The Inferno Collection ×2+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New
Inputs
Gunsmoke
2x $4.60
Wall Bang
2x $0.17
Wash me
1x $0.34
Midnight Paintover
1x $0.35
Wash me plz
4x $0.92
↓
Possible Outputs
Brass
10.0% $181.74
Anodized Navy
10.0% $35.31
Pipsqueak
20.0% $6.82
Wurst Hölle
20.0% $5.10
Metallic Squeezer
20.0% $2.33
Teal Graf
20.0% $2.19
Max Win
$181.74 (+850.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$24.99 (+30.7%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+277.6%
Cost
$19.13
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $19.13
Ask Price EV $24.99 (+30.7%)
Bid Price EV $18.55 (-3.0%)
Ask Profit $5.86 (+30.7%)
Bid Profit $-0.58 (-3.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $6.45 (+33.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$5.86
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.58
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $181.74 (+850.0%)
Worst Case $2.19 (-88.6%)
Volatility +277.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$89.40
Avg Loss -$15.02
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.19 (-88.6%)
Std Dev $53.10
Avg Norm Float 0.0685
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 147h 59m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Field-Tested
$4.60 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Minimal Wear
$7.37 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Wall Bang
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Wall Bang
—
Minimal Wear
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Wash me
—
Factory New
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover
—
Factory New
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Factory New
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Factory New
$1.44 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Factory New
$1.53 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Factory New
$2.18 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 48M 52S //TOTAL COST $19.13 //ASK PRICE EV $24.99 //BID PRICE EV $18.55 //ASK PROFIT $5.86 (+30.7%) //BID PROFIT $-0.58 (-3.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $181.74 //VOLATILITY +277.6% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID
10.0%
$181.74
+$162.61
+850.0%
$120.00
+$100.87
+527.3%
$61.74
34.0%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$35.31
+$16.18
+84.6%
$33.55
+$14.42
+75.4%
$1.76
5.0%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$6.82
-$12.31
-64.3%
$6.71
-$12.42
-64.9%
$0.11
1.7%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$5.10
-$14.03
-73.3%
$4.90
-$14.23
-74.4%
$0.20
3.9%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$2.33
-$16.80
-87.8%
$2.22
-$16.91
-88.4%
$0.11
4.9%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$2.19
-$16.95
-88.6%
$2.13
-$17.00
-88.9%
$0.06
2.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.041100000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"realistic_value": 2.3335,
"optimistic_value": 2.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"conservative_value": 2.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:44:38.257729Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.03425,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"realistic_value": 2.185,
"optimistic_value": 2.15,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"conservative_value": 2.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:57:06.234224Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.06165,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"realistic_value": 6.8235,
"optimistic_value": 6.82,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"conservative_value": 6.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:15:07.257918Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.0685,
"output_skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"realistic_value": 5.1000000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 5.03,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"conservative_value": 4.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:13:00.365094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0054800000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc4aeda27ca",
"realistic_value": 35.3115,
"optimistic_value": 35,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy",
"conservative_value": 33.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:06:08.805854Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc4aeda27ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0685,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62fc4feb5c7c",
"realistic_value": 181.7415,
"optimistic_value": 150.91,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Brass",
"conservative_value": 120,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Brass (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:58.072873Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62fc4feb5c7c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f95274e50aec9656fce8b4ba",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 4.6,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "524249529996069051",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:51:16.529686Z"
},
{
"price": 7.37,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "524248990847644659",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:42.155960Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-c5f7f8d41bc2",
"listing_id": "501731789729722517",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Wall Bang (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Wall Bang",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c5f7f8d41bc2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:59:52.076863Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-c5f7f8d41bc2",
"listing_id": "514116688949642406",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Wall Bang (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Wall Bang",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c5f7f8d41bc2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:59:52.076863Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-d26b2336552f",
"listing_id": "500605889840662799",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wash me (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Wash me",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d26b2336552f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:48.167158Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-aec4b9b50be0",
"listing_id": "493850438105686036",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aec4b9b50be0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:54:50.485837Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "502857637418221228",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:44:00.214272Z"
},
{
"price": 1.44,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "499479193128954685",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:44:00.214272Z"
},
{
"price": 1.53,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "508486392203754098",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:44:00.214272Z"
},
{
"price": 2.18,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "510738192173038714",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:44:00.214272Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-overpass-2024:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 15.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 15.0% $35.31 Pipsqueak 17.5% $6.82 Wurst Hölle 17.5% $5.10 Metallic Squeezer 17.5% $2.33 Teal Graf 17.5% $2.24 | $181.74 +565.0% | $35.45 +29.7% | 30.0% | +228.5% | $27.33 | — |
The Inferno Collection ×1+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 5.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 5.0% $35.31 Pipsqueak 22.5% $6.82 Wurst Hölle 22.5% $5.10 Metallic Squeezer 22.5% $2.33 Teal Graf 22.5% $2.19 | $181.74 +1365.7% | $14.55 +17.4% | 10.0% | +314.5% | $12.40 | — |
The Inferno Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 25.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 25.0% $35.31 Pipsqueak 12.5% $6.82 Wurst Hölle 12.5% $5.10 Metallic Squeezer 12.5% $2.33 Teal Graf 12.5% $2.19 | $181.74 +261.5% | $56.32 +12.0% | 25.0% | +146.3% | $50.27 | — |