The Revolution Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Re.built
1x $0.18
Cyberforce
2x $0.20
Fragments
4x $0.29
Insomnia
1x $0.34
Hypnosis
2x $0.49
↓
Possible Outputs
Rapid Transit
4.0% $14.22
Turbine
4.0% $12.89
Saibā Oni
4.0% $8.54
Hydro Strike
4.0% $6.39
Randy Rush
4.0% $4.44
Emphorosaur-S
16.0% $4.12
Max Win
$14.22 (+314.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.94 (+14.9%)
Win %
36.0%
Volatility
+95.4%
Cost
$3.43
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.43
Ask Price EV $3.94 (+14.9%)
Bid Price EV $3.45 (+0.5%)
Ask Profit $0.51 (+14.9%)
Bid Profit $0.02 (+0.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.49 (+14.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.51
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.02
Risk
Win Probability 36.0%
Loss Probability 64.0%
Best Case $14.22 (+314.7%)
Worst Case $1.41 (-58.9%)
Volatility +95.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 32.0%
Avg Win +$3.56
Avg Loss -$1.21
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.41 (-58.9%)
Std Dev $3.27
Avg Norm Float 0.1497
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 13m
Oldest Output Price 144h 19m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Insomnia
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.54 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 02M 13S //TOTAL COST $3.43 //ASK PRICE EV $3.94 //BID PRICE EV $3.45 //ASK PROFIT $0.51 (+14.9%) //BID PROFIT $0.02 (+0.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.0% //BEST CASE $14.22 //VOLATILITY +95.4% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
4.0%
$14.22
+$10.79
+314.7%
$12.20
+$8.77
+255.7%
$2.02
14.2%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$12.89
+$9.46
+275.8%
$11.24
+$7.81
+227.7%
$1.65
12.8%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$8.54
+$5.11
+149.0%
$7.91
+$4.48
+130.6%
$0.63
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$6.39
+$2.95
+86.2%
$5.78
+$2.35
+68.5%
$0.60
9.5%
—
WIN
4.0%
$4.44
+$1.00
+29.3%
$3.65
+$0.22
+6.4%
$0.78
17.7%
—
WIN
16.0%
$4.12
+$0.69
+20.0%
$3.56
+$0.13
+3.8%
$0.56
13.5%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$3.08
-$0.35
-10.2%
$2.72
-$0.71
-20.7%
$0.36
11.7%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$2.65
-$0.78
-22.6%
$2.41
-$1.02
-29.7%
$0.24
9.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$1.74
-$1.69
-49.2%
$1.46
-$1.97
-57.4%
$0.28
16.3%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.41
-$2.02
-58.9%
$1.21
-$2.22
-64.7%
$0.20
14.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.11226749999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.119752,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.2968202,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.08981399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.41,
"optimistic_value": 1.41,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:11:05.501491Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14969,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 1.7435,
"optimistic_value": 1.74,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:06.082374Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.11996426041999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 6.385,
"optimistic_value": 6.14,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 5.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:00.005902Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.12723649999999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 12.8915,
"optimistic_value": 12.65,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 11.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.603657Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.09879539999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 8.539000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 8.21,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 7.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:51.999651Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.11226749999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 4.435,
"optimistic_value": 3.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:42:27.187527Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.11226749999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 14.224,
"optimistic_value": 14,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 12.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.297824Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_13d3d09eba234d958cc18856",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "523123091064930586",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:17:44.231339Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "650349216076116573",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:15:24.652254Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "529879287551482740",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:16:24.745066Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "523123091066584858",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:16:24.745066Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "516368488725172886",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:16:24.745066Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-e6a7543c4187",
"listing_id": "515241791650778785",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Insomnia (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Insomnia",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e6a7543c4187.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:18:28.085646Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "503982792710309731",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:16:24.745066Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "502857689861700028",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:39.480722Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "510738989039869354",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:19.782003Z"
},
{
"price": 0.54,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "506234592361574640",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:19.782003Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:8+collection-set-community-34:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 4.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 16.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +378.9% | $3.80 +27.9% | 52.0% | +100.2% | $2.97 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $14.22 Turbine 8.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 8.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 8.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 8.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +259.2% | $5.17 +30.7% | 52.0% | +89.3% | $3.96 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $14.22 Turbine 6.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 6.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 6.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 6.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +312.3% | $4.49 +30.0% | 44.0% | +96.8% | $3.45 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Gallery Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 10.0% $14.22 Turbine 10.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 10.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 10.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 10.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +203.9% | $5.86 +25.2% | 40.0% | +77.6% | $4.68 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Gallery Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 12.0% $14.22 Turbine 12.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 12.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 12.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 12.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +164.9% | $6.55 +21.9% | 48.0% | +68.1% | $5.37 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Gallery Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 14.0% $14.22 Turbine 14.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 14.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 14.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 14.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +131.7% | $7.23 +17.8% | 56.0% | +59.5% | $6.14 | — |