The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Scrawl
1x $0.23
Ensnared
2x $0.29
Foresight
2x $0.30
Fusion
3x $0.43
Bock Blocks
2x $0.63
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
10.0% $16.94
Firebreathing
10.0% $10.78
Amberline
10.0% $6.38
Galigator
10.0% $5.67
Urban Sovereign
10.0% $4.82
Night Terror
10.0% $4.12
Max Win
$16.94 (+278.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.66 (+26.2%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+104.0%
Cost
$4.48
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.48
Ask Price EV $5.66 (+26.2%)
Bid Price EV $4.76 (+6.3%)
Ask Profit $1.18 (+26.2%)
Bid Profit $0.28 (+6.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.89 (+19.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.18
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.28
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $16.94 (+278.0%)
Worst Case $1.21 (-73.0%)
Volatility +104.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$4.44
Avg Loss -$2.09
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.21 (-73.0%)
Std Dev $4.66
Avg Norm Float 0.1496
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 148h 18m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 46M 49S //TOTAL COST $4.48 //ASK PRICE EV $5.66 //BID PRICE EV $4.76 //ASK PROFIT $1.18 (+26.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.28 (+6.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $16.94 //VOLATILITY +104.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$16.94
+$12.46
+278.0%
$14.31
+$9.83
+219.4%
$2.63
15.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$10.78
+$6.30
+140.5%
$9.15
+$4.67
+104.2%
$1.63
15.1%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$6.38
+$1.90
+42.5%
$4.92
+$0.44
+9.8%
$1.46
22.9%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$5.67
+$1.19
+26.5%
$4.89
+$0.41
+9.2%
$0.78
13.7%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$4.82
+$0.34
+7.7%
$4.23
-$0.25
-5.6%
$0.59
12.3%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$4.12
-$0.36
-7.9%
$3.46
-$1.02
-22.8%
$0.66
16.1%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$3.94
-$0.54
-12.1%
$3.26
-$1.22
-27.2%
$0.68
17.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$1.47
-$3.01
-67.2%
$1.22
-$3.26
-72.8%
$0.25
16.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.22
-$3.26
-72.7%
$1.19
-$3.29
-73.4%
$0.03
2.8%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.21
-$3.27
-73.0%
$1.00
-$3.48
-77.7%
$0.21
17.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14961,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 10.7765,
"optimistic_value": 10.71,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.430728Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14961,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 1.4675,
"optimistic_value": 1.45,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 1.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:03.104169Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14961,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 5.667,
"optimistic_value": 5.66,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 4.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:28:53.224872Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14961,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 16.936,
"optimistic_value": 16.88,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 14.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.044782Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.10472699999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 4.1240000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 3.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:15.418096Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14961,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 6.384,
"optimistic_value": 6.37,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 4.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:33:38.525100Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14961,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 4.824999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 4.72,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 4.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:28:55.610452Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1002387,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.2245,
"optimistic_value": 1.2,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:17:19.691527Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1137036,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 3.94,
"optimistic_value": 3.94,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 3.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:45.994094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.074805,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.21,
"optimistic_value": 1.21,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:25:58.866195Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_0716786f7a54ef1388a255f6",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "507361289451954337",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:34:10.955173Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "526501640650513661",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:26.376201Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292238590183",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:36.894067Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292231168711",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:36.894067Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "521997191218606146",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:26.376201Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "529879340431751844",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:17:09.012928Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "492724590626752209",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:17:09.012928Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "643593816523454425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:22:48.514218Z"
},
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "516368541588466406",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:31.098658Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "525375740885184271",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:25:38.550710Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-30:5+collection-set-community-37:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.85 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $10.13 | $51.27 +298.1% | $15.94 +23.8% | 50.0% | +96.5% | $12.88 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 10.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 10.0% $6.12 Galigator 10.0% $3.56 Amberline 10.0% $2.88 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $2.71 Night Terror 10.0% $2.66 | $10.69 +290.3% | $3.35 +22.2% | 40.0% | +91.4% | $2.74 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.85 Ticket to Hell 4.0% $10.13 | $51.27 +207.4% | $22.00 +31.9% | 48.0% | +80.2% | $16.68 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $10.13 | $51.27 +236.0% | $19.98 +30.9% | 42.0% | +85.9% | $15.26 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 Ticket to Hell 2.0% $10.13 | $51.27 +179.1% | $24.01 +30.7% | 54.0% | +74.6% | $18.37 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.85 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $10.13 | $51.27 +264.9% | $17.96 +27.8% | 48.0% | +91.2% | $14.05 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.38 Galigator 8.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $4.85 Night Terror 12.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +326.6% | $5.01 +26.2% | 52.0% | +95.3% | $3.97 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $6.38 Galigator 6.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $4.82 Night Terror 14.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +381.1% | $4.36 +23.7% | 58.0% | +99.8% | $3.52 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Amberline 4.0% $6.38 Galigator 4.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 4.0% $4.82 Night Terror 16.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +441.1% | $3.70 +18.3% | 52.0% | +98.6% | $3.13 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi  30.0% $61.35 Deathgaze  30.0% $56.41 Abyssal Apparition  3.3% $31.16 Rapid Eye Movement  3.3% $30.73 Melondrama  3.3% $26.06 | $290.04 +203.9% | $125.27 +31.2% | 30.0% | +113.4% | $95.45 | — |