The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Train 2025 Collection ×3
Restricted → Classified FT 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested
Inputs
Space Cat
1x $0.83
Dream Glade
3x $0.88
Ticket to Hell
1x $0.98
Zombie Offensive
2x $1.00
Whiteout
2x $4.02
Charged Up
1x $7.44
↓
Possible Outputs
Hellish
15.0% $64.09
Latte Rush
15.0% $41.81
Rapid Eye Movement
23.3% $8.87
Melondrama
23.3% $8.78
Abyssal Apparition
23.3% $8.77
Max Win
$64.09 (+172.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$22.05 (-6.3%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+89.8%
Cost
$23.53
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $23.53
Ask Price EV $22.05 (-6.3%)
Bid Price EV $20.99 (-10.8%)
Ask Profit $-1.48 (-6.3%)
Bid Profit $-2.54 (-10.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.06 (+4.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.48
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.54
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $64.09 (+172.4%)
Worst Case $8.77 (-62.7%)
Volatility +89.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 70.0%
Avg Win +$29.42
Avg Loss -$14.73
Bottom 5% Outcome $8.77 (-62.7%)
Std Dev $21.13
Avg Norm Float 0.2601
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 151h 22m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
—
Field-Tested
$0.83 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Dream Glade
—
Field-Tested
$0.88 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Ticket to Hell
—
Field-Tested
$0.98 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
—
Minimal Wear
$1.00 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
—
Minimal Wear
$1.05 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Dream Glade
—
Field-Tested
$1.07 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Dream Glade
—
Field-Tested
$1.15 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Battle-Scarred
$4.02 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
$5.11 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
—
Field-Tested
$7.44 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 31M 05S //TOTAL COST $23.53 //ASK PRICE EV $22.05 //BID PRICE EV $20.99 //ASK PROFIT $-1.48 (-6.3%) //BID PROFIT $-2.54 (-10.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $64.09 //VOLATILITY +89.8% //
Possible Outputs · 5
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
15.0%
$64.09
+$40.56
+172.4%
$58.73
+$35.20
+149.6%
$5.36
8.4%
—
BIG WIN
15.0%
$41.81
+$18.28
+77.7%
$41.00
+$17.47
+74.2%
$0.81
1.9%
—
NUKE
23.3%
$8.87
-$14.66
-62.3%
$8.60
-$14.93
-63.5%
$0.27
3.0%
—
NUKE
23.3%
$8.78
-$14.75
-62.7%
$8.60
-$14.93
-63.5%
$0.18
2.0%
—
NUKE
23.3%
$8.77
-$14.76
-62.7%
$8.64
-$14.89
-63.3%
$0.13
1.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-train-2025|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.26007,
"output_skin_id": "skin-53e4dc76b3e5",
"realistic_value": 8.779,
"optimistic_value": 8.66,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Melondrama",
"conservative_value": 8.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:14.275259Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53e4dc76b3e5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.26007,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c1ded03e3025",
"realistic_value": 8.8655,
"optimistic_value": 8.75,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement",
"conservative_value": 8.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:15.544742Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c1ded03e3025.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.26007,
"output_skin_id": "skin-335f1a313262",
"realistic_value": 8.77,
"optimistic_value": 8.7,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Abyssal Apparition",
"conservative_value": 8.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:00:28.389125Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-335f1a313262.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.26007,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e7d48237eb0f",
"realistic_value": 64.08749999999999,
"optimistic_value": 64.07,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Hellish",
"conservative_value": 58.73,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Hellish (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:54.419332Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e7d48237eb0f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.26007,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9836cfa060f6",
"realistic_value": 41.812000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 41.7,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush",
"conservative_value": 41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:18:56.590646Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9836cfa060f6.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_133bcf705d29a6b7efbdd74d",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.83,
"skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"listing_id": "520872141038043948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:01:17.353437Z"
},
{
"price": 0.88,
"skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"listing_id": "528753440605244061",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:11:14.973080Z"
