The Operation Broken Fang Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Digital Mesh
2x $2.02
Deep Relief
1x $2.31
Bock Blocks
5x $0.50
Fusion
1x $0.54
RMX
1x $1.62
↓
Possible Outputs
Exoskeleton
6.0% $25.73
Parallax
6.0% $19.79
Dezastre
6.0% $17.68
Electrum
14.0% $16.94
Clear Polymer
6.0% $13.86
Gold Bismuth
6.0% $13.13
Max Win
$25.73 (+108.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$11.54 (-6.3%)
Win %
44.0%
Volatility
+50.8%
Cost
$12.32
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $12.32
Ask Price EV $11.54 (-6.3%)
Bid Price EV $9.34 (-24.2%)
Ask Profit $-0.78 (-6.3%)
Bid Profit $-2.98 (-24.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.20 (+17.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.78
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.98
Risk
Win Probability 44.0%
Loss Probability 56.0%
Best Case $25.73 (+108.8%)
Worst Case $4.76 (-61.4%)
Volatility +50.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 42.0%
Avg Win +$5.37
Avg Loss -$5.61
Bottom 5% Outcome $4.76 (-61.4%)
Std Dev $6.26
Avg Norm Float 0.1493
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 148h 55m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
G3SG1 | Digital Mesh
—
Minimal Wear
$2.02 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Digital Mesh
—
Minimal Wear
$2.03 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Deep Relief
—
Minimal Wear
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.54 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.74 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$1.07 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Minimal Wear
$1.62 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 30M 14S //TOTAL COST $12.32 //ASK PRICE EV $11.54 //BID PRICE EV $9.34 //ASK PROFIT $-0.78 (-6.3%) //BID PROFIT $-2.98 (-24.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 44.0% //BEST CASE $25.73 //VOLATILITY +50.8% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$25.73
+$13.41
+108.8%
$21.31
+$8.99
+73.0%
$4.42
17.2%
—
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$19.79
+$7.47
+60.6%
$13.29
+$0.97
+7.9%
$6.50
32.8%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$17.68
+$5.36
+43.5%
$13.37
+$1.05
+8.5%
$4.31
24.4%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$16.94
+$4.62
+37.5%
$14.31
+$1.99
+16.2%
$2.63
15.5%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$13.86
+$1.54
+12.5%
$10.28
-$2.04
-16.6%
$3.58
25.8%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID
6.0%
$13.13
+$0.80
+6.5%
$9.68
-$2.64
-21.4%
$3.45
26.2%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$10.78
-$1.54
-12.5%
$9.15
-$3.17
-25.7%
$1.63
15.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$5.89
-$6.43
-52.2%
$4.92
-$7.40
-60.1%
$0.97
16.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$5.43
-$6.89
-55.9%
$4.95
-$7.37
-59.8%
$0.48
8.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$4.76
-$7.57
-61.4%
$4.26
-$8.06
-65.4%
$0.50
10.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-27|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-27"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14933,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 10.7765,
"optimistic_value": 10.71,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.430728Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14933,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 5.433,
"optimistic_value": 5.37,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 4.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:50.622862Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14933,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 16.936,
"optimistic_value": 16.88,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 14.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.044782Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14933,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 5.891500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 5.86,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 4.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:41.261032Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14933,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 4.755,
"optimistic_value": 4.65,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 4.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:13.401858Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14933,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a89bff508437",
"realistic_value": 25.725,
"optimistic_value": 25.27,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Exoskeleton",
"conservative_value": 21.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Operation Broken Fang Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:08:41.336902Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a89bff508437.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14933,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f6e2834cc427",
"realistic_value": 17.676000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 17.55,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Dezastre",
"conservative_value": 13.37,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Operation Broken Fang Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:59.592655Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f6e2834cc427.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14933,
"output_skin_id": "skin-be0f8a429ce6",
"realistic_value": 13.8605,
"optimistic_value": 12.38,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Clear Polymer",
"conservative_value": 10.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Operation Broken Fang Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:42:09.189697Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-be0f8a429ce6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14933,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aeb0591ce152",
"realistic_value": 19.7905,
"optimistic_value": 18.8,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Parallax",
"conservative_value": 13.29,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Operation Broken Fang Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T22:35:16.287580Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aeb0591ce152.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.10453099999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b154f1229365",
"realistic_value": 13.125,
"optimistic_value": 12.74,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth",
"conservative_value": 9.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Operation Broken Fang Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T11:29:33.227985Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b154f1229365.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_10414737058f580ad718111c",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.02,
"skin_id": "skin-6f675fd9f54c",
"listing_id": "503983537176491959",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Digital Mesh",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f675fd9f54c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:07:20.576446Z"
},
{
"price": 2.03,
"skin_id": "skin-6f675fd9f54c",
"listing_id": "505108692487941692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Digital Mesh",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f675fd9f54c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:07:20.576446Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-4c1d61428041",
"listing_id": "501731624159899193",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Deep Relief",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c1d61428041.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:35.198712Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "509613036859925607",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:38.533199Z"
},
{
"price": 0.54,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "641342016844184047",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:17:55.920787Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "643593816523454425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:38.533199Z"
},
{
"price": 0.74,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "493850543433131140",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:19.274491Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "508487242223022158",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:19.274491Z"
},
{
"price": 1.07,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "503983423969275595",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:19.274491Z"
},
{
"price": 1.62,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "515242423034647657",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:37.293577Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-27:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Broken Fang Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Exoskeleton 6.0% $70.99 Dezastre 6.0% $57.06 Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Parallax 6.0% $42.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Clear Polymer 6.0% $29.81 | $70.99 +189.5% | $31.67 +29.2% | 58.0% | +56.5% | $24.52 | — |
The Operation Broken Fang Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Exoskeleton 6.0% $17.41 Electrum 14.0% $10.69 Dezastre 6.0% $9.56 Parallax 6.0% $7.64 Clear Polymer 6.0% $6.98 Gold Bismuth 6.0% $6.42 | $17.41 +190.2% | $6.57 +9.5% | 58.0% | +52.9% | $6.00 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Broken Fang Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Exoskeleton 4.0% $70.99 Dezastre 4.0% $57.06 Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Parallax 4.0% $42.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Clear Polymer 4.0% $29.81 | $70.99 +210.1% | $29.77 +30.1% | 52.0% | +58.4% | $22.89 | — |
The Operation Broken Fang Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Exoskeleton 8.0% $70.99 Dezastre 8.0% $57.06 Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Parallax 8.0% $42.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Clear Polymer 8.0% $29.81 | $70.99 +163.8% | $33.63 +25.0% | 56.0% | +52.6% | $26.91 | — |
The Operation Broken Fang Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Exoskeleton 10.0% $70.99 Dezastre 10.0% $57.06 Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Parallax 10.0% $42.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Clear Polymer 10.0% $29.81 | $70.99 +142.0% | $35.54 +21.2% | 60.0% | +49.0% | $29.33 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Broken Fang Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Cyber Security  3.3% $215.76 Monster Mashup  3.3% $183.16 Fairy Tale  3.3% $124.07 Kintsugi  30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.67 | $290.04 +158.6% | $140.18 +25.0% | 40.0% | +93.1% | $112.16 | — |