The Bank Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Carbon Fiber
2x $0.31
Leafhopper
3x $0.13
Tiger Tear
1x $0.16
Acid Dart
2x $0.16
Garter-9
1x $0.20
Polished Malachite
1x $0.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Wintergreen
16.0% $4.61
Tropical Breeze
16.0% $3.67
Tuxedo
6.7% $2.61
Meteorite
6.7% $2.59
Copperflage
16.0% $1.66
Gold Leaf
16.0% $1.56
Max Win
$4.61 (+119.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.35 (+11.7%)
Win %
45.3%
Volatility
+66.3%
Cost
$2.10
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.10
Ask Price EV $2.35 (+11.7%)
Bid Price EV $2.12 (+1.0%)
Ask Profit $0.25 (+11.7%)
Bid Profit $0.02 (+1.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.23 (+10.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.25
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.02
Risk
Win Probability 45.3%
Loss Probability 54.7%
Best Case $4.61 (+119.5%)
Worst Case $0.43 (-79.5%)
Volatility +66.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 38.7%
Avg Win +$1.59
Avg Loss -$0.87
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.43 (-79.5%)
Std Dev $1.39
Avg Norm Float 0.1162
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 119h 21m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber
—
Factory New
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber
—
Factory New
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Garter-9
—
Minimal Wear
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 07M 07S //TOTAL COST $2.10 //ASK PRICE EV $2.35 //BID PRICE EV $2.12 //ASK PROFIT $0.25 (+11.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.02 (+1.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 45.3% //BEST CASE $4.61 //VOLATILITY +66.3% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
16.0%
$4.61
+$2.51
+119.5%
$3.81
+$1.71
+81.4%
$0.80
17.4%
—
BIG WIN
16.0%
$3.67
+$1.57
+74.8%
$3.64
+$1.54
+73.3%
$0.03
0.8%
—
WIN
6.7%
$2.61
+$0.51
+24.4%
$2.53
+$0.43
+20.5%
$0.08
3.1%
—
WIN
6.7%
$2.59
+$0.49
+23.5%
$2.59
+$0.49
+23.3%
$0.00
0.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$1.66
-$0.44
-20.8%
$1.28
-$0.82
-39.0%
$0.38
23.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$1.56
-$0.54
-25.9%
$1.49
-$0.61
-29.0%
$0.07
4.2%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$1.36
-$0.74
-35.2%
$1.19
-$0.91
-43.3%
$0.17
12.5%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.43
-$1.67
-79.5%
$0.41
-$1.69
-80.5%
$0.02
4.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-bank|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.08712,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 4.61,
"optimistic_value": 4.61,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 3.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:23.769730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.07898880000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 0.43,
"optimistic_value": 0.43,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:37.483724Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.069696,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 1.5554999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.51,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 1.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:16:16.527631Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.063888,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 3.671,
"optimistic_value": 3.65,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 3.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.367595Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.069696,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 1.6635,
"optimistic_value": 1.66,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:56:11.775371Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.09292800000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5fc8e75d4fa5",
"realistic_value": 1.3605,
"optimistic_value": 1.35,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:13:38.187186Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5fc8e75d4fa5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.020908799999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3b1a5d288858",
"realistic_value": 2.5935,
"optimistic_value": 2.59,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite",
"conservative_value": 2.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T15:36:51.127700Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3b1a5d288858.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.09292800000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8019620598a2",
"realistic_value": 2.6115,
"optimistic_value": 2.58,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo",
"conservative_value": 2.53,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T09:01:24.373572Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8019620598a2.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_0e9372ef58b7def0a9bb27df",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
"listing_id": "506235389470002864",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:09:42.826409Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
"listing_id": "527627435179460240",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:09:42.826409Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "515242588555269565",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:14:58.260091Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "527627322006725396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:00:10.786852Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "512990789044843799",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:59:33.603957Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "503983423971210091",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:14:58.260091Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "515242423037531833",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:59:33.603957Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "521997988015820706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:14:58.260091Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"listing_id": "518620288314601480",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:09:03.494211Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-6467891391e9",
"listing_id": "494976338033140098",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6467891391e9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:15.620727Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-bank:2+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bank Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 16.0% $4.61 Tuxedo 6.7% $2.61 Meteorite 6.7% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $1.82 Tuxedo 6.7% $1.36 Poplar Thicket 16.0% $0.43 | $4.61 +249.2% | $1.67 +26.2% | 52.0% | +100.5% | $1.32 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bank Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 18.0% $4.61 Meteorite 3.3% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 18.0% $1.82 Tuxedo 3.3% $0.89 Poplar Thicket 18.0% $0.43 Tuxedo 3.3% $0.43 | $4.61 +294.0% | $1.51 +29.2% | 39.3% | +122.3% | $1.17 | — |
The Bank Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 14.0% $4.61 Tuxedo 10.0% $2.61 Meteorite 10.0% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $1.82 Tuxedo 10.0% $1.36 Poplar Thicket 14.0% $0.43 | $4.61 +224.6% | $1.73 +21.9% | 48.0% | +88.1% | $1.42 | — |
The Bank Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 12.0% $4.61 Tuxedo 13.3% $2.61 Meteorite 13.3% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $1.82 Tuxedo 13.3% $1.36 Poplar Thicket 12.0% $0.43 | $4.61 +201.3% | $1.80 +17.4% | 50.7% | +76.6% | $1.53 | — |
The Bank Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 10.0% $4.61 Tuxedo 16.7% $2.61 Meteorite 16.7% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 10.0% $1.82 Tuxedo 16.7% $1.36 Poplar Thicket 10.0% $0.43 | $4.61 +177.7% | $1.86 +12.2% | 53.3% | +65.6% | $1.66 | — |
The Bank Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 8.0% $4.61 Tuxedo 20.0% $2.61 Meteorite 20.0% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 8.0% $1.82 Tuxedo 20.0% $1.36 Poplar Thicket 8.0% $0.43 | $4.61 +156.1% | $1.93 +7.1% | 56.0% | +55.6% | $1.80 | — |