The Bank Collection ×7+The Inferno Collection ×3
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New
Inputs
Caged Steel
4x $0.60
Carbon Fiber
2x $0.75
Green Apple
1x $2.57
Gunsmoke
3x $3.80
↓
Possible Outputs
Brass
15.0% $181.74
Anodized Navy
15.0% $35.31
Tuxedo
23.3% $5.76
Tuxedo
23.3% $4.33
Meteorite
23.3% $2.59
Max Win
$181.74 (+566.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$35.52 (+30.1%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+228.7%
Cost
$27.29
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $27.29
Ask Price EV $35.52 (+30.1%)
Bid Price EV $25.73 (-5.7%)
Ask Profit $8.23 (+30.1%)
Bid Profit $-1.56 (-5.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $9.79 (+35.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$8.23
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.56
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $181.74 (+566.0%)
Worst Case $2.59 (-90.5%)
Volatility +228.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 70.0%
Avg Win +$81.24
Avg Loss -$23.06
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.59 (-90.5%)
Std Dev $62.40
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 149h 7m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Caged Steel
—
Factory New
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber
—
Factory New
$0.75 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Caged Steel
—
Factory New
$1.28 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber
—
Factory New
$1.75 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Caged Steel
—
Factory New
$2.00 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Caged Steel
—
Factory New
$2.57 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Green Apple
—
Factory New
$2.57 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Field-Tested
$3.80 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Field-Tested
$4.60 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Minimal Wear
$7.37 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 05M 10S //TOTAL COST $27.29 //ASK PRICE EV $35.52 //BID PRICE EV $25.73 //ASK PROFIT $8.23 (+30.1%) //BID PROFIT $-1.56 (-5.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $181.74 //VOLATILITY +228.7% //
Possible Outputs · 5
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
15.0%
$181.74
+$154.45
+566.0%
$120.00
+$92.71
+339.7%
$61.74
34.0%
—
WIN
15.0%
$35.31
+$8.02
+29.4%
$33.55
+$6.26
+22.9%
$1.76
5.0%
—
NUKE
23.3%
$5.76
-$21.54
-78.9%
$5.21
-$22.08
-80.9%
$0.54
9.5%
—
NUKE
23.3%
$4.33
-$22.96
-84.1%
$3.76
-$23.53
-86.2%
$0.57
13.3%
—
NUKE
23.3%
$2.59
-$24.70
-90.5%
$2.59
-$24.70
-90.5%
$0.00
0.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-bank|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.05594400000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5fc8e75d4fa5",
"realistic_value": 4.334499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 4.31,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo",
"conservative_value": 3.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:24.823708Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5fc8e75d4fa5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.0125874,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3b1a5d288858",
"realistic_value": 2.5935,
"optimistic_value": 2.59,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite",
"conservative_value": 2.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T15:36:51.127700Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3b1a5d288858.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.05594400000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8019620598a2",
"realistic_value": 5.755,
"optimistic_value": 5.72,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo",
"conservative_value": 5.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:05.476878Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8019620598a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.0055944,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc4aeda27ca",
"realistic_value": 35.3115,
"optimistic_value": 35,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy",
"conservative_value": 33.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:06:08.805854Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc4aeda27ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.06993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62fc4feb5c7c",
"realistic_value": 181.7415,
"optimistic_value": 150.91,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Brass",
"conservative_value": 120,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Brass (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:58.072873Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62fc4feb5c7c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_0fad42954db3b5a296efa744",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-9014d6daf0a4",
"listing_id": "490471993864949607",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Caged Steel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9014d6daf0a4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:36.788633Z"
},
{
"price": 0.75,
"skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
"listing_id": "503983537174108111",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:53:13.612696Z"
},
{
"price": 1.28,
"skin_id": "skin-9014d6daf0a4",
"listing_id": "496102343225479475",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Caged Steel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9014d6daf0a4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:36.788633Z"
},
{
"price": 1.75,
"skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
"listing_id": "627827974608577131",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:53:13.612696Z"
},
{
"price": 2,
"skin_id": "skin-9014d6daf0a4",
"listing_id": "631206489578145137",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Caged Steel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9014d6daf0a4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:36.788633Z"
},
{
"price": 2.57,
"skin_id": "skin-9014d6daf0a4",
"listing_id": "761804993892677387",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Caged Steel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9014d6daf0a4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:36.788633Z"
},
{
"price": 2.57,
"skin_id": "skin-35cdf436d872",
"listing_id": "761804993892665903",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Green Apple",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-35cdf436d872.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:58.747267Z"
},
{
"price": 3.8,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "627827340795868318",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:59:55.554844Z"
},
{
"price": 4.6,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "524249529996069051",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:59:55.554844Z"
},
{
"price": 7.37,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "524248990847644659",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:45.413982Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-bank:7+collection-set-inferno:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bank Collection ×8+The Inferno Collection ×2 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 10.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 10.0% $35.31 Tuxedo 26.7% $5.76 Tuxedo 26.7% $4.33 Meteorite 26.7% $2.59 | $181.74 +852.5% | $25.09 +31.5% | 20.0% | +278.0% | $19.08 | — |
The Bank Collection ×6+The Inferno Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 20.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 20.0% $35.31 Tuxedo 20.0% $5.76 Tuxedo 20.0% $4.33 Meteorite 20.0% $2.59 | $181.74 +397.5% | $45.95 +25.8% | 20.0% | +188.8% | $36.53 | — |
The Bank Collection ×9+The Inferno Collection ×1 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 5.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 5.0% $35.31 Tuxedo 30.0% $5.76 Tuxedo 30.0% $4.33 Meteorite 30.0% $2.59 | $181.74 +1371.6% | $14.66 +18.7% | 10.0% | +315.3% | $12.35 | — |