The Revolution Collection ×2+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Re.built
1x $0.14
Rebel
1x $0.14
Co-Processor
3x $0.16
Exchanger
4x $0.17
Facility Negative
1x $0.30
↓
Possible Outputs
Random Access
26.7% $4.26
Nuclear Garden
26.7% $3.34
Core Breach
26.7% $1.48
Emphorosaur-S
4.0% $0.75
Umbral Rabbit
4.0% $0.74
Sakkaku
4.0% $0.66
Max Win
$4.26 (+100.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.56 (+20.6%)
Win %
53.3%
Volatility
+65.8%
Cost
$2.12
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.12
Ask Price EV $2.56 (+20.6%)
Bid Price EV $2.44 (+14.9%)
Ask Profit $0.44 (+20.6%)
Bid Profit $0.32 (+14.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.12 (+5.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.44
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.32
Risk
Win Probability 53.3%
Loss Probability 46.7%
Best Case $4.26 (+100.9%)
Worst Case $0.63 (-70.3%)
Volatility +65.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 46.7%
Avg Win +$1.68
Avg Loss -$0.98
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.64 (-70.0%)
Std Dev $1.40
Avg Norm Float 0.2978
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 14m
Oldest Output Price 126h 42m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Co-Processor
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Exchanger
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Co-Processor
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Exchanger
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Exchanger
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Co-Processor
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Facility Negative
—
Field-Tested
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Exchanger
—
Minimal Wear
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 37M 28S //TOTAL COST $2.12 //ASK PRICE EV $2.56 //BID PRICE EV $2.44 //ASK PROFIT $0.44 (+20.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.32 (+14.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 53.3% //BEST CASE $4.26 //VOLATILITY +65.8% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
26.7%
$4.26
+$2.14
+100.9%
$4.00
+$1.88
+88.7%
$0.26
6.1%
—
BIG WIN
26.7%
$3.34
+$1.22
+57.4%
$3.22
+$1.10
+51.9%
$0.12
3.5%
—
LOSS
26.7%
$1.48
-$0.64
-30.3%
$1.44
-$0.68
-32.1%
$0.04
2.5%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$0.75
-$1.37
-64.7%
$0.70
-$1.42
-67.0%
$0.05
6.4%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$0.74
-$1.38
-65.1%
$0.69
-$1.43
-67.5%
$0.05
6.8%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$0.66
-$1.46
-68.9%
$0.57
-$1.55
-73.1%
$0.09
13.6%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$0.64
-$1.48
-70.0%
$0.62
-$1.50
-70.8%
$0.02
2.7%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$0.63
-$1.49
-70.3%
$0.61
-$1.51
-71.2%
$0.02
3.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14889,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8b56130194c8",
"realistic_value": 4.2585,
"optimistic_value": 4.22,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Random Access",
"conservative_value": 4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:21:56.728219Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8b56130194c8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.208446,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96e7c9f4d6b6",
"realistic_value": 3.337,
"optimistic_value": 3.33,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden",
"conservative_value": 3.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T02:38:41.005343Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96e7c9f4d6b6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.29778,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7444d53b5e17",
"realistic_value": 1.4775,
"optimistic_value": 1.46,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Core Breach",
"conservative_value": 1.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:57.938430Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7444d53b5e17.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.223335,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 0.7404999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.73,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 0.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T03:55:11.491583Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.238224,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 0.7475,
"optimistic_value": 0.73,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 0.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T18:33:49.520496Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.3827124,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 0.66,
"optimistic_value": 0.66,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 0.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:36:56.763218Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.178668,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 0.63,
"optimistic_value": 0.63,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 0.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:25:44.951152Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.29778,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.637,
"optimistic_value": 0.63,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:49.625751Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_18db6e5d5f322fa065470676",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "518619491424619600",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:29:02.421657Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "518619491429205748",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:23:05.836360Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"listing_id": "494976390477410178",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:35:20.224548Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"listing_id": "511864888986048201",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:47.936384Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"listing_id": "502857689863199860",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:35:20.224548Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"listing_id": "526501587737192633",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:47.936384Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"listing_id": "525375688036511467",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:47.936384Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"listing_id": "496101493268329235",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:35:20.224548Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
"listing_id": "804590545785002749",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:33.796042Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"listing_id": "510738936593868214",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:16.703985Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:2+collection-set-nuke-2:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Nuclear Garden 26.7% $55.76 Random Access 26.7% $19.77 Core Breach 26.7% $8.43 Neoqueen 4.0% $3.17 Banana Cannon 4.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $1.48 | $55.76 +170.3% | $22.75 +10.3% | 26.7% | +96.8% | $20.63 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Random Access 20.0% $4.26 Nuclear Garden 20.0% $3.34 Core Breach 20.0% $1.47 Sakkaku 8.0% $1.43 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $0.74 | $4.26 +155.0% | $2.15 +28.8% | 40.0% | +76.2% | $1.67 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Random Access 10.0% $19.63 Core Breach 10.0% $8.43 Nuclear Garden 10.0% $8.25 Banana Cannon 14.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $1.52 Sakkaku 14.0% $1.43 | $19.63 +430.6% | $4.60 +24.3% | 30.0% | +146.5% | $3.70 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Random Access 13.3% $19.63 Core Breach 13.3% $8.43 Nuclear Garden 13.3% $8.25 Banana Cannon 12.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $1.48 Sakkaku 12.0% $1.43 | $19.63 +324.1% | $5.67 +22.4% | 40.0% | +126.2% | $4.63 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Nuclear Garden 16.7% $55.76 Random Access 16.7% $19.63 Core Breach 16.7% $8.43 Neoqueen 10.0% $3.17 Banana Cannon 10.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $1.52 | $55.76 +335.3% | $14.87 +16.1% | 33.3% | +143.6% | $12.81 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Control Panel  25.0% $418.56 Remote Control  25.0% $94.77 Wicked Sick  16.7% $34.56 Wild Child  16.7% $33.67 Duality  16.7% $25.77 | $418.56 +248.6% | $144.00 +19.9% | 25.0% | +133.8% | $120.06 | — |