.7% $11.02 Kintsugi 16.7% $9.34 Deathgaze 16.7% $7.94 K.O. Factory 16.7% $6.85	$46.25 +192.4%	$16.09 +1.7%	16.7%	+86.9%	$15.82	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Fever Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Shinobu 13.3% $85.17 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Searing Rage 13.3% $64.42 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 K.O. Factory 13.3% $49.28	$290.04 +252.0%	$109.92 +33.4%	33.3%	+109.9%	$82.39	—
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Shinobu 20.0% $85.17 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Searing Rage 20.0% $64.42 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 K.O. Factory 20.0% $51.20	$290.04 +286.3%	$95.76 +27.5%	33.3%	+102.5%	$75.09	—
The Fever Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 10.0% $63.86 Searing Rage 23.3% $15.95 Shinobu 23.3% $14.72 Kintsugi 10.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 10.0% $11.91 K.O. Factory 23.3% $8.67	$63.86 +343.2%	$18.02 +25.1%	56.7%	+107.7%	$14.41	—
The Fever Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 6.7% $63.86 Searing Rage 26.7% $15.95 Shinobu 26.7% $14.72 Kintsugi 6.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 6.7% $11.91 K.O. Factory 26.7% $8.67	$63.86 +383.4%	$16.39 +24.0%	60.0%	+98.5%	$13.21	—
The Fever Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 3.3% $63.86 Searing Rage 30.0% $15.95 Shinobu 30.0% $14.72 Kintsugi 3.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 3.3% $11.91 K.O. Factory 30.0% $8.67	$63.86 +395.4%	$14.75 +14.4%	63.3%	+74.5%	$12.89	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST	Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.92 Rising Sun 6.0% $12.22	$51.27 +208.5%	$21.06 +26.7%	42.0%	+76.6%	$16.62	—