The Revolution Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
3x $0.34
Insomnia
1x $0.34
Cyberforce
2x $0.37
Rebel
1x $1.88
Liquidation
1x $2.24
Statics
2x $1.11
↓
Possible Outputs
Rapid Transit
4.0% $36.14
Turbine
4.0% $36.07
Saibā Oni
4.0% $18.57
Hydro Strike
4.0% $16.76
Emphorosaur-S
16.0% $11.80
Randy Rush
4.0% $9.47
Max Win
$36.14 (+240.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$9.95 (-6.2%)
Win %
32.0%
Volatility
+83.0%
Cost
$10.61
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $10.61
Ask Price EV $9.95 (-6.2%)
Bid Price EV $8.48 (-20.1%)
Ask Profit $-0.66 (-6.2%)
Bid Profit $-2.13 (-20.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.48 (+13.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.66
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.13
Risk
Win Probability 32.0%
Loss Probability 68.0%
Best Case $36.14 (+240.6%)
Worst Case $2.65 (-75.0%)
Volatility +83.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$8.73
Avg Loss -$5.07
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.65 (-75.0%)
Std Dev $8.81
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 144h 23m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Insomnia
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.58 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$1.76 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Factory New
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Liquidation
—
Factory New
$2.24 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Statics
—
Minimal Wear
$1.11 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Statics
—
Minimal Wear
$1.62 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01M 40S //TOTAL COST $10.61 //ASK PRICE EV $9.95 //BID PRICE EV $8.48 //ASK PROFIT $-0.66 (-6.2%) //BID PROFIT $-2.13 (-20.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 32.0% //BEST CASE $36.14 //VOLATILITY +83.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID
4.0%
$36.14
+$25.53
+240.6%
$27.00
+$16.39
+154.5%
$9.14
25.3%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$36.07
+$25.46
+240.0%
$32.04
+$21.43
+202.0%
$4.03
11.2%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$18.57
+$7.96
+75.1%
$15.73
+$5.12
+48.3%
$2.84
15.3%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$16.76
+$6.15
+58.0%
$14.28
+$3.67
+34.6%
$2.48
14.8%
—
PAPER WIN
16.0%
$11.80
+$1.19
+11.3%
$10.16
-$0.45
-4.2%
$1.64
13.9%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$9.47
-$1.14
-10.7%
$8.92
-$1.69
-15.9%
$0.55
5.8%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$8.22
-$2.39
-22.5%
$6.67
-$3.94
-37.1%
$1.55
18.8%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$6.96
-$3.65
-34.4%
$6.18
-$4.43
-41.8%
$0.78
11.1%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$3.33
-$7.28
-68.6%
$3.08
-$7.53
-71.0%
$0.25
7.5%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$2.65
-$7.96
-75.0%
$2.41
-$8.20
-77.3%
$0.24
9.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.05244750000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 6.9555,
"optimistic_value": 6.7,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 6.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:12:47.460982Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.05594400000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 11.804499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 10.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:46.328444Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.2505594,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.041958,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.331,
"optimistic_value": 3.31,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:05.667331Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 8.219,
"optimistic_value": 8.17,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 6.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:23:11.587699Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.05604316074,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 16.759,
"optimistic_value": 16.29,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 14.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.350675Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.0594405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 36.0705,
"optimistic_value": 35.57,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 32.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T08:34:09.254161Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.04615380000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 18.573,
"optimistic_value": 18.09,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 15.73,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:48.491520Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.05244750000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 9.472999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 9.2,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 8.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:51.123630Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.05244750000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 36.1385,
"optimistic_value": 35.61,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 27,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.036973Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_13d3d09eba234d958cc18856",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "516368488725172886",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:16:24.745066Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-e6a7543c4187",
"listing_id": "515241791650778785",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Insomnia (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Insomnia",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e6a7543c4187.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:18:28.085646Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "503982792710309731",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:16:24.745066Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "502857689861700028",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:39.480722Z"
},
{
"price": 0.58,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "524249787961735143",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:39.480722Z"
},
{
"price": 1.76,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "515241791644842529",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:57:45.244394Z"
},
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "496102237882665215",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:13:22.633544Z"
},
{
"price": 2.24,
"skin_id": "skin-d87f89df4191",
"listing_id": "506235389468627736",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Liquidation (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Liquidation",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d87f89df4191.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:18.773905Z"
},
{
"price": 1.11,
"skin_id": "skin-63ed7bb762a0",
"listing_id": "499479989896945201",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Statics",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-63ed7bb762a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:06.827912Z"
},
{
"price": 1.62,
"skin_id": "skin-63ed7bb762a0",
"listing_id": "775323495749622894",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Statics",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-63ed7bb762a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:06.827912Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:8+collection-set-community-34:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 4.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 16.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +378.9% | $3.80 +27.9% | 52.0% | +100.2% | $2.97 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 4.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 16.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +314.7% | $3.94 +14.9% | 36.0% | +85.2% | $3.43 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $14.22 Turbine 8.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 8.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 8.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 8.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +259.2% | $5.17 +30.7% | 52.0% | +89.3% | $3.96 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $14.22 Turbine 6.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 6.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 6.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 6.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +312.3% | $4.49 +30.0% | 44.0% | +96.8% | $3.45 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Gallery Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 10.0% $14.22 Turbine 10.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 10.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 10.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 10.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +203.9% | $5.86 +25.2% | 40.0% | +77.6% | $4.68 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Gallery Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 12.0% $14.22 Turbine 12.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 12.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 12.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 12.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +164.9% | $6.55 +21.9% | 48.0% | +68.1% | $5.37 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Gallery Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 14.0% $14.22 Turbine 14.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 14.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 14.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 14.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +131.7% | $7.23 +17.8% | 56.0% | +59.5% | $6.14 | — |