The Safehouse Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Orange Peel
2x $0.06
Forest Leaves
2x $0.09
Naval Shred Camo
2x $0.06
Electric Blue
2x $0.07
Sour Grapes
1x $0.10
Rose Nacre
1x $0.12
↓
Possible Outputs
Yeti Camo
12.0% $1.84
Acid Fade
13.3% $1.49
Royal Baroque
12.0% $1.20
Cobalt Paisley
12.0% $1.11
Reef Grief
12.0% $1.10
Mint Fan
12.0% $1.03
Max Win
$1.84 (+122.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.06 (+27.5%)
Win %
73.3%
Volatility
+56.6%
Cost
$0.83
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $0.83
Ask Price EV $1.06 (+27.5%)
Bid Price EV $0.93 (+12.4%)
Ask Profit $0.23 (+27.5%)
Bid Profit $0.10 (+12.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.13 (+15.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.23
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.10
Risk
Win Probability 73.3%
Loss Probability 26.7%
Best Case $1.84 (+122.1%)
Worst Case $0.30 (-63.4%)
Volatility +56.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 26.7%
Avg Win +$0.47
Avg Loss -$0.43
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.30 (-63.4%)
Std Dev $0.47
Avg Norm Float 0.2068
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 8h 49m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
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Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP9 | Orange Peel
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Orange Peel
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Sour Grapes
—
Field-Tested
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 08M 00S //TOTAL COST $0.83 //ASK PRICE EV $1.06 //BID PRICE EV $0.93 //ASK PROFIT $0.23 (+27.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.10 (+12.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 73.3% //BEST CASE $1.84 //VOLATILITY +56.6% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.0%
$1.84
+$1.01
+122.1%
$1.61
+$0.78
+94.0%
$0.23
12.7%
—
BIG WIN
13.3%
$1.49
+$0.66
+79.2%
$1.31
+$0.48
+57.8%
$0.18
11.9%
—
WIN
12.0%
$1.20
+$0.37
+44.4%
$1.01
+$0.18
+21.7%
$0.19
15.7%
—
WIN
12.0%
$1.11
+$0.28
+34.2%
$1.04
+$0.21
+25.3%
$0.07
6.6%
—
WIN
12.0%
$1.10
+$0.27
+32.3%
$0.95
+$0.12
+14.5%
$0.15
13.5%
—
WIN
12.0%
$1.03
+$0.20
+24.3%
$0.94
+$0.11
+13.3%
$0.09
8.9%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.49
-$0.34
-41.0%
$0.41
-$0.42
-50.6%
$0.08
16.3%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.30
-$0.53
-63.4%
$0.28
-$0.55
-66.3%
$0.02
7.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-safehouse|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.12408599999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-466d0513f5e8",
"realistic_value": 0.49,
"optimistic_value": 0.49,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Teardown",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:05:00.014164Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-466d0513f5e8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.082724,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45614ab4f605",
"realistic_value": 0.3035,
"optimistic_value": 0.3,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz",
"conservative_value": 0.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:13:22.426857Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45614ab4f605.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.006204299999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d85f69ac3c8",
"realistic_value": 1.4875,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Acid Fade",
"conservative_value": 1.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:53:29.558938Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d85f69ac3c8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.12408599999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"realistic_value": 1.0315,
"optimistic_value": 1,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"conservative_value": 0.94,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:55:18.454797Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14476699999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"realistic_value": 1.8435000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.84,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:38.670787Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1344265,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"realistic_value": 1.1135000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 1.11,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T16:29:30.148159Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.12408599999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"realistic_value": 1.1985,
"optimistic_value": 1.16,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:13:34.890120Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.12408599999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"realistic_value": 1.098,
"optimistic_value": 1.07,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"conservative_value": 0.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:16:10.225148Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_04e46d2fe4d497d89cbdb085",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-2ed9e1f9de26",
"listing_id": "520872088105779000",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Orange Peel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Orange Peel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2ed9e1f9de26.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:58:04.964599Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-2ed9e1f9de26",
"listing_id": "515242588554214801",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Orange Peel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Orange Peel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2ed9e1f9de26.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:58:04.964599Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "526501587737010977",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:04:34.712347Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "520872088105979016",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:04:34.712347Z"
},
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "529879287550978740",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:04:54.468050Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "528753387757424781",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:04:54.468050Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "498354037509473035",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:02:35.243598Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "502856892584036416",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:02:35.243598Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-2891a487ea6c",
"listing_id": "521997191227767930",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Negev | Sour Grapes",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2891a487ea6c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:03:13.782021Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "500605889841070679",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:03:26.100224Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-safehouse:4+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Safehouse Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 12.0% $3.37 Teardown 13.3% $2.81 Royal Baroque 12.0% $2.64 Reef Grief 12.0% $2.23 Yeti Camo 12.0% $1.84 Acid Fade 13.3% $1.49 | $3.37 +100.8% | $2.10 +25.2% | 61.3% | +35.5% | $1.68 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Safehouse Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 8.0% $3.37 Teardown 20.0% $2.81 Royal Baroque 8.0% $2.64 Reef Grief 8.0% $2.23 Yeti Camo 8.0% $1.82 Acid Fade 20.0% $1.40 | $3.37 +88.5% | $2.01 +12.3% | 52.0% | +34.9% | $1.79 | — |
The Safehouse Collection ×7+The Ascent Collection ×3 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 6.0% $3.37 Teardown 23.3% $2.81 Royal Baroque 6.0% $2.64 Reef Grief 6.0% $2.23 Yeti Camo 6.0% $1.84 Acid Fade 23.3% $1.49 | $3.37 +87.4% | $2.00 +11.1% | 47.3% | +33.2% | $1.80 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Safehouse Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate  45.0% $38.92 Royal Guard  45.0% $13.88 Nitro  10.0% $1.89 | $38.92 +90.8% | $23.95 +17.4% | 45.0% | +68.5% | $20.40 | — |