The Revolution Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
4x $0.18
Re.built
2x $0.18
Cyberforce
2x $0.20
Hypnosis
2x $0.43
↓
Possible Outputs
Rapid Transit
4.0% $14.22
Turbine
4.0% $12.89
Saibā Oni
4.0% $8.54
Hydro Strike
4.0% $6.39
Randy Rush
4.0% $4.44
Emphorosaur-S
16.0% $4.12
Max Win
$14.22 (+375.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.79 (+26.7%)
Win %
52.0%
Volatility
+113.3%
Cost
$2.99
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.99
Ask Price EV $3.79 (+26.7%)
Bid Price EV $3.34 (+11.6%)
Ask Profit $0.80 (+26.7%)
Bid Profit $0.35 (+11.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.45 (+15.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.80
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.35
Risk
Win Probability 52.0%
Loss Probability 48.0%
Best Case $14.22 (+375.7%)
Worst Case $0.89 (-70.2%)
Volatility +113.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 32.0%
Avg Win +$2.80
Avg Loss -$1.37
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.89 (-70.2%)
Std Dev $3.39
Avg Norm Float 0.1764
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 26m
Oldest Output Price 143h 19m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 47M 16S //TOTAL COST $2.99 //ASK PRICE EV $3.79 //BID PRICE EV $3.34 //ASK PROFIT $0.80 (+26.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.35 (+11.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.0% //BEST CASE $14.22 //VOLATILITY +113.3% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
4.0%
$14.22
+$11.23
+375.7%
$12.20
+$9.21
+308.0%
$2.02
14.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$12.89
+$9.90
+331.2%
$11.24
+$8.25
+275.9%
$1.65
12.8%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$8.54
+$5.55
+185.6%
$7.91
+$4.92
+164.5%
$0.63
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$6.39
+$3.39
+113.5%
$5.78
+$2.79
+93.3%
$0.60
9.5%
—
WIN
4.0%
$4.44
+$1.44
+48.3%
$3.65
+$0.66
+22.1%
$0.78
17.7%
—
WIN
16.0%
$4.12
+$1.13
+37.7%
$3.56
+$0.57
+19.1%
$0.56
13.5%
—
PAPER WIN
16.0%
$3.08
+$0.09
+3.0%
$2.72
-$0.27
-9.0%
$0.36
11.7%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$2.65
-$0.34
-11.3%
$2.41
-$0.58
-19.4%
$0.24
9.2%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.32
-$1.67
-55.9%
$1.21
-$1.78
-59.5%
$0.11
8.3%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.89
-$2.10
-70.2%
$0.76
-$2.23
-74.6%
$0.13
14.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.13227,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.141088,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.31228880000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.105816,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.319,
"optimistic_value": 1.27,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:16.761966Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.17636,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.89,
"optimistic_value": 0.89,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:10:31.327999Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.14133807848,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 6.385,
"optimistic_value": 6.14,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 5.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:00.005902Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.14990599999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 12.8915,
"optimistic_value": 12.65,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 11.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.603657Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.1163976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 8.539000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 8.21,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 7.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:51.999651Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.13227,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 4.435,
"optimistic_value": 3.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:25.847008Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.13227,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 14.224,
"optimistic_value": 14,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 12.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.297824Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_13d3d09eba234d958cc18856",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "527627322003117584",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:15:32.808229Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "523123091064930586",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:05:15.133646Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "494976338031886434",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:05:15.133646Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "650349216076116573",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:41.436638Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "499479989896449373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:05:13.354355Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "523123091066584858",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:05:13.354355Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "516368488725172886",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:05:13.354355Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "502857689861700028",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:20.040011Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "499479989895678073",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:57:50.859996Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "510738989039869354",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:57:50.859996Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:8+collection-set-community-34:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 4.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 16.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +304.1% | $3.91 +11.1% | 36.0% | +83.3% | $3.52 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $14.22 Turbine 6.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 6.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 6.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 6.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +311.1% | $4.49 +29.7% | 44.0% | +96.5% | $3.46 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $14.22 Turbine 8.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 8.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 8.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 8.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +250.3% | $5.17 +27.2% | 52.0% | +87.2% | $4.06 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Gallery Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 10.0% $14.22 Turbine 10.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 10.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 10.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 10.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +204.6% | $5.86 +25.5% | 40.0% | +77.8% | $4.67 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Gallery Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 12.0% $14.22 Turbine 12.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 12.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 12.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 12.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +164.9% | $6.54 +21.8% | 48.0% | +68.2% | $5.37 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Gallery Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 14.0% $14.22 Turbine 14.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 14.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 14.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 14.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +131.7% | $7.23 +17.8% | 56.0% | +59.5% | $6.14 | — |