The Operation Broken Fang Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Digital Mesh
1x $2.03
Deep Relief
2x $2.31
Fusion
4x $0.73
Bock Blocks
3x $2.36
↓
Possible Outputs
Exoskeleton
6.0% $70.99
Dezastre
6.0% $57.06
Electrum
14.0% $51.27
Parallax
6.0% $42.27
Firebreathing
14.0% $31.66
Clear Polymer
6.0% $29.81
Max Win
$70.99 (+194.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$31.67 (+31.4%)
Win %
58.0%
Volatility
+72.5%
Cost
$24.11
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $24.11
Ask Price EV $31.67 (+31.4%)
Bid Price EV $24.06 (-0.2%)
Ask Profit $7.56 (+31.4%)
Bid Profit $-0.05 (-0.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $7.61 (+31.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$7.56
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.05
Risk
Win Probability 58.0%
Loss Probability 42.0%
Best Case $70.99 (+194.4%)
Worst Case $13.57 (-43.7%)
Volatility +72.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 28.0%
Avg Win +$19.16
Avg Loss -$8.46
Bottom 5% Outcome $13.57 (-43.7%)
Std Dev $17.47
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 154h 8m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
G3SG1 | Digital Mesh
—
Minimal Wear
$2.03 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Deep Relief
—
Minimal Wear
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Deep Relief
—
Minimal Wear
$2.42 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.73 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.36 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.46 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.55 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.56 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.99 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$3.70 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 26M 27S //TOTAL COST $24.11 //ASK PRICE EV $31.67 //BID PRICE EV $24.06 //ASK PROFIT $7.56 (+31.4%) //BID PROFIT $-0.05 (-0.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 58.0% //BEST CASE $70.99 //VOLATILITY +72.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$70.99
+$46.88
+194.4%
$49.57
+$25.46
+105.6%
$21.42
30.2%
—
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$57.06
+$32.95
+136.7%
$28.65
+$4.54
+18.8%
$28.41
49.8%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$51.27
+$27.16
+112.7%
$43.51
+$19.40
+80.5%
$7.76
15.1%
—
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$42.27
+$18.16
+75.3%
$28.43
+$4.32
+17.9%
$13.84
32.7%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$31.66
+$7.55
+31.3%
$29.45
+$5.34
+22.1%
$2.21
7.0%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$29.81
+$5.70
+23.6%
$19.87
-$4.24
-17.6%
$9.93
33.3%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID
6.0%
$24.64
+$0.53
+2.2%
$15.96
-$8.15
-33.8%
$8.68
35.2%
—
LOSS THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$18.87
-$5.24
-21.7%
$12.97
-$11.14
-46.2%
$5.90
31.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$14.51
-$9.60
-39.8%
$13.05
-$11.06
-45.9%
$1.46
10.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$13.57
-$10.54
-43.7%
$11.82
-$12.29
-51.0%
$1.75
12.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-27|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-27"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 31.657,
"optimistic_value": 31.02,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 29.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.490012Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 14.512,
"optimistic_value": 14.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 13.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.833807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 51.274,
"optimistic_value": 50.91,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 43.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.200704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 18.869,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 12.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:36:10.284461Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 13.574,
"optimistic_value": 13.42,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:37.968447Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a89bff508437",
"realistic_value": 70.9915,
"optimistic_value": 69,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Exoskeleton",
"conservative_value": 49.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Operation Broken Fang Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:46.708494Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a89bff508437.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f6e2834cc427",
"realistic_value": 57.0565,
"optimistic_value": 47.68,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Dezastre",
"conservative_value": 28.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Operation Broken Fang Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T00:51:52.338715Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f6e2834cc427.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-be0f8a429ce6",
"realistic_value": 29.805,
"optimistic_value": 80.09,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Clear Polymer",
"conservative_value": 19.87,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Operation Broken Fang Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T04:22:05.801294Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-be0f8a429ce6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aeb0591ce152",
"realistic_value": 42.27,
"optimistic_value": 42.06,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Parallax",
"conservative_value": 28.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Operation Broken Fang Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T00:26:55.529215Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aeb0591ce152.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.048979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b154f1229365",
"realistic_value": 24.641000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 24.41,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth",
"conservative_value": 15.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Operation Broken Fang Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:30.854278Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b154f1229365.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_10414737058f580ad718111c",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.03,
"skin_id": "skin-6f675fd9f54c",
"listing_id": "505108692487941692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Digital Mesh",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f675fd9f54c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:17:43.526344Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-4c1d61428041",
"listing_id": "501731624159899193",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Deep Relief",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c1d61428041.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:59:49.851852Z"
},
{
"price": 2.42,
"skin_id": "skin-4c1d61428041",
"listing_id": "649223244222172540",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-27",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Deep Relief",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c1d61428041.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:59:49.851852Z"
},
{
"price": 0.73,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "503983642533640231",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:09.719787Z"
},
{
"price": 2.36,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "497228243055300185",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:46.701716Z"
},
{
"price": 2.46,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "506235389470490196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:59:39.318057Z"
},
{
"price": 2.55,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "509613089304746343",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:46.701716Z"
},
{
"price": 2.56,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "500605889842157771",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:46.701716Z"
},
{
"price": 2.99,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "490472790738237423",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:59:39.318057Z"
},
{
"price": 3.7,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "501730992863239961",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:59:39.318057Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-27:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Broken Fang Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Exoskeleton 6.0% $17.41 Electrum 14.0% $10.69 Dezastre 6.0% $9.56 Parallax 6.0% $7.64 Clear Polymer 6.0% $6.98 Gold Bismuth 6.0% $6.42 | $17.41 +201.8% | $6.54 +13.3% | 58.0% | +55.2% | $5.77 | — |
The Operation Broken Fang Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Exoskeleton 6.0% $25.73 Parallax 6.0% $19.79 Dezastre 6.0% $17.68 Electrum 14.0% $16.94 Clear Polymer 6.0% $13.86 Gold Bismuth 6.0% $13.13 | $25.73 +143.1% | $11.55 +9.1% | 58.0% | +45.3% | $10.58 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Broken Fang Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Exoskeleton 4.0% $70.99 Dezastre 4.0% $57.06 Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Parallax 4.0% $42.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Clear Polymer 4.0% $29.81 | $70.99 +212.5% | $29.77 +31.0% | 52.0% | +58.8% | $22.72 | — |
The Operation Broken Fang Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Exoskeleton 8.0% $70.99 Dezastre 8.0% $57.06 Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Parallax 8.0% $42.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Clear Polymer 8.0% $29.81 | $70.99 +176.4% | $33.57 +30.7% | 56.0% | +55.3% | $25.68 | — |
The Operation Broken Fang Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Exoskeleton 10.0% $70.99 Dezastre 10.0% $57.06 Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Parallax 10.0% $42.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Clear Polymer 10.0% $29.81 | $70.99 +142.0% | $35.46 +20.9% | 60.0% | +49.1% | $29.33 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Broken Fang Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Cyber Security  3.3% $215.76 Monster Mashup  3.3% $183.16 Fairy Tale  3.3% $124.07 Kintsugi  30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.67 | $290.04 +161.7% | $140.18 +26.5% | 40.0% | +94.2% | $110.85 | — |