The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Black Sand
1x $1.58
Fusion
4x $0.72
Bock Blocks
3x $1.07
RMX
2x $1.62
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
18.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
18.0% $31.66
Amberline
18.0% $18.87
Pipe Down
2.0% $14.98
Galigator
18.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
18.0% $13.72
Max Win
$51.27 (+168.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$24.22 (+27.0%)
Win %
36.0%
Volatility
+76.1%
Cost
$19.07
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $19.07
Ask Price EV $24.22 (+27.0%)
Bid Price EV $20.65 (+8.3%)
Ask Profit $5.15 (+27.0%)
Bid Profit $1.58 (+8.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $3.57 (+18.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$5.15
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.58
Risk
Win Probability 36.0%
Loss Probability 64.0%
Best Case $51.27 (+168.9%)
Worst Case $4.90 (-74.3%)
Volatility +76.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 26.0%
Avg Win +$22.40
Avg Loss -$4.56
Bottom 5% Outcome $7.11 (-62.7%)
Std Dev $14.52
Avg Norm Float 0.0697
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 148h 45m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Black Sand
—
Factory New
$1.58 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$1.07 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Minimal Wear
$1.62 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Minimal Wear
$1.75 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.36 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.45 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.46 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.47 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.59 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 18M 01S //TOTAL COST $19.07 //ASK PRICE EV $24.22 //BID PRICE EV $20.65 //ASK PROFIT $5.15 (+27.0%) //BID PROFIT $1.58 (+8.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.0% //BEST CASE $51.27 //VOLATILITY +76.1% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$51.27
+$32.20
+168.9%
$43.51
+$24.44
+128.2%
$7.76
15.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$31.66
+$12.59
+66.0%
$29.45
+$10.38
+54.4%
$2.21
7.0%
—
LOSS THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$18.87
-$0.20
-1.1%
$12.97
-$6.10
-32.0%
$5.90
31.3%
—
LOSS
2.0%
$14.98
-$4.10
-21.5%
$13.80
-$5.27
-27.6%
$1.17
7.8%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$14.51
-$4.56
-23.9%
$13.05
-$6.02
-31.6%
$1.46
10.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$13.72
-$5.35
-28.1%
$11.82
-$7.25
-38.0%
$1.90
13.8%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$7.55
-$11.52
-60.4%
$6.50
-$12.57
-65.9%
$1.05
13.9%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$7.11
-$11.96
-62.7%
$5.90
-$13.17
-69.1%
$1.21
17.1%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$6.05
-$13.02
-68.3%
$5.24
-$13.83
-72.5%
$0.81
13.4%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$4.90
-$14.18
-74.3%
$3.71
-$15.36
-80.5%
$1.18
24.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-21|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.06974,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 31.657,
"optimistic_value": 31.02,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 29.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.490012Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.06974,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 14.512,
"optimistic_value": 14.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 13.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.833807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.06974,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 51.274,
"optimistic_value": 50.91,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 43.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.200704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.06974,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 18.869,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 12.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:36:10.284461Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.06974,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 13.717,
"optimistic_value": 13.64,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:35.456263Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.045330999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aa544d78f97f",
"realistic_value": 4.895,
"optimistic_value": 4.79,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Scavenger",
"conservative_value": 3.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:20.627700Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aa544d78f97f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.03487,
"output_skin_id": "skin-21f65eaf09eb",
"realistic_value": 7.5455,
"optimistic_value": 7.5,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Signal",
"conservative_value": 6.5,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:31:26.184919Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-21f65eaf09eb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.062766,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bd6cfc7249e",
"realistic_value": 14.975,
"optimistic_value": 14.52,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipe Down",
"conservative_value": 13.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:30:18.926098Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bd6cfc7249e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.027896,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0ba15d1b486",
"realistic_value": 7.1135,
"optimistic_value": 7.04,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Nevermore",
"conservative_value": 5.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:33.060154Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0ba15d1b486.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.03487,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e44f13c59da",
"realistic_value": 6.048,
"optimistic_value": 5.88,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 5.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:01:16.542371Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e44f13c59da.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_0c1714d9c4331c372c152c8f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.58,
"skin_id": "skin-d85d77873f80",
"listing_id": "497228137695857165",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d85d77873f80.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:02:10.220065Z"
},
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "511864941881717925",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:53:05.925691Z"
},
{
"price": 1.07,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "503983423969275595",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:31.298025Z"
},
{
"price": 1.62,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "515242423034647657",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:15.861272Z"
},
{
"price": 1.75,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "492724538182380753",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:15.861272Z"
},
{
"price": 2.36,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "511864941881504697",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:11:44.911529Z"
},
{
"price": 2.45,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "506235442367257236",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:25.386961Z"
},
{
"price": 2.46,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "506235389470490196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:25.386961Z"
},
{
"price": 2.47,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "490472790738106563",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:25.386961Z"
},
{
"price": 2.59,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "499479989895893281",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:11:44.911529Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-21:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 18.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 18.0% $6.12 Nevermore 2.0% $4.07 Galigator 18.0% $3.50 Signal 2.0% $3.49 Flashback 2.0% $3.00 | $10.69 +132.0% | $4.96 +7.5% | 36.0% | +56.1% | $4.61 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 4.0% $14.98 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.72 | $51.27 +197.9% | $22.43 +30.3% | 48.0% | +76.5% | $17.21 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 6.0% $14.98 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.72 | $51.27 +208.3% | $20.64 +24.1% | 42.0% | +76.7% | $16.63 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 12.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 12.0% $6.12 Nevermore 8.0% $4.07 Galigator 12.0% $3.50 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $2.94 Amberline 12.0% $2.84 | $10.69 +219.2% | $4.02 +20.0% | 44.0% | +74.4% | $3.35 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 10.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 10.0% $6.12 Nevermore 10.0% $4.07 Galigator 10.0% $3.56 Amberline 10.0% $2.83 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $2.72 | $10.69 +243.8% | $3.71 +19.2% | 40.0% | +76.5% | $3.11 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Signal 14.0% $7.55 Nevermore 14.0% $7.11 Amberline 6.0% $6.25 Flashback 14.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +207.9% | $6.34 +15.3% | 66.0% | +52.1% | $5.50 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Signal 12.0% $7.55 Nevermore 12.0% $7.11 Amberline 8.0% $6.25 Flashback 12.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +189.0% | $6.71 +14.5% | 60.0% | +53.6% | $5.86 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Signal 16.0% $7.55 Nevermore 16.0% $7.11 Amberline 4.0% $6.38 Flashback 16.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +219.5% | $5.97 +12.7% | 64.0% | +47.5% | $5.30 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi  30.0% $61.35 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.19 Phosphor  3.3% $43.13 Mecha Industries  3.3% $42.09 Momentum  3.3% $28.20 | $290.04 +195.7% | $126.66 +29.1% | 30.0% | +109.3% | $98.10 | — |