},
{
"price": 0.98,
"skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"listing_id": "524249840859239679",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:58:48.741499Z"
},
{
"price": 1,
"skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"listing_id": "493850543432429356",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:08:19.867796Z"
},
{
"price": 1.05,
"skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"listing_id": "517494388634356150",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:08:19.867796Z"
},
{
"price": 1.07,
"skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"listing_id": "502857689862873376",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:11:14.973080Z"
},
{
"price": 1.15,
"skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"listing_id": "519745391324947412",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:11:14.973080Z"
},
{
"price": 4.02,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "493850543432460388",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:02:32.501817Z"
},
{
"price": 5.11,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "525375740885754691",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:39.849143Z"
},
{
"price": 7.44,
"skin_id": "skin-9446ef74272b",
"listing_id": "528753440605103553",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9446ef74272b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:11.795154Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-30:7+collection-set-train-2025:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Train 2025 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 15.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 15.0% $294.44 Rapid Eye Movement 23.3% $39.43 Abyssal Apparition 23.3% $34.92 Melondrama 23.3% $33.54 | $597.10 +378.4% | $158.90 +27.3% | 30.0% | +164.5% | $124.80 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Train 2025 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Hellish 15.0% $138.17 Latte Rush 15.0% $122.85 Melondrama 23.3% $11.31 Abyssal Apparition 23.3% $11.16 Rapid Eye Movement 23.3% $11.07 | $138.17 +223.4% | $46.98 +9.9% | 30.0% | +128.4% | $42.73 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 25.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 25.0% $294.44 Rapid Eye Movement 16.7% $39.43 Abyssal Apparition 16.7% $34.92 Melondrama 16.7% $33.54 | $597.10 +218.5% | $240.87 +28.5% | 50.0% | +123.3% | $187.46 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 20.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 20.0% $294.44 Rapid Eye Movement 20.0% $39.43 Abyssal Apparition 20.0% $34.92 Melondrama 20.0% $33.54 | $597.10 +279.9% | $199.88 +27.2% | 40.0% | +141.5% | $157.17 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 30.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 30.0% $294.44 Rapid Eye Movement 13.3% $39.43 Abyssal Apparition 13.3% $34.92 Melondrama 13.3% $33.54 | $597.10 +166.2% | $281.85 +25.7% | 60.0% | +103.7% | $224.27 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 35.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 35.0% $294.44 Rapid Eye Movement 10.0% $39.43 Abyssal Apparition 10.0% $34.92 Melondrama 10.0% $33.54 | $597.10 +129.3% | $322.83 +24.0% | 70.0% | +87.0% | $260.35 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Train 2025 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 10.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 10.0% $294.44 Rapid Eye Movement 26.7% $39.43 Abyssal Apparition 26.7% $34.92 Melondrama 26.7% $33.54 | $597.10 +508.0% | $117.92 +20.1% | 20.0% | +180.6% | $98.20 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2+The Train 2025 Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 40.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 40.0% $294.44 Rapid Eye Movement 6.7% $39.43 Abyssal Apparition 6.7% $34.92 Melondrama 6.7% $33.54 | $597.10 +96.6% | $363.81 +19.8% | 40.0% | +70.0% | $303.76 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×9+The Train 2025 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Hellish 5.0% $138.17 Latte Rush 5.0% $122.85 Abyssal Apparition 30.0% $11.17 Melondrama 30.0% $11.15 Rapid Eye Movement 30.0% $11.07 | $138.17 +606.8% | $23.07 +18.0% | 10.0% | +183.6% | $19.55 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×1+The Train 2025 Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 45.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 45.0% $294.44 Rapid Eye Movement 3.3% $39.43 Abyssal Apparition 3.3% $34.92 Melondrama 3.3% $33.54 | $597.10 +69.2% | $404.79 +14.7% | 45.0% | +53.6% | $352.83 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Whiteout 16.7% $9.68 Charged Up 16.7% $7.44 Derailment  16.7% $7.13 Night Terror  10.0% $1.00 Zombie Offensive 10.0% $0.96 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $0.93 | $9.68 +182.2% | $4.50 +31.2% | 50.0% | +95.9% | $3.43 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Train 2025 Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | LongDog  20.0% $663.30 Nightwish  40.0% $117.09 Starlight Protector  40.0% $112.74 | $663.30 +288.5% | $224.59 +31.6% | 20.0% | +128.5% | $170.72 | — |