The Bank Collection ×7+The Inferno Collection ×3

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items

Factory New +27.4%Field-Tested -15.5%Minimal Wear -10.0%

Contract

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear

Inputs

Carbon Fiber

5x $0.31

Caged Steel

2x $0.41

Gunsmoke

3x $2.88

↓

Possible Outputs

Brass

15.0% $40.55

Anodized Navy

15.0% $35.31

Tuxedo

23.3% $2.61

Meteorite

23.3% $2.59

Tuxedo

23.3% $1.37

Max Win

$40.55 (+182.6%)

EV (ROI %)

$12.91 (-10.0%)

Win %

30.0%

Volatility

+114.6%

Cost

$14.35

Age —

Financials

Total Cost $14.35

Ask Price EV $12.91 (-10.0%)

Bid Price EV $10.80 (-24.8%)

Ask Profit $-1.44 (-10.0%)

Bid Profit $-3.55 (-24.8%)

Liquidity Gap $2.12 (+14.8%)

Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.44

Bid Slippage Buffer -$3.55

Risk

Win Probability 30.0%

Loss Probability 70.0%

Best Case $40.55 (+182.6%)

Worst Case $1.37 (-90.5%)

Volatility +114.6%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 70.0%

Avg Win +$23.58

Avg Loss -$12.16

Bottom 5% Outcome $1.37 (-90.5%)

Std Dev $16.45

Avg Norm Float 0.1498

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 10m

Oldest Output Price 150h 12m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Edge

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

—

Factory New

$0.31 Float: HIDDEN

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

—

Factory New

$0.37 Float: HIDDEN

Nova | Caged Steel

—

Factory New

$0.41 Float: HIDDEN

Nova | Caged Steel

—

Factory New

$0.48 Float: HIDDEN

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

—

Factory New

$0.52 Float: HIDDEN

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

—

Factory New

$0.54 Float: HIDDEN

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

—

Factory New

$0.75 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Gunsmoke

—

Well-Worn

$2.88 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Gunsmoke

—

Field-Tested

$3.49 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Gunsmoke

—

Field-Tested

$4.60 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 07M 12S //TOTAL COST $14.35 //ASK PRICE EV $12.91 //BID PRICE EV $10.80 //ASK PROFIT $-1.44 (-10.0%) //BID PROFIT $-3.55 (-24.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $40.55 //VOLATILITY +114.6% //

Possible Outputs · 5

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-bank|Industrial Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 7,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Industrial Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 3,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.11980800000000001,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-5fc8e75d4fa5",
      "realistic_value": 1.3675,
      "optimistic_value": 1.35,
      "output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo",
      "conservative_value": 1.19,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:18.005363Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5fc8e75d4fa5.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.0269568,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-3b1a5d288858",
      "realistic_value": 2.5935,
      "optimistic_value": 2.59,
      "output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite",
      "conservative_value": 2.59,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T15:36:51.127700Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3b1a5d288858.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.11980800000000001,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-8019620598a2",
      "realistic_value": 2.6115,
      "optimistic_value": 2.58,
      "output_full_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo",
      "conservative_value": 2.53,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T09:01:24.373572Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8019620598a2.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.15,
      "output_float": 0.0119808,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-ddc4aeda27ca",
      "realistic_value": 35.3115,
      "optimistic_value": 35,
      "output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy",
      "conservative_value": 33.55,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:06:08.805854Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc4aeda27ca.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.15,
      "output_float": 0.14976,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-62fc4feb5c7c",
      "realistic_value": 40.553,
      "optimistic_value": 38.32,
      "output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Brass",
      "conservative_value": 28.61,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:52.450752Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62fc4feb5c7c.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_0fad42954db3b5a296efa744",
  "input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 0.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
      "listing_id": "506235389470002864",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:58.211212Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.37,
      "skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
      "listing_id": "626705246085166643",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:58.211212Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.41,
      "skin_id": "skin-9014d6daf0a4",
      "listing_id": "499479989897339797",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "market_hash_name": "Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)",
      "name": "Nova | Caged Steel",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9014d6daf0a4.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:19.810771Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.48,
      "skin_id": "skin-9014d6daf0a4",
      "listing_id": "497227393152266981",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "market_hash_name": "Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)",
      "name": "Nova | Caged Steel",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9014d6daf0a4.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:19.810771Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.52,
      "skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
      "listing_id": "649222707055640884",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:58.211212Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.54,
      "skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
      "listing_id": "490471993852159563",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:58.211212Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.75,
      "skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
      "listing_id": "503983537174108111",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:58.211212Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.88,
      "skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
      "listing_id": "506235442367264832",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
      "market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:12.824533Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.49,
      "skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
      "listing_id": "517494222854307622",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
      "market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:14.822327Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 4.6,
      "skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
      "listing_id": "524249529996069051",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
      "market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:14.822327Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
  "stattrak_mode": false,
  "composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-bank:7+collection-set-inferno:3"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Bank Collection ×7+The Inferno Collection ×3 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New	Brass 15.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 15.0% $35.31 Tuxedo 23.3% $5.76 Tuxedo 23.3% $4.33 Meteorite 23.3% $2.59	$181.74 +551.9%	$35.52 +27.4%	30.0%	+223.8%	$27.88	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Bank Collection ×8+The Inferno Collection ×2 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New	Brass 10.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 10.0% $35.31 Tuxedo 26.7% $5.76 Tuxedo 26.7% $4.33 Meteorite 26.7% $2.59	$181.74 +840.7%	$25.09 +29.9%	20.0%	+274.6%	$19.32	—
The Bank Collection ×6+The Inferno Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New	Brass 20.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 20.0% $35.31 Tuxedo 20.0% $5.76 Tuxedo 20.0% $4.33 Meteorite 20.0% $2.59	$181.74 +408.7%	$45.95 +28.6%	20.0%	+193.0%	$35.73	—
The Bank Collection ×9+The Inferno Collection ×1 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New	Brass 5.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 5.0% $35.31 Tuxedo 30.0% $5.76 Tuxedo 30.0% $4.33 Meteorite 30.0% $2.59	$181.74 +1357.4%	$14.66 +17.5%	10.0%	+312.3%	$12.47	—