The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Genesis Collection ×1
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Motorized
4x $0.18
Light Box
1x $0.21
Dark Sigil
2x $0.32
Hideout
1x $0.34
Slag
1x $0.38
Red Wing
1x $0.40
↓
Possible Outputs
Liquidation
2.0% $21.44
Etch Lord
18.0% $4.45
Cat Fight
2.0% $4.24
Angel Eyes
2.0% $4.21
Block-18
18.0% $4.19
Continuum
2.0% $4.01
Max Win
$21.44 (+605.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.75 (+23.3%)
Win %
64.0%
Volatility
+88.2%
Cost
$3.04
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.04
Ask Price EV $3.75 (+23.3%)
Bid Price EV $3.38 (+11.1%)
Ask Profit $0.71 (+23.3%)
Bid Profit $0.34 (+11.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.37 (+12.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.71
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.34
Risk
Win Probability 64.0%
Loss Probability 36.0%
Best Case $21.44 (+605.2%)
Worst Case $1.98 (-34.8%)
Volatility +88.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 18.0%
Avg Win +$1.51
Avg Loss -$0.71
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.98 (-34.8%)
Std Dev $2.68
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 147h 49m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 30M 40S //TOTAL COST $3.04 //ASK PRICE EV $3.75 //BID PRICE EV $3.38 //ASK PROFIT $0.71 (+23.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.34 (+11.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 64.0% //BEST CASE $21.44 //VOLATILITY +88.2% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
2.0%
$21.44
+$18.40
+605.2%
$18.66
+$15.62
+513.8%
$2.78
13.0%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$4.45
+$1.41
+46.3%
$3.86
+$0.82
+27.0%
$0.59
13.2%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
2.0%
$4.24
+$1.20
+39.6%
$3.83
+$0.79
+26.0%
$0.41
9.7%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
2.0%
$4.21
+$1.17
+38.3%
$3.72
+$0.68
+22.4%
$0.49
11.5%
—
WIN
18.0%
$4.19
+$1.15
+37.8%
$3.88
+$0.84
+27.6%
$0.31
7.4%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
2.0%
$4.01
+$0.97
+32.0%
$3.63
+$0.59
+19.4%
$0.38
9.6%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
2.0%
$3.92
+$0.88
+29.0%
$3.65
+$0.61
+20.1%
$0.27
6.9%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$3.32
+$0.28
+9.3%
$2.85
-$0.19
-6.2%
$0.47
14.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$2.67
-$0.37
-12.1%
$2.60
-$0.44
-14.5%
$0.07
2.7%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.98
-$1.06
-34.8%
$1.85
-$1.19
-39.1%
$0.13
6.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.6725,
"optimistic_value": 2.62,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:22:58.284740Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.1006871875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.4475,
"optimistic_value": 4.43,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:47.747830Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.324,
"optimistic_value": 3.31,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:28.298376Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.09274235959999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9815,
"optimistic_value": 1.95,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:35.007632Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 4.2055,
"optimistic_value": 4.09,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 3.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T21:16:32.226410Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 21.439,
"optimistic_value": 21.32,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 18.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:44:31.788316Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 4.242500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 4.19,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 3.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:23:09.286833Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 3.9219999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 3.88,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:30:19.908243Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 4.0135000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 3.94,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 3.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:08:40.531549Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_13a0ea688fd89e48a5402c15",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "520872088107454116",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:26:14.375579Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "506235389470549452",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:26:14.375579Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "518620288314777880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:38.013133Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "505109489448921836",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:00.907125Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "525375522204066055",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:28:14.177566Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "520872088106698692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:33:28.458270Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:00.907125Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:28:14.177566Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "508486392212133206",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:23:06.772802Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "496102290329494463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:17.791740Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:9+collection-set-community-36:1"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Genesis Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 2.0% $11.18 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Etch Lord 18.0% $2.30 Cat Fight 2.0% $2.29 Angel Eyes 2.0% $2.07 Ocular 2.0% $2.07 | $11.18 +403.8% | $2.46 +10.6% | 40.0% | +64.9% | $2.22 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Genesis Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 6.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 6.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 6.0% $4.21 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Continuum 6.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +492.2% | $4.60 +27.0% | 58.0% | +114.2% | $3.62 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 10.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 10.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 10.0% $4.21 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Continuum 10.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +397.4% | $5.45 +26.4% | 20.0% | +119.1% | $4.31 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 8.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 8.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 8.0% $4.21 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Continuum 8.0% $3.98 | $21.44 +437.3% | $5.02 +25.9% | 48.0% | +117.2% | $3.99 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Genesis Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 12.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 12.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 12.0% $4.21 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Continuum 12.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +359.1% | $5.87 +25.7% | 12.0% | +118.3% | $4.67 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Genesis Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 14.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 6.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 14.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 14.0% $4.21 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 Continuum 14.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +325.4% | $6.30 +25.1% | 14.0% | +116.4% | $5.04 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Genesis Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 4.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 4.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 4.0% $4.21 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Continuum 4.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +536.2% | $4.18 +23.9% | 52.0% | +102.5% | $3.37 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Genesis Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 16.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 4.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 16.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 16.0% $4.21 Block-18 4.0% $4.19 Continuum 16.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +293.4% | $6.72 +23.2% | 16.0% | +113.6% | $5.45 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Genesis Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 18.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 2.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 18.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 18.0% $4.21 Block-18 2.0% $4.19 Continuum 18.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +265.9% | $7.14 +21.8% | 18.0% | +110.5% | $5.86 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Ice Coaled  16.7% $26.55 Black Lotus  16.7% $23.51 Smoking Kills  16.7% $21.84 Mirror Mosaic  16.7% $19.60 Jawbreaker  16.7% $14.90 Olympus  16.7% $8.68 | $26.55 +75.5% | $19.18 +26.8% | 66.7% | +39.0% | $15.13 | — |