The Bank Collection ×7+The Inferno Collection ×3

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items

Factory New +27.4%Field-Tested -15.5%Minimal Wear -10.0%

Contract

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested

Inputs

Death Rattle

3x $0.12

Green Apple

1x $0.17

Caged Steel

1x $0.30

Carbon Fiber

2x $0.31

Gunsmoke

3x $2.37

↓

Possible Outputs

Anodized Navy

15.0% $35.31

Brass

15.0% $9.61

Meteorite

23.3% $2.59

Tuxedo

23.3% $0.89

Tuxedo

23.3% $0.46

Max Win

$35.31 (+289.8%)

EV (ROI %)

$7.66 (-15.5%)

Win %

30.0%

Volatility

+132.5%

Cost

$9.06

Age —

Financials

Total Cost $9.06

Ask Price EV $7.66 (-15.5%)

Bid Price EV $7.29 (-19.6%)

Ask Profit $-1.40 (-15.5%)

Bid Profit $-1.78 (-19.6%)

Liquidity Gap $0.37 (+4.1%)

Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.40

Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.78

Risk

Win Probability 30.0%

Loss Probability 70.0%

Best Case $35.31 (+289.8%)

Worst Case $0.46 (-94.9%)

Volatility +132.5%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 70.0%

Avg Win +$13.40

Avg Loss -$7.74

Bottom 5% Outcome $0.46 (-94.9%)

Std Dev $12.00

Avg Norm Float 0.3760

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 49h 32m

Oldest Output Price 150h 12m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Tight

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

Glock-18 | Death Rattle

—

Field-Tested

$0.12 Float: HIDDEN

G3SG1 | Green Apple

—

Minimal Wear

$0.17 Float: HIDDEN

Glock-18 | Death Rattle

—

Field-Tested

$0.21 Float: HIDDEN

Glock-18 | Death Rattle

—

Field-Tested

$0.23 Float: HIDDEN

Nova | Caged Steel

—

Factory New

$0.30 Float: HIDDEN

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

—

Factory New

$0.31 Float: HIDDEN

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

—

Factory New

$0.34 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Gunsmoke

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.37 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Gunsmoke

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.41 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Gunsmoke

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.60 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 07M 14S //TOTAL COST $9.06 //ASK PRICE EV $7.66 //BID PRICE EV $7.29 //ASK PROFIT $-1.40 (-15.5%) //BID PROFIT $-1.78 (-19.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $35.31 //VOLATILITY +132.5% //

Possible Outputs · 5

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-bank|Industrial Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 7,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Industrial Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 3,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.300808,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-5fc8e75d4fa5",
      "realistic_value": 0.46,
      "optimistic_value": 0.46,
      "output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo",
      "conservative_value": 0.4,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:35.806589Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5fc8e75d4fa5.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.0676818,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-3b1a5d288858",
      "realistic_value": 2.5935,
      "optimistic_value": 2.59,
      "output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite",
      "conservative_value": 2.59,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T15:36:51.127700Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3b1a5d288858.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.300808,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-8019620598a2",
      "realistic_value": 0.8945,
      "optimistic_value": 0.87,
      "output_full_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo",
      "conservative_value": 0.82,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:28:50.681826Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8019620598a2.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.15,
      "output_float": 0.0300808,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-ddc4aeda27ca",
      "realistic_value": 35.3115,
      "optimistic_value": 35,
      "output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy",
      "conservative_value": 33.55,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:06:08.805854Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc4aeda27ca.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.15,
      "output_float": 0.37601,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-62fc4feb5c7c",
      "realistic_value": 9.607000000000001,
      "optimistic_value": 9.32,
      "output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Brass",
      "conservative_value": 9.09,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Brass (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:00.426921Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62fc4feb5c7c.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_0fad42954db3b5a296efa744",
  "input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 0.12,
      "skin_id": "skin-319e3413b40b",
      "listing_id": "527627540537582240",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Glock-18 | Death Rattle",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-319e3413b40b.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:01:53.790063Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.17,
      "skin_id": "skin-35cdf436d872",
      "listing_id": "498353293086973495",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "G3SG1 | Green Apple",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-35cdf436d872.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:01:52.174387Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.21,
      "skin_id": "skin-319e3413b40b",
      "listing_id": "492723793449177633",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Glock-18 | Death Rattle",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-319e3413b40b.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:01:53.790063Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.23,
      "skin_id": "skin-319e3413b40b",
      "listing_id": "748289121749229566",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Glock-18 | Death Rattle",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-319e3413b40b.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:01:53.790063Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.3,
      "skin_id": "skin-9014d6daf0a4",
      "listing_id": "508487242221901082",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "market_hash_name": "Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)",
      "name": "Nova | Caged Steel",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9014d6daf0a4.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:19.810771Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
      "listing_id": "506235389470002864",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:58.211212Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.34,
      "skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
      "listing_id": "527627435179460240",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:58.211212Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.37,
      "skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
      "listing_id": "508487023588358342",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
      "market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T08:46:05.835728Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.41,
      "skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
      "listing_id": "503983423967333359",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
      "market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T08:46:05.835728Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.6,
      "skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
      "listing_id": "500605092739474571",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
      "market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T08:46:05.835728Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
  "stattrak_mode": false,
  "composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-bank:7+collection-set-inferno:3"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Bank Collection ×7+The Inferno Collection ×3 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New	Brass 15.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 15.0% $35.31 Tuxedo 23.3% $5.76 Tuxedo 23.3% $4.33 Meteorite 23.3% $2.59	$181.74 +551.9%	$35.52 +27.4%	30.0%	+223.8%	$27.88	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Bank Collection ×8+The Inferno Collection ×2 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New	Brass 10.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 10.0% $35.31 Tuxedo 26.7% $5.76 Tuxedo 26.7% $4.33 Meteorite 26.7% $2.59	$181.74 +840.7%	$25.09 +29.9%	20.0%	+274.6%	$19.32	—
The Bank Collection ×6+The Inferno Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New	Brass 20.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 20.0% $35.31 Tuxedo 20.0% $5.76 Tuxedo 20.0% $4.33 Meteorite 20.0% $2.59	$181.74 +408.7%	$45.95 +28.6%	20.0%	+193.0%	$35.73	—
The Bank Collection ×9+The Inferno Collection ×1 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New	Brass 5.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 5.0% $35.31 Tuxedo 30.0% $5.76 Tuxedo 30.0% $4.33 Meteorite 30.0% $2.59	$181.74 +1357.4%	$14.66 +17.5%	10.0%	+312.3%	$12.47	—