The Bank Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Death Rattle

1x $0.13
Green Apple

1x $0.17
Marsh

2x $0.06
Leafhopper

2x $0.08
Tiger Tear

2x $0.15
Acid Dart

2x $0.16
↓
Possible Outputs
Wintergreen

16.0% $4.61
Tuxedo

6.7% $2.61
Meteorite

6.7% $2.59
Tropical Breeze

16.0% $1.82
Tuxedo

6.7% $1.36
Poplar Thicket

16.0% $0.43
Max Win
$4.61 (+249.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.67 (+26.2%)
Win %
52.0%
Volatility
+114.0%
Cost
$1.32
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.32
Ask Price EV $1.67 (+26.2%)
Bid Price EV $1.49 (+12.6%)
Ask Profit $0.35 (+26.2%)
Bid Profit $0.17 (+12.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.18 (+13.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.35
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.17
Risk
Win Probability 52.0%
Loss Probability 48.0%
Best Case $4.61 (+249.2%)
Worst Case $0.40 (-69.4%)
Volatility +114.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$1.50
Avg Loss -$0.91
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.40 (-69.4%)
Std Dev $1.51
Avg Norm Float 0.1867
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 118h 19m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
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Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Glock-18 | Death Rattle
—
Field-Tested

$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Green Apple
—
Minimal Wear

$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Field-Tested

$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Field-Tested

$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Field-Tested

$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear

$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear

$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear

$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear

$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear

$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 02M 12S //TOTAL COST $1.32 //ASK PRICE EV $1.67 //BID PRICE EV $1.49 //ASK PROFIT $0.35 (+26.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.17 (+12.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.0% //BEST CASE $4.61 //VOLATILITY +114.0% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated

BIG WIN
16.0%
$4.61
+$3.29
+249.2%
$3.81
+$2.49
+188.6%
$0.80
17.4%
—

BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$2.61
+$1.29
+97.8%
$2.53
+$1.21
+91.7%
$0.08
3.1%
—

BIG WIN
6.7%
$2.59
+$1.27
+96.5%
$2.59
+$1.27
+96.2%
$0.00
0.1%
—

WIN
16.0%
$1.82
+$0.50
+38.0%
$1.70
+$0.38
+28.8%
$0.12
6.6%
—

PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$1.36
+$0.04
+3.1%
$1.19
-$0.13
-9.8%
$0.17
12.5%
—

NUKE
16.0%
$0.43
-$0.89
-67.4%
$0.41
-$0.91
-68.9%
$0.02
4.7%
—

NUKE
16.0%
$0.41
-$0.91
-68.9%
$0.38
-$0.94
-71.2%
$0.03
7.4%
—

NUKE
16.0%
$0.40
-$0.92
-69.4%
$0.36
-$0.96
-72.7%
$0.04
10.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-bank|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.13999499999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 4.61,
"optimistic_value": 4.61,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 3.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:23.769730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1269288,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 0.43,
"optimistic_value": 0.43,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:07:45.102530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.111996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 0.41050000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:54.653511Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.102663,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 1.821,
"optimistic_value": 1.73,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 1.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.839903Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.111996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 0.4035,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 0.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:53.758956Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.149328,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5fc8e75d4fa5",
"realistic_value": 1.3605,
"optimistic_value": 1.35,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:59:54.798350Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5fc8e75d4fa5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.0335988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3b1a5d288858",
"realistic_value": 2.5935,
"optimistic_value": 2.59,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite",
"conservative_value": 2.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T15:36:51.127700Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3b1a5d288858.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.149328,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8019620598a2",
"realistic_value": 2.6115,
"optimistic_value": 2.58,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo",
"conservative_value": 2.53,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T09:01:24.373572Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8019620598a2.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_0e9372ef58b7def0a9bb27df",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-319e3413b40b",
"listing_id": "526501587737700341",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Death Rattle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-319e3413b40b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:15:16.341588Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-35cdf436d872",
"listing_id": "498353293086973495",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Green Apple",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-35cdf436d872.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:13:39.567913Z"
},
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "527627487624726188",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:57:46.826910Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "502856892559649080",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:57:46.826910Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "519746135814788696",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:55:05.893548Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "512990623225420919",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:08:02.575931Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "527627322006725396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:08:02.575931Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "512990789044843799",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:08:36.780458Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "503983423971210091",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:58:50.662373Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "515242423037531833",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:08:36.780458Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-bank:2+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bank Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Wintergreen ![]() 16.0% $10.66 Tropical Breeze ![]() 16.0% $3.67 Tuxedo ![]() 6.7% $2.61 Meteorite ![]() 6.7% $2.59 Copperflage ![]() 16.0% $1.66 Gold Leaf ![]() 16.0% $1.55 | $10.66 +234.2% | $3.49 +9.4% | 32.0% | +96.5% | $3.19 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bank Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen ![]() 18.0% $4.61 Meteorite ![]() 3.3% $2.59 Tropical Breeze ![]() 18.0% $1.82 Tuxedo ![]() 3.3% $0.89 Poplar Thicket ![]() 18.0% $0.43 Tuxedo ![]() 3.3% $0.43 | $4.61 +294.0% | $1.51 +29.2% | 39.3% | +122.3% | $1.17 | — |
The Bank Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen ![]() 14.0% $4.61 Tuxedo ![]() 10.0% $2.61 Meteorite ![]() 10.0% $2.59 Tropical Breeze ![]() 14.0% $1.82 Tuxedo ![]() 10.0% $1.37 Poplar Thicket ![]() 14.0% $0.44 | $4.61 +224.6% | $1.73 +22.1% | 48.0% | +87.9% | $1.42 | — |
The Bank Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen ![]() 12.0% $4.61 Tuxedo ![]() 13.3% $2.61 Meteorite ![]() 13.3% $2.59 Tropical Breeze ![]() 12.0% $1.82 Tuxedo ![]() 13.3% $1.37 Poplar Thicket ![]() 12.0% $0.43 | $4.61 +199.4% | $1.80 +16.7% | 50.7% | +76.0% | $1.54 | — |
The Bank Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen ![]() 10.0% $4.61 Tuxedo ![]() 16.7% $2.61 Meteorite ![]() 16.7% $2.59 Tropical Breeze ![]() 10.0% $1.82 Tuxedo ![]() 16.7% $1.36 Poplar Thicket ![]() 10.0% $0.43 | $4.61 +177.7% | $1.86 +12.2% | 53.3% | +65.6% | $1.66 | — |
The Bank Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen ![]() 8.0% $4.61 Tuxedo ![]() 20.0% $2.61 Meteorite ![]() 20.0% $2.59 Tropical Breeze ![]() 8.0% $1.82 Tuxedo ![]() 20.0% $1.37 Poplar Thicket ![]() 8.0% $0.44 | $4.61 +153.3% | $1.93 +6.0% | 56.0% | +54.9% | $1.82 | — |