The 2018 Inferno Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Nitro
1x $0.17
Calf Skin
1x $0.18
Marsh
2x $0.07
Leafhopper
3x $0.07
VariCamo Grey
1x $0.12
Tiger Tear
1x $0.15
↓
Possible Outputs
Wintergreen
16.0% $4.61
Check Engine
5.0% $2.01
Hand Brake
5.0% $2.00
Converter
5.0% $1.90
Brake Light
5.0% $1.84
Tropical Breeze
16.0% $1.82
Max Win
$4.61 (+271.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.62 (+30.9%)
Win %
52.0%
Volatility
+117.9%
Cost
$1.24
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.24
Ask Price EV $1.62 (+30.9%)
Bid Price EV $1.42 (+14.3%)
Ask Profit $0.38 (+30.9%)
Bid Profit $0.18 (+14.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.21 (+16.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.38
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.18
Risk
Win Probability 52.0%
Loss Probability 48.0%
Best Case $4.61 (+271.8%)
Worst Case $0.40 (-67.5%)
Volatility +117.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$1.48
Avg Loss -$0.81
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.40 (-67.5%)
Std Dev $1.46
Avg Norm Float 0.1983
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 114h 20m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Nitro
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Calf Skin
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
AK-47 | VariCamo Grey
—
Field-Tested
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 31M 25S //TOTAL COST $1.24 //ASK PRICE EV $1.62 //BID PRICE EV $1.42 //ASK PROFIT $0.38 (+30.9%) //BID PROFIT $0.18 (+14.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.0% //BEST CASE $4.61 //VOLATILITY +117.9% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
16.0%
$4.61
+$3.37
+271.8%
$3.81
+$2.57
+207.3%
$0.80
17.4%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$2.01
+$0.77
+62.4%
$1.86
+$0.62
+50.0%
$0.15
7.6%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$2.00
+$0.76
+61.6%
$1.75
+$0.51
+41.1%
$0.25
12.7%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$1.90
+$0.66
+53.0%
$1.80
+$0.56
+45.2%
$0.10
5.1%
—
WIN
5.0%
$1.84
+$0.60
+48.4%
$1.66
+$0.42
+33.9%
$0.18
9.8%
—
WIN
16.0%
$1.82
+$0.58
+46.9%
$1.70
+$0.46
+37.1%
$0.12
6.6%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.48
-$0.76
-61.3%
$0.41
-$0.83
-66.9%
$0.07
14.6%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.41
-$0.83
-66.9%
$0.38
-$0.86
-69.4%
$0.03
7.4%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.40
-$0.84
-67.5%
$0.35
-$0.89
-71.8%
$0.05
13.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1486875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 4.61,
"optimistic_value": 4.61,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 3.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:23.769730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.13481,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 0.48,
"optimistic_value": 0.48,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:08:19.210184Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.11895,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 0.41050000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:54.653511Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.10903750000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 1.821,
"optimistic_value": 1.73,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 1.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.839903Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.11895,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 0.4035,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 0.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:13:27.190999Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.07930000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff8258cd7dac",
"realistic_value": 1.8975,
"optimistic_value": 1.88,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Converter",
"conservative_value": 1.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Converter (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:05:26.112914Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff8258cd7dac.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.19825,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c0a577a1a5b2",
"realistic_value": 2.0035,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Hand Brake",
"conservative_value": 1.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T10:35:49.779017Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c0a577a1a5b2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.015860000000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1e77412769d",
"realistic_value": 1.84,
"optimistic_value": 1.84,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Brake Light",
"conservative_value": 1.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:17:18.154547Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1e77412769d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.11895,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a2c7bfcb6607",
"realistic_value": 2.0135,
"optimistic_value": 2.01,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Check Engine",
"conservative_value": 1.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:57:33.560684Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a2c7bfcb6607.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_fef373b579893dd7c79fd083",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-c0b7375a375d",
"listing_id": "502857689862135628",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Nitro",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c0b7375a375d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:14:08.606431Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-7f9562bfa6a5",
"listing_id": "527627487622998296",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Calf Skin",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f9562bfa6a5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:10:14.852431Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "510738989039935162",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:56:02.919717Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "498354089952663223",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:55:57.552648Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "502856892559649080",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:56:02.919717Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "519746135814788696",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:55:57.552648Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-cdb08bfe13d3",
"listing_id": "515242588554106405",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AK-47 | VariCamo Grey",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cdb08bfe13d3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:16:52.367562Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "512990623225420919",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:05:59.459502Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "512990789044843799",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:07:24.485256Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "503983423971210091",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:00:26.994558Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno-2:2+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Inferno Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Wintergreen 16.0% $4.61 Check Engine 5.0% $3.77 Converter 5.0% $3.74 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $3.67 Hand Brake 5.0% $2.70 Brake Light 5.0% $1.84 | $4.61 +122.7% | $2.51 +21.3% | 47.0% | +50.7% | $2.07 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Inferno Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 14.0% $4.61 Check Engine 7.5% $2.01 Hand Brake 7.5% $2.00 Converter 7.5% $1.88 Brake Light 7.5% $1.84 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $1.82 | $4.61 +257.4% | $1.66 +28.8% | 58.0% | +86.5% | $1.29 | — |
The 2018 Inferno Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 12.0% $4.61 Check Engine 10.0% $2.01 Hand Brake 10.0% $2.00 Converter 10.0% $1.90 Brake Light 10.0% $1.84 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $1.82 | $4.61 +227.0% | $1.70 +20.5% | 64.0% | +72.4% | $1.41 | — |
The 2018 Inferno Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 10.0% $4.61 Converter 12.5% $3.74 Check Engine 12.5% $2.01 Hand Brake 12.5% $2.00 Brake Light 12.5% $1.84 Tropical Breeze 10.0% $1.82 | $4.61 +176.0% | $1.97 +18.1% | 70.0% | +62.5% | $1.67 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Inferno Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Vino Primo  20.0% $55.48 Fade  20.0% $50.33 Safety Net  20.0% $35.52 Sheet Lightning  20.0% $17.65 Glockingbird  20.0% $12.00 | $55.48 +75.8% | $34.20 +8.4% | 60.0% | +54.6% | $31.55 | — |