The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Genesis Collection ×1
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Motorized
5x $0.15
Slag
1x $0.17
Hideout
1x $0.20
Light Box
1x $0.21
Dark Sigil
1x $0.32
Bullfrog
1x $0.20
↓
Possible Outputs
Liquidation
2.0% $11.18
Block-18
18.0% $4.19
Etch Lord
18.0% $2.32
Cat Fight
2.0% $2.29
Angel Eyes
2.0% $2.07
Ocular
2.0% $2.07
Max Win
$11.18 (+390.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.46 (+7.9%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+68.7%
Cost
$2.28
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.28
Ask Price EV $2.46 (+7.9%)
Bid Price EV $2.25 (-1.4%)
Ask Profit $0.18 (+7.9%)
Bid Profit $-0.03 (-1.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.21 (+9.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.18
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.03
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $11.18 (+390.5%)
Worst Case $1.44 (-36.7%)
Volatility +68.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 36.0%
Avg Win +$1.33
Avg Loss -$0.58
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.44 (-36.7%)
Std Dev $1.57
Avg Norm Float 0.2231
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 148h 43m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 29M 13S //TOTAL COST $2.28 //ASK PRICE EV $2.46 //BID PRICE EV $2.25 //ASK PROFIT $0.18 (+7.9%) //BID PROFIT $-0.03 (-1.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $11.18 //VOLATILITY +68.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
2.0%
$11.18
+$8.90
+390.5%
$9.26
+$6.98
+306.1%
$1.92
17.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$4.19
+$1.91
+83.8%
$3.88
+$1.60
+70.2%
$0.31
7.4%
—
PAPER WIN
18.0%
$2.32
+$0.04
+1.9%
$2.08
-$0.20
-8.8%
$0.24
10.5%
—
PAPER WIN
2.0%
$2.29
+$0.01
+0.3%
$1.96
-$0.32
-14.0%
$0.33
14.3%
—
LOSS
2.0%
$2.07
-$0.21
-9.1%
$1.85
-$0.43
-18.9%
$0.22
10.8%
—
LOSS
2.0%
$2.07
-$0.21
-9.4%
$1.81
-$0.47
-20.6%
$0.26
12.4%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.98
-$0.30
-13.1%
$1.85
-$0.43
-18.9%
$0.13
6.6%
—
LOSS
2.0%
$1.85
-$0.43
-18.7%
$1.84
-$0.44
-19.3%
$0.01
0.7%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.56
-$0.72
-31.6%
$1.43
-$0.85
-37.3%
$0.13
8.3%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.44
-$0.84
-36.7%
$1.39
-$0.89
-39.0%
$0.05
3.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.22312,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.444,
"optimistic_value": 1.43,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:17:53.729273Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14990875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.22312,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.324,
"optimistic_value": 2.31,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:15:03.044007Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.22312,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.1380800432,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9815,
"optimistic_value": 1.95,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:31:31.595572Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.22312,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 2.0735,
"optimistic_value": 2.07,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:09.968305Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.22312,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 11.1845,
"optimistic_value": 11.09,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 9.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:37.549162Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.22312,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 2.2875,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 1.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:33:45.608935Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.22312,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 2.0665,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 1.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T06:00:08.287380Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.22312,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 1.8535000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.85,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 1.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:15.958118Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_13a0ea688fd89e48a5402c15",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "501731842661137109",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:12:12.177703Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "503983642532388475",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:12:12.177703Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "500605942755366047",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:31:46.274458Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "525375740885225203",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:12:12.177703Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "514116523129581066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:31:45.290420Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "518620288314777880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:32.223322Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "525375522204066055",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:40.578059Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "503983642532458279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:04.876770Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:04.876770Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "511864888984098909",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:17:20.528484Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:9+collection-set-community-36:1"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Genesis Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 2.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 2.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 2.0% $4.21 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Continuum 2.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +576.3% | $3.72 +17.3% | 46.0% | +80.0% | $3.17 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 8.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 8.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 8.0% $4.21 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Continuum 8.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +442.8% | $5.03 +27.3% | 56.0% | +118.3% | $3.95 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 10.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 10.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 10.0% $4.21 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Continuum 10.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +398.6% | $5.45 +26.8% | 30.0% | +119.3% | $4.30 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Genesis Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 12.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 12.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 12.0% $4.21 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Continuum 12.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +361.1% | $5.88 +26.4% | 12.0% | +118.8% | $4.65 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Genesis Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 14.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 6.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 14.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 14.0% $4.21 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 Continuum 14.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +325.4% | $6.29 +24.9% | 14.0% | +116.5% | $5.04 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Genesis Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 4.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 4.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 4.0% $4.21 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Continuum 4.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +538.1% | $4.17 +24.2% | 52.0% | +102.8% | $3.36 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Genesis Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 6.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 6.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 6.0% $4.21 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Continuum 6.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +481.0% | $4.58 +24.0% | 58.0% | +112.1% | $3.69 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Genesis Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 16.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 4.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 16.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 16.0% $4.21 Block-18 4.0% $4.19 Continuum 16.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +293.4% | $6.72 +23.3% | 16.0% | +113.4% | $5.45 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Genesis Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 18.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 2.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 18.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 18.0% $4.21 Block-18 2.0% $4.19 Continuum 18.0% $4.01 | $21.44 +265.2% | $7.16 +21.9% | 18.0% | +110.2% | $5.87 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Ice Coaled  16.7% $26.55 Black Lotus  16.7% $23.51 Smoking Kills  16.7% $21.84 Mirror Mosaic  16.7% $19.54 Jawbreaker  16.7% $14.90 Olympus  16.7% $8.56 | $26.55 +74.9% | $19.15 +26.2% | 66.7% | +39.1% | $15.18 | — |