The Revolution Collection ×2+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Fragments
1x $0.89
Cyberforce
1x $1.53
Co-Processor
3x $1.30
Facility Negative
2x $2.22
Acheron
1x $2.65
Exchanger
2x $2.70
↓
Possible Outputs
Nuclear Garden
26.7% $55.76
Core Breach
26.7% $29.13
Random Access
26.7% $19.63
Banana Cannon
4.0% $9.06
Emphorosaur-S
4.0% $5.73
Umbral Rabbit
4.0% $4.31
Max Win
$55.76 (+84.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$28.82 (-4.7%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+60.4%
Cost
$30.24
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $30.24
Ask Price EV $28.82 (-4.7%)
Bid Price EV $28.31 (-6.4%)
Ask Profit $-1.42 (-4.7%)
Bid Profit $-1.93 (-6.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.51 (+1.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.42
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.93
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $55.76 (+84.4%)
Worst Case $1.42 (-95.3%)
Volatility +60.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 46.7%
Avg Win +$25.52
Avg Loss -$11.21
Bottom 5% Outcome $3.17 (-89.5%)
Std Dev $18.26
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 93h 21m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$0.89 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$1.53 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Co-Processor
—
Minimal Wear
$1.30 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Facility Negative
—
Factory New
$2.22 Float: HIDDEN
AWP | Acheron
—
Minimal Wear
$2.65 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Exchanger
—
Factory New
$2.70 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Facility Negative
—
Factory New
$2.78 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Co-Processor
—
Factory New
$5.24 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Co-Processor
—
Factory New
$5.36 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Exchanger
—
Factory New
$5.57 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 36M 12S //TOTAL COST $30.24 //ASK PRICE EV $28.82 //BID PRICE EV $28.31 //ASK PROFIT $-1.42 (-4.7%) //BID PROFIT $-1.93 (-6.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $55.76 //VOLATILITY +60.4% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
26.7%
$55.76
+$25.52
+84.4%
$55.39
+$25.15
+83.2%
$0.37
0.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$29.13
-$1.11
-3.7%
$27.72
-$2.52
-8.3%
$1.41
4.8%
—
LOSS
26.7%
$19.63
-$10.61
-35.1%
$19.52
-$10.72
-35.4%
$0.11
0.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$9.06
-$21.18
-70.0%
$9.02
-$21.22
-70.2%
$0.04
0.4%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$5.73
-$24.51
-81.1%
$5.70
-$24.54
-81.2%
$0.03
0.5%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$4.31
-$25.93
-85.7%
$4.29
-$25.95
-85.8%
$0.02
0.5%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$3.17
-$27.07
-89.5%
$3.16
-$27.08
-89.6%
$0.01
0.3%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.42
-$28.82
-95.3%
$1.41
-$28.83
-95.3%
$0.01
0.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.03499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8b56130194c8",
"realistic_value": 19.634,
"optimistic_value": 19.62,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Random Access",
"conservative_value": 19.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Random Access (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:40.398338Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8b56130194c8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.048985999999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96e7c9f4d6b6",
"realistic_value": 55.757,
"optimistic_value": 55.4,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden",
"conservative_value": 55.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T14:11:16.386274Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96e7c9f4d6b6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7444d53b5e17",
"realistic_value": 29.132,
"optimistic_value": 28.67,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Core Breach",
"conservative_value": 27.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Core Breach (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:38:14.256920Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7444d53b5e17.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.052485000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 4.31,
"optimistic_value": 4.31,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 4.29,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:21:01.356172Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.055984000000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 5.7275,
"optimistic_value": 5.71,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 5.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:47.812118Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.2505884,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.42,
"optimistic_value": 1.42,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:59.300460Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.041988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.17,
"optimistic_value": 3.17,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:27:03.018237Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 9.06,
"optimistic_value": 9.06,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 9.02,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:50:04.959706Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_18db6e5d5f322fa065470676",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.89,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "511864941881795685",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:21:00.564674Z"
},
{
"price": 1.53,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "643593816523798693",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:51.556382Z"
},
{
"price": 1.3,
"skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"listing_id": "762930893774707950",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:03.325493Z"
},
{
"price": 2.22,
"skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
"listing_id": "501731842661478209",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:26.930593Z"
},
{
"price": 2.65,
"skin_id": "skin-9e9b9cd050d5",
"listing_id": "496102290328885703",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AWP | Acheron",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e9b9cd050d5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:22.422125Z"
},
{
"price": 2.7,
"skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"listing_id": "502857524064278008",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:08.386699Z"
},
{
"price": 2.78,
"skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
"listing_id": "518620235869057900",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:26.930593Z"
},
{
"price": 5.24,
"skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"listing_id": "625576174787785567",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:13.631825Z"
},
{
"price": 5.36,
"skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"listing_id": "631206489564324809",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:13.631825Z"
},
{
"price": 5.57,
"skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"listing_id": "515242536108790957",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:08.386699Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:2+collection-set-nuke-2:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Random Access 26.7% $4.26 Nuclear Garden 26.7% $3.34 Core Breach 26.7% $1.48 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $0.74 Banana Cannon 4.0% $0.69 | $4.26 +100.9% | $2.56 +20.7% | 53.3% | +60.5% | $2.12 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Nuclear Garden 26.7% $55.76 Random Access 26.7% $19.63 Core Breach 26.7% $8.43 Neoqueen 4.0% $3.17 Banana Cannon 4.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $1.52 | $55.76 +161.8% | $22.71 +6.6% | 26.7% | +93.8% | $21.30 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Random Access 13.3% $19.63 Core Breach 13.3% $8.43 Nuclear Garden 13.3% $8.25 Banana Cannon 12.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $1.55 Sakkaku 12.0% $1.42 | $19.63 +350.3% | $5.66 +29.9% | 40.0% | +133.9% | $4.36 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Random Access 20.0% $4.26 Nuclear Garden 20.0% $3.34 Core Breach 20.0% $1.48 Sakkaku 8.0% $1.42 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $0.74 | $4.26 +155.0% | $2.15 +28.9% | 40.0% | +76.2% | $1.67 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Random Access 10.0% $19.63 Core Breach 10.0% $8.43 Nuclear Garden 10.0% $8.25 Banana Cannon 14.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $1.55 Sakkaku 14.0% $1.42 | $19.63 +445.4% | $4.60 +27.7% | 30.0% | +150.5% | $3.60 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Random Access 16.7% $4.26 Nuclear Garden 16.7% $3.34 Core Breach 16.7% $1.48 Sakkaku 10.0% $1.42 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $0.74 | $4.26 +169.5% | $1.93 +22.3% | 33.3% | +79.4% | $1.58 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Control Panel  35.0% $418.56 Remote Control  35.0% $94.77 Wicked Sick  10.0% $34.56 Wild Child  10.0% $33.67 Duality  10.0% $25.77 | $418.56 +174.3% | $189.06 +23.9% | 35.0% | +111.6% | $152.59 | — |