The Bank Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New
Inputs
Caged Steel
1x $0.48
Carbon Fiber
1x $0.75
Garter-9
1x $0.20
Polished Malachite
2x $0.29
Marsh
3x $0.35
Acid Dart
1x $0.41
↓
Possible Outputs
Wintergreen
16.0% $10.66
Tuxedo
6.7% $5.76
Tuxedo
6.7% $4.33
Tropical Breeze
16.0% $3.67
Meteorite
6.7% $2.59
Copperflage
16.0% $1.66
Max Win
$10.66 (+106.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.90 (-24.4%)
Win %
22.7%
Volatility
+62.1%
Cost
$5.16
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.16
Ask Price EV $3.90 (-24.4%)
Bid Price EV $3.61 (-30.1%)
Ask Profit $-1.26 (-24.4%)
Bid Profit $-1.55 (-30.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.29 (+5.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.26
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.55
Risk
Win Probability 22.7%
Loss Probability 77.3%
Best Case $10.66 (+106.6%)
Worst Case $1.53 (-70.3%)
Volatility +62.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 70.7%
Avg Win +$4.06
Avg Loss -$2.82
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.53 (-70.3%)
Std Dev $3.20
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 119h 20m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Caged Steel
—
Factory New
$0.48 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber
—
Factory New
$0.75 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Garter-9
—
Minimal Wear
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Factory New
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Mustard Gas
—
Factory New
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New
$1.20 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 06M 37S //TOTAL COST $5.16 //ASK PRICE EV $3.90 //BID PRICE EV $3.61 //ASK PROFIT $-1.26 (-24.4%) //BID PROFIT $-1.55 (-30.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 22.7% //BEST CASE $10.66 //VOLATILITY +62.1% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
16.0%
$10.66
+$5.50
+106.6%
$9.81
+$4.65
+90.1%
$0.85
8.0%
—
SMALL WIN
6.7%
$5.76
+$0.60
+11.6%
$5.21
+$0.05
+1.0%
$0.55
9.5%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$4.33
-$0.83
-16.0%
$3.76
-$1.40
-27.1%
$0.57
13.3%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$3.67
-$1.49
-28.9%
$3.64
-$1.52
-29.5%
$0.03
0.8%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$2.59
-$2.57
-49.7%
$2.59
-$2.57
-49.8%
$0.00
0.1%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.66
-$3.50
-67.8%
$1.28
-$3.88
-75.2%
$0.38
23.1%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.56
-$3.60
-69.9%
$1.49
-$3.67
-71.1%
$0.07
4.2%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.53
-$3.63
-70.3%
$1.52
-$3.64
-70.5%
$0.01
0.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-bank|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.052485000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 10.66,
"optimistic_value": 10.66,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 9.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:10.267254Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.0475864,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 1.53,
"optimistic_value": 1.53,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 1.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:11:25.675489Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.041988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 1.5554999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.51,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 1.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:16:16.527631Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.038489,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 3.671,
"optimistic_value": 3.65,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 3.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.367595Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.041988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 1.6635,
"optimistic_value": 1.66,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:56:11.775371Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.055984000000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5fc8e75d4fa5",
"realistic_value": 4.334499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 4.31,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo",
"conservative_value": 3.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:16:15.097885Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5fc8e75d4fa5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.012596399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3b1a5d288858",
"realistic_value": 2.5935,
"optimistic_value": 2.59,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite",
"conservative_value": 2.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T15:36:51.127700Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3b1a5d288858.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.055984000000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8019620598a2",
"realistic_value": 5.7585,
"optimistic_value": 5.72,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo",
"conservative_value": 5.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:59:12.536284Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8019620598a2.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_0e9372ef58b7def0a9bb27df",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.48,
"skin_id": "skin-9014d6daf0a4",
"listing_id": "497227393152266981",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Caged Steel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9014d6daf0a4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:48.022119Z"
},
{
"price": 0.75,
"skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
"listing_id": "503983537174108111",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:09:42.826409Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"listing_id": "518620288314601480",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:09:03.494211Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-6467891391e9",
"listing_id": "494976338033140098",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6467891391e9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:15.620727Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-6467891391e9",
"listing_id": "520872088106929236",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6467891391e9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:15.620727Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "528753387757185201",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:03:46.510386Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "525375688037451211",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:03:46.510386Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "652601015910513612",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Factory New)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:49.261157Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"listing_id": "502857689861815552",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:56:34.578116Z"
},
{
"price": 1.2,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "490472625090884103",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:03:46.510386Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-bank:2+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bank Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 16.0% $4.61 Tuxedo 6.7% $2.61 Meteorite 6.7% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $1.82 Tuxedo 6.7% $1.36 Poplar Thicket 16.0% $0.43 | $4.61 +249.2% | $1.67 +26.2% | 52.0% | +100.5% | $1.32 | — |
The Bank Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Wintergreen 16.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $3.67 Tuxedo 6.7% $2.61 Meteorite 6.7% $2.59 Copperflage 16.0% $1.66 Gold Leaf 16.0% $1.56 | $4.61 +119.5% | $2.35 +11.7% | 45.3% | +54.0% | $2.10 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bank Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 18.0% $4.61 Meteorite 3.3% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 18.0% $1.82 Tuxedo 3.3% $0.89 Poplar Thicket 18.0% $0.43 Tuxedo 3.3% $0.43 | $4.61 +294.0% | $1.51 +29.2% | 39.3% | +122.3% | $1.17 | — |
The Bank Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 14.0% $4.61 Tuxedo 10.0% $2.61 Meteorite 10.0% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $1.82 Tuxedo 10.0% $1.36 Poplar Thicket 14.0% $0.43 | $4.61 +224.6% | $1.73 +21.9% | 48.0% | +88.1% | $1.42 | — |
The Bank Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 12.0% $4.61 Tuxedo 13.3% $2.61 Meteorite 13.3% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $1.82 Tuxedo 13.3% $1.36 Poplar Thicket 12.0% $0.43 | $4.61 +201.3% | $1.80 +17.4% | 50.7% | +76.6% | $1.53 | — |
The Bank Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 10.0% $4.61 Tuxedo 16.7% $2.61 Meteorite 16.7% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 10.0% $1.82 Tuxedo 16.7% $1.36 Poplar Thicket 10.0% $0.43 | $4.61 +177.7% | $1.86 +12.2% | 53.3% | +65.6% | $1.66 | — |
The Bank Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 8.0% $4.61 Tuxedo 20.0% $2.61 Meteorite 20.0% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 8.0% $1.82 Tuxedo 20.0% $1.36 Poplar Thicket 8.0% $0.43 | $4.61 +156.1% | $1.93 +7.1% | 56.0% | +55.6% | $1.80 | — |