The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Distressed
1x $0.52
Slag
2x $0.18
Hideout
1x $0.20
Light Box
3x $0.21
Dark Sigil
2x $0.32
Motorized
1x $0.35
↓
Possible Outputs
Fever Dream
2.0% $8.04
Acid Etched
2.0% $5.54
Etch Lord
18.0% $4.46
Apocalypto
2.0% $4.36
Block-18
18.0% $4.19
Darkwing
2.0% $3.78
Max Win
$8.04 (+168.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.48 (+16.4%)
Win %
64.0%
Volatility
+38.5%
Cost
$2.99
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.99
Ask Price EV $3.48 (+16.4%)
Bid Price EV $3.11 (+4.1%)
Ask Profit $0.49 (+16.4%)
Bid Profit $0.12 (+4.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.37 (+12.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.49
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.12
Risk
Win Probability 64.0%
Loss Probability 36.0%
Best Case $8.04 (+168.8%)
Worst Case $1.95 (-34.7%)
Volatility +38.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 18.0%
Avg Win +$1.14
Avg Loss -$0.68
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.95 (-34.7%)
Std Dev $1.15
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 151h 8m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 47M 50S //TOTAL COST $2.99 //ASK PRICE EV $3.48 //BID PRICE EV $3.11 //ASK PROFIT $0.49 (+16.4%) //BID PROFIT $0.12 (+4.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 64.0% //BEST CASE $8.04 //VOLATILITY +38.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
2.0%
$8.04
+$5.05
+168.8%
$7.38
+$4.39
+146.8%
$0.66
8.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
2.0%
$5.54
+$2.55
+85.3%
$4.68
+$1.69
+56.5%
$0.86
15.5%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$4.46
+$1.47
+49.2%
$3.75
+$0.76
+25.4%
$0.71
15.9%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
2.0%
$4.36
+$1.37
+45.7%
$3.34
+$0.35
+11.7%
$1.02
23.3%
—
WIN
18.0%
$4.19
+$1.20
+40.2%
$3.88
+$0.89
+29.8%
$0.31
7.4%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
2.0%
$3.78
+$0.79
+26.6%
$3.19
+$0.20
+6.7%
$0.59
15.7%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$3.28
+$0.29
+9.5%
$2.85
-$0.14
-4.7%
$0.42
13.0%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
2.0%
$3.25
+$0.26
+8.7%
$2.62
-$0.37
-12.4%
$0.63
19.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$2.68
-$0.31
-10.4%
$2.60
-$0.39
-13.0%
$0.08
2.9%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.95
-$1.04
-34.7%
$1.85
-$1.14
-38.1%
$0.10
5.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.678,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:24:37.563818Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.10069390625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.46,
"optimistic_value": 4.46,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:24:32.113297Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.275,
"optimistic_value": 3.24,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:12.970559Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.0927485482,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.951,
"optimistic_value": 1.93,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:11.461220Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 5.541,
"optimistic_value": 5.45,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 4.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T20:21:10.414344Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 3.2505,
"optimistic_value": 3.24,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:46.685681Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 3.784,
"optimistic_value": 3.77,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 3.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:34.172909Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.1079064,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 8.0375,
"optimistic_value": 7.53,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 7.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:39.583432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 4.357,
"optimistic_value": 3.79,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 3.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T19:14:02.736841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ff9fc55d30cde95f166b2a6f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "490472625092404815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:29:42.612828Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "529879340432338644",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:22.813116Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "514116523129581066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:31.977018Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "518620288314777196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:42.138765Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:42.138765Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:42.138765Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "507361342334223961",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:30:00.009654Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:09.627059Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:30:00.009654Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "508486392212133206",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:24:48.765057Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:1+collection-set-community-33:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Fever Dream 2.0% $3.39 Etch Lord 18.0% $2.34 Acid Etched 2.0% $1.97 Analog Input 18.0% $1.95 Apocalypto 2.0% $1.66 | $4.19 +101.5% | $2.27 +9.2% | 38.0% | +40.7% | $2.08 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 6.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 6.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.46 Apocalypto 6.0% $4.36 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Darkwing 6.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +164.4% | $3.82 +25.5% | 72.0% | +38.1% | $3.04 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 10.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 10.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.46 Apocalypto 10.0% $4.36 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Darkwing 10.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +140.6% | $4.16 +24.5% | 60.0% | +39.3% | $3.34 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 12.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 12.0% $4.36 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Darkwing 12.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +130.3% | $4.32 +23.9% | 64.0% | +39.2% | $3.49 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 4.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 4.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 4.0% $4.36 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Darkwing 4.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +170.6% | $3.66 +23.1% | 68.0% | +35.0% | $2.97 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Kilowatt Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 16.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 16.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 4.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 16.0% $4.36 Block-18 4.0% $4.19 Darkwing 16.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +108.8% | $4.66 +21.0% | 56.0% | +37.6% | $3.85 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  20.0% $23.51 Phantom Disruptor  13.3% $21.16 Jawbreaker  20.0% $14.90 Disco Tech  13.3% $13.93 Justice  13.3% $11.02 Olympus  20.0% $8.69 | $23.51 +76.9% | $15.57 +17.1% | 66.7% | +40.8% | $13.29 | — |