The Horizon Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Eco
1x $1.97
Amberline
7x $2.08
Urban Sovereign
2x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $63.86
Nightmare
3.3% $37.40
Eye of Athena
3.3% $13.48
Kintsugi
30.0% $12.65
Devourer
3.3% $11.66
Deathgaze
30.0% $11.60
Max Win
$63.86 (+151.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$28.52 (+12.2%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+92.7%
Cost
$25.42
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $25.42
Ask Price EV $28.52 (+12.2%)
Bid Price EV $25.69 (+1.1%)
Ask Profit $3.10 (+12.2%)
Bid Profit $0.27 (+1.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.82 (+11.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$3.10
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.27
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $63.86 (+151.2%)
Worst Case $11.60 (-54.4%)
Volatility +92.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$35.79
Avg Loss -$13.25
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.60 (-54.4%)
Std Dev $23.57
Avg Norm Float 0.3781
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 6m
Oldest Output Price 139h 32m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Eco
—
Well-Worn
$1.97 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01M 59S //TOTAL COST $25.42 //ASK PRICE EV $28.52 //BID PRICE EV $25.69 //ASK PROFIT $3.10 (+12.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.27 (+1.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $63.86 //VOLATILITY +92.7% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$63.86
+$38.44
+151.2%
$60.32
+$34.90
+137.3%
$3.54
5.5%
—
WIN
3.3%
$37.40
+$11.98
+47.1%
$33.78
+$8.36
+32.9%
$3.62
9.7%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$13.48
-$11.94
-47.0%
$11.70
-$13.72
-54.0%
$1.78
13.2%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$12.65
-$12.77
-50.2%
$9.57
-$15.85
-62.4%
$3.08
24.4%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$11.66
-$13.76
-54.1%
$10.67
-$14.75
-58.0%
$0.99
8.5%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$11.60
-$13.82
-54.4%
$9.52
-$15.90
-62.5%
$2.08
17.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-20|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-20"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.37808,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 63.8595,
"optimistic_value": 63.52,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 60.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.37808,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.57,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.37808,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 11.6015,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 9.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:16.614363Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.264656,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5af9f375159d",
"realistic_value": 13.4845,
"optimistic_value": 13.39,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Eye of Athena",
"conservative_value": 11.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-20",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Horizon Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:26.541061Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5af9f375159d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.37808,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2746c427a1c5",
"realistic_value": 37.402499999999996,
"optimistic_value": 35.25,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Nightmare",
"conservative_value": 33.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-20",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Horizon Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:24:13.567264Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2746c427a1c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.30246400000000007,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9d723cee972d",
"realistic_value": 11.6615,
"optimistic_value": 11.35,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Devourer",
"conservative_value": 10.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-20",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Horizon Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:14:06.161036Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9d723cee972d.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_051fc033a8a8d408f19207e0",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.97,
"skin_id": "skin-25f54c22ac43",
"listing_id": "520872035664305328",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-20",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Well-Worn)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Eco",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25f54c22ac43.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:08.844527Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:29.984381Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:29.984381Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.092827Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.092827Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.092827Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.092827Z"
},
{
"price": 3.17,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "496102290329110667",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:13.699653Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:15.434355Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:15.434355Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-20:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Horizon Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 Nightmare 3.3% $79.93 Eye of Athena 3.3% $26.82 Devourer 3.3% $25.31 Kintsugi 30.0% $22.62 Deathgaze 30.0% $20.41 | $126.41 +150.8% | $55.23 +9.6% | 33.3% | +94.7% | $50.41 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Horizon Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Nightmare 6.7% $200.89 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Eye of Athena 6.7% $63.84 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.53 Devourer 6.7% $55.93 | $290.04 +189.7% | $132.60 +32.4% | 33.3% | +100.7% | $100.13 | — |
The Horizon Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Nightmare 10.0% $200.89 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Eye of Athena 10.0% $63.84 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Devourer 10.0% $55.93 | $290.04 +185.9% | $129.37 +27.5% | 33.3% | +96.2% | $101.44 | — |
The Horizon Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Nightmare 13.3% $200.89 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Eye of Athena 13.3% $63.84 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.53 Devourer 13.3% $55.93 | $290.04 +180.9% | $126.17 +22.2% | 33.3% | +91.2% | $103.26 | — |
The Horizon Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Nightmare 16.7% $200.89 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Eye of Athena 16.7% $63.84 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.53 Devourer 16.7% $55.93 | $290.04 +176.6% | $122.95 +17.2% | 33.3% | +86.2% | $104.87 | — |
The Horizon Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Nightmare 20.0% $200.89 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Eye of Athena 20.0% $63.84 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 Devourer 20.0% $55.93 | $290.04 +172.2% | $119.73 +12.4% | 33.3% | +81.1% | $106.55 | — |
The Horizon Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $290.04 Nightmare 23.3% $200.89 Kintsugi 10.0% $65.51 Eye of Athena 23.3% $63.84 Deathgaze 10.0% $61.47 Devourer 23.3% $55.93 | $290.04 +161.3% | $116.52 +5.0% | 33.3% | +73.9% | $111.02 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Horizon Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  18.0% $10.69 PAW  2.0% $9.64 Firebreathing  18.0% $6.12 Powercore  2.0% $3.94 Galigator  18.0% $3.26 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $3.23 | $10.69 +155.8% | $5.20 +24.4% | 38.0% | +65.0% | $4.18 | — |