The Inferno Collection ×2+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Gunsmoke
2x $3.49
Wash me
1x $0.09
Midnight Paintover
3x $0.11
Wash me plz
2x $0.14
Wall Bang
2x $0.17
↓
Possible Outputs
Brass
10.0% $40.55
Anodized Navy
10.0% $35.31
Pipsqueak
20.0% $1.22
Wurst Hölle
20.0% $1.16
Metallic Squeezer
20.0% $0.77
Teal Graf
20.0% $0.69
Max Win
$40.55 (+356.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$8.35 (-5.9%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+167.1%
Cost
$8.88
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $8.88
Ask Price EV $8.35 (-5.9%)
Bid Price EV $6.95 (-21.7%)
Ask Profit $-0.53 (-5.9%)
Bid Profit $-1.93 (-21.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.40 (+15.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.53
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.93
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $40.55 (+356.7%)
Worst Case $0.69 (-92.2%)
Volatility +167.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$29.05
Avg Loss -$7.92
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.69 (-92.2%)
Std Dev $14.84
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 149h 7m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Field-Tested
$3.49 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Field-Tested
$3.80 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Wash me
—
Minimal Wear
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Wall Bang
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Wall Bang
—
Minimal Wear
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover
—
Factory New
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover
—
Factory New
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 51M 26S //TOTAL COST $8.88 //ASK PRICE EV $8.35 //BID PRICE EV $6.95 //ASK PROFIT $-0.53 (-5.9%) //BID PROFIT $-1.93 (-21.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $40.55 //VOLATILITY +167.1% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$40.55
+$31.67
+356.7%
$28.61
+$19.73
+222.2%
$11.94
29.5%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$35.31
+$26.43
+297.7%
$33.55
+$24.67
+277.8%
$1.76
5.0%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$1.22
-$7.66
-86.3%
$1.12
-$7.76
-87.4%
$0.10
8.0%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$1.16
-$7.72
-86.9%
$1.15
-$7.73
-87.0%
$0.01
0.9%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$0.77
-$8.11
-91.3%
$0.74
-$8.14
-91.7%
$0.03
4.3%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$0.69
-$8.19
-92.2%
$0.66
-$8.22
-92.6%
$0.03
4.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.08997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"realistic_value": 0.7735,
"optimistic_value": 0.77,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"conservative_value": 0.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:37.047283Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.074975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"realistic_value": 0.69,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:50:52.826109Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.134955,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"realistic_value": 1.2169999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.21,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"conservative_value": 1.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T11:42:04.443708Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.14995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"realistic_value": 1.16,
"optimistic_value": 1.16,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"conservative_value": 1.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:06:31.713909Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.011996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc4aeda27ca",
"realistic_value": 35.3115,
"optimistic_value": 35,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy",
"conservative_value": 33.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:06:08.805854Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc4aeda27ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62fc4feb5c7c",
"realistic_value": 40.553,
"optimistic_value": 38.32,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Brass",
"conservative_value": 28.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:52.450752Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62fc4feb5c7c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f95274e50aec9656fce8b4ba",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.49,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "517494222854307622",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:59:55.554844Z"
},
{
"price": 3.8,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "627827340795868318",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:59:55.554844Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-d26b2336552f",
"listing_id": "526501587737539097",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wash me (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Wash me",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d26b2336552f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:53:41.001318Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-aec4b9b50be0",
"listing_id": "526501422105979913",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aec4b9b50be0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:12:38.548964Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "494976390477273234",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:04:08.105231Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "515242536108092773",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:04:08.105231Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-c5f7f8d41bc2",
"listing_id": "501731789729722517",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Wall Bang (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Wall Bang",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c5f7f8d41bc2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:09:47.785067Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-c5f7f8d41bc2",
"listing_id": "514116688949642406",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Wall Bang (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Wall Bang",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c5f7f8d41bc2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:09:47.785067Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-aec4b9b50be0",
"listing_id": "519746241188371652",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aec4b9b50be0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:56.138605Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-aec4b9b50be0",
"listing_id": "493850438105686036",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aec4b9b50be0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:56.138605Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-overpass-2024:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 15.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 15.0% $35.31 Pipsqueak 17.5% $6.82 Wurst Hölle 17.5% $5.10 Metallic Squeezer 17.5% $2.24 Teal Graf 17.5% $2.19 | $181.74 +575.9% | $35.42 +31.7% | 30.0% | +232.3% | $26.89 | — |
The Inferno Collection ×1+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 5.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 5.0% $35.31 Pipsqueak 22.5% $6.82 Wurst Hölle 22.5% $5.10 Teal Graf 22.5% $2.24 Metallic Squeezer 22.5% $2.21 | $181.74 +1410.7% | $14.54 +20.8% | 10.0% | +324.2% | $12.03 | — |
The Inferno Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 25.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 25.0% $35.31 Pipsqueak 12.5% $6.82 Wurst Hölle 12.5% $5.10 Teal Graf 12.5% $2.24 Metallic Squeezer 12.5% $2.21 | $181.74 +278.8% | $56.31 +17.4% | 25.0% | +153.3% | $47.98 | — |