The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Danger Close
1x $0.26
RMX
2x $0.34
Fusion
3x $0.40
Fragment
1x $0.41
Bock Blocks
3x $0.46
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
18.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
18.0% $6.12
Nevermore
2.0% $4.07
Galigator
18.0% $3.50
Signal
2.0% $3.49
Flashback
2.0% $3.00
Max Win
$10.69 (+144.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.97 (+13.4%)
Win %
36.0%
Volatility
+67.5%
Cost
$4.38
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $4.38
Ask Price EV $4.97 (+13.4%)
Bid Price EV $4.19 (-4.4%)
Ask Profit $0.59 (+13.4%)
Bid Profit $-0.19 (-4.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.78 (+17.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.59
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.19
Risk
Win Probability 36.0%
Loss Probability 64.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+144.1%)
Worst Case $1.30 (-70.4%)
Volatility +67.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 42.0%
Avg Win +$4.03
Avg Loss -$1.35
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.88 (-34.2%)
Std Dev $2.95
Avg Norm Float 0.2949
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 150h 45m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.46 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 20M 04S //TOTAL COST $4.38 //ASK PRICE EV $4.97 //BID PRICE EV $4.19 //ASK PROFIT $0.59 (+13.4%) //BID PROFIT $-0.19 (-4.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +67.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
18.0%
$10.69
+$6.31
+144.1%
$9.15
+$4.77
+108.9%
$1.54
14.4%
—
WIN
18.0%
$6.12
+$1.74
+39.7%
$4.98
+$0.60
+13.7%
$1.14
18.6%
—
LOSS
2.0%
$4.07
-$0.31
-7.0%
$3.42
-$0.96
-21.9%
$0.65
16.0%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$3.50
-$0.88
-20.2%
$2.65
-$1.73
-39.5%
$0.85
24.2%
—
LOSS
2.0%
$3.49
-$0.89
-20.2%
$3.13
-$1.25
-28.5%
$0.36
10.4%
—
LOSS
2.0%
$3.00
-$1.38
-31.4%
$2.79
-$1.59
-36.3%
$0.21
7.1%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$2.94
-$1.44
-33.0%
$2.59
-$1.79
-40.9%
$0.35
11.8%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$2.88
-$1.50
-34.2%
$2.61
-$1.77
-40.4%
$0.27
9.4%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.30
-$3.08
-70.3%
$1.11
-$3.27
-74.7%
$0.19
14.6%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.30
-$3.08
-70.4%
$1.20
-$3.18
-72.6%
$0.10
7.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-21|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.29493,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 6.117,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 4.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.29493,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.4955000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 3.45,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:14.133312Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.29493,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.29493,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 2.88,
"optimistic_value": 2.88,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:05:35.582975Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.29493,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 2.935,
"optimistic_value": 2.9,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:16.318104Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.19170450000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aa544d78f97f",
"realistic_value": 1.3,
"optimistic_value": 1.3,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Scavenger",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:49:17.940135Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aa544d78f97f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.147465,
"output_skin_id": "skin-21f65eaf09eb",
"realistic_value": 3.4935,
"optimistic_value": 3.42,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Signal",
"conservative_value": 3.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:30:19.682181Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-21f65eaf09eb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.26543700000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bd6cfc7249e",
"realistic_value": 1.298,
"optimistic_value": 1.27,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipe Down",
"conservative_value": 1.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:56:54.009602Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bd6cfc7249e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.11797200000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0ba15d1b486",
"realistic_value": 4.0735,
"optimistic_value": 4.07,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Nevermore",
"conservative_value": 3.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:34.566282Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0ba15d1b486.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.147465,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e44f13c59da",
"realistic_value": 3.003,
"optimistic_value": 2.87,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 2.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:06:50.700773Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e44f13c59da.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_0c1714d9c4331c372c152c8f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "527626690814383256",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:52:09.903424Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "510739041953589082",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:51:36.163282Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "526501587737943665",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:51:36.163282Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "520872141038016156",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:54:06.393665Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "502857742726685800",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:02:54.653229Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "508487242222020818",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:54:06.393665Z"
},
{
"price": 0.46,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "519746241188751776",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:57:00.458289Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "509613036859925607",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:57:00.458289Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "511864723318980237",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:54:06.393665Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "643593816523454425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:57:00.458289Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-21:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 2.0% $14.98 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +176.4% | $24.24 +30.7% | 54.0% | +73.3% | $18.55 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 18.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 18.0% $10.78 Nevermore 2.0% $7.11 Amberline 18.0% $6.26 Galigator 18.0% $5.81 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $4.99 | $16.94 +108.6% | $8.44 +3.9% | 36.0% | +52.6% | $8.12 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 4.0% $14.98 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.72 | $51.27 +191.7% | $22.43 +27.6% | 48.0% | +74.9% | $17.58 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 6.0% $14.98 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +215.1% | $20.66 +27.0% | 42.0% | +78.3% | $16.27 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 12.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 12.0% $6.12 Nevermore 8.0% $4.07 Galigator 12.0% $3.50 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $2.94 Amberline 12.0% $2.84 | $10.69 +219.2% | $4.02 +20.0% | 44.0% | +74.4% | $3.35 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 10.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 10.0% $6.12 Nevermore 10.0% $4.07 Galigator 10.0% $3.50 Signal 10.0% $3.49 Flashback 10.0% $3.00 | $10.69 +223.1% | $3.93 +18.7% | 50.0% | +68.8% | $3.31 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Signal 14.0% $7.55 Nevermore 14.0% $7.11 Amberline 6.0% $6.26 Flashback 14.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +208.5% | $6.34 +15.4% | 66.0% | +52.2% | $5.49 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Signal 16.0% $7.55 Nevermore 16.0% $7.11 Amberline 4.0% $6.25 Flashback 16.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +225.1% | $5.97 +14.6% | 64.0% | +48.3% | $5.21 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Signal 12.0% $7.55 Nevermore 12.0% $7.11 Amberline 8.0% $6.25 Flashback 12.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +189.0% | $6.71 +14.5% | 60.0% | +53.6% | $5.86 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi  30.0% $61.06 Deathgaze  30.0% $59.23 Phosphor  3.3% $43.13 Mecha Industries  3.3% $42.09 Momentum  3.3% $26.72 | $290.04 +191.1% | $126.83 +27.3% | 30.0% | +107.5% | $99.64 | — |