The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Wash me
1x $0.09
Wash me plz
1x $0.15
Wall Bang
1x $0.17
Gum Wall Camo
1x $0.13
Robin's Egg
2x $0.14
Naval Shred Camo
1x $0.17
↓
Possible Outputs
Mint Fan
14.0% $3.37
Royal Baroque
14.0% $2.64
Metallic Squeezer
7.5% $2.33
Teal Graf
7.5% $2.18
Reef Grief
14.0% $2.15
Yeti Camo
14.0% $1.88
Max Win
$3.37 (+109.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.08 (+29.2%)
Win %
71.0%
Volatility
+45.6%
Cost
$1.61
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.61
Ask Price EV $2.08 (+29.2%)
Bid Price EV $2.01 (+24.7%)
Ask Profit $0.47 (+29.2%)
Bid Profit $0.40 (+24.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.07 (+4.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.47
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.40
Risk
Win Probability 71.0%
Loss Probability 29.0%
Best Case $3.37 (+109.5%)
Worst Case $1.11 (-30.8%)
Volatility +45.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 21.5%
Avg Win +$0.85
Avg Loss -$0.46
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.11 (-30.8%)
Std Dev $0.73
Avg Norm Float 0.1166
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 15h 37m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Wash me
—
Minimal Wear
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Wall Bang
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 45M 47S //TOTAL COST $1.61 //ASK PRICE EV $2.08 //BID PRICE EV $2.01 //ASK PROFIT $0.47 (+29.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.40 (+24.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 71.0% //BEST CASE $3.37 //VOLATILITY +45.6% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$3.37
+$1.76
+109.5%
$3.34
+$1.73
+107.5%
$0.03
1.0%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$2.64
+$1.03
+64.2%
$2.62
+$1.01
+62.7%
$0.02
0.9%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
7.5%
$2.33
+$0.72
+44.9%
$2.18
+$0.57
+35.4%
$0.15
6.6%
—
WIN
7.5%
$2.18
+$0.57
+35.2%
$2.13
+$0.52
+32.3%
$0.05
2.2%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$2.15
+$0.54
+33.3%
$2.00
+$0.39
+24.2%
$0.15
6.8%
—
WIN
14.0%
$1.88
+$0.27
+17.0%
$1.81
+$0.20
+12.4%
$0.07
3.9%
—
LOSS
7.5%
$1.22
-$0.39
-24.4%
$1.12
-$0.49
-30.4%
$0.10
8.0%
—
LOSS
7.5%
$1.17
-$0.44
-27.3%
$1.16
-$0.45
-28.0%
$0.01
0.9%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.11
-$0.50
-30.8%
$1.04
-$0.57
-35.4%
$0.07
6.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.069966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"realistic_value": 3.3735,
"optimistic_value": 3.37,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"conservative_value": 3.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:21.830156Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.081627,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"realistic_value": 1.8835,
"optimistic_value": 1.88,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:12.671312Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0757965,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"realistic_value": 1.1135000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 1.11,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T16:29:30.148159Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.069966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"realistic_value": 2.6435,
"optimistic_value": 2.64,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:35.711853Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.069966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"realistic_value": 2.1455,
"optimistic_value": 2.1,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"conservative_value": 2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:14.680265Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.069966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"realistic_value": 2.3335,
"optimistic_value": 2.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"conservative_value": 2.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:58.737078Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.058305,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"realistic_value": 2.1775,
"optimistic_value": 2.16,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"conservative_value": 2.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:55.985391Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.104949,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"realistic_value": 1.2169999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.21,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"conservative_value": 1.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T11:42:04.443708Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.11661,
"output_skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"realistic_value": 1.17,
"optimistic_value": 1.17,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"conservative_value": 1.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:43.472647Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_16f9f8cbabc41c039b89515f",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-d26b2336552f",
"listing_id": "526501587737539097",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wash me (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Wash me",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d26b2336552f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:51.298389Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "519746135814609704",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:00:18.486724Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-c5f7f8d41bc2",
"listing_id": "490472790736935195",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Wall Bang (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Wall Bang",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c5f7f8d41bc2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:12:51.454756Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"listing_id": "524249787961224195",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:02:10.570992Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"listing_id": "502857637417906948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:41.508743Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"listing_id": "525375635593436155",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:41.508743Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "491597893797568694",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:51.782445Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "516368488724892626",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:04:33.202039Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "490472790737224023",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:04:02.435444Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "654852743754232591",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:04:02.435444Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-overpass-2024:3+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Yeti Camo 14.0% $1.88 Royal Baroque 14.0% $1.15 Cobalt Paisley 14.0% $1.11 Reef Grief 14.0% $1.09 Mint Fan 14.0% $1.00 Metallic Squeezer 7.5% $0.78 | $1.88 +116.5% | $1.05 +21.0% | 70.0% | +37.2% | $0.87 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 16.0% $3.37 Royal Baroque 16.0% $2.64 Metallic Squeezer 5.0% $2.33 Teal Graf 5.0% $2.18 Reef Grief 16.0% $2.14 Yeti Camo 16.0% $1.88 | $3.37 +107.0% | $2.13 +30.6% | 74.0% | +33.7% | $1.63 | — |
The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 12.0% $3.37 Royal Baroque 12.0% $2.64 Metallic Squeezer 10.0% $2.33 Teal Graf 10.0% $2.18 Reef Grief 12.0% $2.14 Yeti Camo 12.0% $1.88 | $3.37 +112.2% | $2.03 +27.6% | 68.0% | +33.2% | $1.59 | — |
The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 10.0% $3.37 Royal Baroque 10.0% $2.64 Metallic Squeezer 12.5% $2.33 Teal Graf 12.5% $2.18 Reef Grief 10.0% $2.14 Yeti Camo 10.0% $1.89 | $3.37 +100.8% | $1.98 +17.8% | 65.0% | +30.5% | $1.68 | — |
The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 8.0% $3.37 Royal Baroque 8.0% $2.64 Metallic Squeezer 15.0% $2.33 Reef Grief 8.0% $2.27 Teal Graf 15.0% $2.18 Yeti Camo 8.0% $1.89 | $3.37 +104.5% | $1.93 +16.9% | 62.0% | +30.4% | $1.65 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Overpass 2024 Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate  45.0% $38.92 Monster Melt  3.3% $20.12 Royal Guard  45.0% $13.46 Eye of Zapems  3.3% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels  3.3% $10.44 | $38.92 +86.9% | $24.95 +19.8% | 45.0% | +61.1% | $20.82 | — |