The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
4x $0.27
Insomnia
1x $0.34
Cyberforce
1x $0.37
Fragment
1x $0.46
Fusion
2x $0.47
Bock Blocks
1x $0.63
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
8.0% $16.94
Firebreathing
8.0% $10.78
Amberline
8.0% $6.23
Galigator
8.0% $5.68
Urban Sovereign
8.0% $4.81
Emphorosaur-S
12.0% $4.12
Max Win
$16.94 (+316.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.11 (+25.6%)
Win %
52.0%
Volatility
+105.0%
Cost
$4.07
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.07
Ask Price EV $5.11 (+25.6%)
Bid Price EV $4.38 (+7.6%)
Ask Profit $1.04 (+25.6%)
Bid Profit $0.31 (+7.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.73 (+18.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.04
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.31
Risk
Win Probability 52.0%
Loss Probability 48.0%
Best Case $16.94 (+316.1%)
Worst Case $1.39 (-65.8%)
Volatility +105.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 36.0%
Avg Win +$3.72
Avg Loss -$1.85
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.39 (-65.8%)
Std Dev $4.27
Avg Norm Float 0.1498
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 143h 55m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Insomnia
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
$0.46 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 28M 56S //TOTAL COST $4.07 //ASK PRICE EV $5.11 //BID PRICE EV $4.38 //ASK PROFIT $1.04 (+25.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.31 (+7.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.0% //BEST CASE $16.94 //VOLATILITY +105.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$16.94
+$12.87
+316.1%
$14.31
+$10.24
+251.6%
$2.63
15.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$10.78
+$6.71
+164.8%
$9.15
+$5.08
+124.8%
$1.63
15.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$6.23
+$2.16
+53.0%
$4.92
+$0.85
+20.9%
$1.31
21.0%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$5.68
+$1.61
+39.6%
$4.89
+$0.82
+20.1%
$0.79
13.9%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$4.81
+$0.74
+18.1%
$4.43
+$0.36
+8.8%
$0.38
7.9%
—
PAPER WIN
12.0%
$4.12
+$0.05
+1.2%
$3.56
-$0.51
-12.5%
$0.56
13.5%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$3.08
-$0.99
-24.3%
$2.72
-$1.35
-33.2%
$0.36
11.7%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$2.65
-$1.42
-34.8%
$2.41
-$1.66
-40.8%
$0.24
9.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$1.74
-$2.33
-57.2%
$1.46
-$2.61
-64.1%
$0.28
16.1%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.39
-$2.68
-65.8%
$1.21
-$2.86
-70.3%
$0.18
13.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.11237249999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.119864,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.2969014,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.08989799999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.3904999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 1.38,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:11:05.501491Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14983,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 1.74,
"optimistic_value": 1.74,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:06.082374Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14983,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 10.7765,
"optimistic_value": 10.71,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.430728Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14983,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 5.68,
"optimistic_value": 5.68,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 4.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:07:55.298809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14983,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 16.936,
"optimistic_value": 16.88,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 14.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.044782Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14983,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 6.228,
"optimistic_value": 6.13,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 4.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:24.819638Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14983,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 4.8075,
"optimistic_value": 4.72,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 4.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:07:59.600006Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f866713610ff88a66ebca3d1",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "497228190142015769",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:16:24.745066Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "529879287551482740",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:16:24.745066Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "523123091066584858",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:16:24.745066Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "516368488725172886",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:16:24.745066Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-e6a7543c4187",
"listing_id": "515241791650778785",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Insomnia (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Insomnia",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e6a7543c4187.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:18:28.085646Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "502857689861700028",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:39.480722Z"
},
{
"price": 0.46,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "496102290329539715",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:02:26.965345Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "492724590626752209",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:57:35.322131Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "511864723318980237",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:57:35.322131Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "643593816523454425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:02:27.544656Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:6+collection-set-community-37:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 8.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 8.0% $31.66 Amberline 8.0% $18.87 Galigator 8.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $13.92 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +333.1% | $14.37 +21.4% | 40.0% | +98.2% | $11.84 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 8.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 8.0% $6.12 Galigator 8.0% $3.26 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $3.23 Amberline 8.0% $3.22 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 | $10.69 +308.1% | $3.03 +15.6% | 52.0% | +89.4% | $2.62 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.92 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +287.9% | $16.32 +23.4% | 50.0% | +92.4% | $13.22 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 12.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 12.0% $10.78 Amberline 12.0% $6.42 Galigator 12.0% $5.68 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $4.81 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +222.6% | $6.39 +21.8% | 48.0% | +77.2% | $5.25 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $6.42 Galigator 6.0% $5.68 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $4.81 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +357.7% | $4.50 +21.5% | 44.0% | +93.6% | $3.70 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.92 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +207.4% | $20.21 +21.2% | 42.0% | +77.7% | $16.68 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.92 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +177.2% | $22.16 +19.8% | 48.0% | +71.8% | $18.50 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.92 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +124.3% | $24.10 +5.4% | 36.0% | +59.7% | $22.86 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit  30.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned  30.0% $105.54 Temukau  20.0% $52.74 Head Shot  20.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +90.5% | $93.84 +26.7% | 60.0% | +52.2% | $74.07 | — |