The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Re.built
3x $0.14
Cyberforce
1x $0.20
Fragments
2x $0.27
RMX
2x $0.34
Fragment
1x $0.43
Bock Blocks
1x $0.46
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
8.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
8.0% $6.12
Galigator
8.0% $3.56
Urban Sovereign
8.0% $3.32
Amberline
8.0% $3.05
Sakkaku
12.0% $2.65
Max Win
$10.69 (+272.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.12 (+8.6%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+91.3%
Cost
$2.87
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.87
Ask Price EV $3.12 (+8.6%)
Bid Price EV $2.63 (-8.4%)
Ask Profit $0.25 (+8.6%)
Bid Profit $-0.24 (-8.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.49 (+17.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.25
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.24
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+272.6%)
Worst Case $0.88 (-69.2%)
Volatility +91.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$2.48
Avg Loss -$1.24
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.88 (-69.2%)
Std Dev $2.62
Avg Norm Float 0.2399
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 13m
Oldest Output Price 144h 58m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.46 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 32M 10S //TOTAL COST $2.87 //ASK PRICE EV $3.12 //BID PRICE EV $2.63 //ASK PROFIT $0.25 (+8.6%) //BID PROFIT $-0.24 (-8.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +91.3% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
8.0%
$10.69
+$7.82
+272.6%
$9.15
+$6.28
+218.8%
$1.54
14.4%
—
BIG WIN
8.0%
$6.12
+$3.25
+113.1%
$4.98
+$2.11
+73.5%
$1.14
18.6%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID
8.0%
$3.56
+$0.69
+24.2%
$2.64
-$0.23
-8.0%
$0.92
25.9%
—
PAPER WIN
8.0%
$3.32
+$0.45
+15.5%
$2.57
-$0.30
-10.5%
$0.75
22.5%
—
PAPER WIN
8.0%
$3.05
+$0.18
+6.1%
$2.61
-$0.26
-9.1%
$0.44
14.3%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$2.65
-$0.22
-7.5%
$2.41
-$0.46
-16.0%
$0.24
9.2%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$1.82
-$1.05
-36.6%
$1.79
-$1.08
-37.6%
$0.03
1.7%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.41
-$1.46
-50.9%
$1.21
-$1.66
-57.8%
$0.20
14.2%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.38
-$1.49
-51.9%
$1.11
-$1.76
-61.3%
$0.27
19.6%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.88
-$1.99
-69.2%
$0.76
-$2.11
-73.5%
$0.12
14.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.17995499999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 1.38,
"optimistic_value": 1.38,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:57.002230Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.191952,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 1.8210000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 1.8,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 1.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:56.308257Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.3491652,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14396399999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.41,
"optimistic_value": 1.41,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:51.669100Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.23994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.8835,
"optimistic_value": 0.88,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:11:58.543111Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.23994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 6.117,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 4.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.23994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.5645000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 3.47,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:39:26.209442Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.23994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.23994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 3.0465,
"optimistic_value": 2.91,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:56.377001Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.23994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 3.316,
"optimistic_value": 3.26,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:22.239618Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f866713610ff88a66ebca3d1",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "529879287551698488",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:08:50.490099Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "523123091064930586",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:08:50.490099Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "494976338031886434",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:08:50.490099Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "650349216076116573",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:06:38.703747Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "497228190142015769",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:08:28.921168Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "529879287551482740",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:08:28.921168Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "510738989041042738",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:09:01.402899Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "526501587737943665",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:09:01.402899Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "498354089953569019",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:16:01.572151Z"
},
{
"price": 0.46,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "506235389470161876",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:16:07.180520Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:6+collection-set-community-37:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.23 Galigator 8.0% $5.68 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $4.82 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +303.2% | $5.12 +21.8% | 40.0% | +89.1% | $4.20 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 8.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 8.0% $31.66 Amberline 8.0% $18.87 Galigator 8.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $13.92 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +330.5% | $14.38 +20.8% | 40.0% | +97.6% | $11.91 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.92 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +232.1% | $20.21 +30.9% | 42.0% | +83.9% | $15.44 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.92 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +295.6% | $16.33 +26.0% | 50.0% | +94.3% | $12.96 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.92 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +250.0% | $18.26 +24.7% | 36.0% | +86.2% | $14.65 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.92 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +188.1% | $22.16 +24.5% | 48.0% | +74.6% | $17.80 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.92 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +162.0% | $24.10 +23.2% | 36.0% | +69.8% | $19.57 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $6.23 Galigator 6.0% $5.68 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $4.82 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +359.0% | $4.49 +21.6% | 44.0% | +93.7% | $3.69 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit  30.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned  30.0% $105.54 Temukau  20.0% $52.74 Head Shot  20.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +96.8% | $93.84 +30.9% | 60.0% | +54.0% | $71.69 | — |