The Sport & Field Collection ×2+The Harlequin Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Wildwood
1x $0.17
Cold Cell
1x $0.41
Picnic
3x $0.16
Banana Leaf
2x $0.17
Coral Paisley
3x $0.21
↓
Possible Outputs
Fraise Crane
20.0% $6.16
Alpine Camo
5.0% $5.18
Small Game
5.0% $3.66
Zeno
5.0% $3.65
Sky Mandala
20.0% $3.51
Warm Blooded
20.0% $2.30
Max Win
$6.16 (+108.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.56 (+20.1%)
Win %
55.0%
Volatility
+51.4%
Cost
$2.96
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.96
Ask Price EV $3.56 (+20.1%)
Bid Price EV $3.47 (+17.1%)
Ask Profit $0.60 (+20.1%)
Bid Profit $0.51 (+17.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.09 (+3.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.60
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.51
Risk
Win Probability 55.0%
Loss Probability 45.0%
Best Case $6.16 (+108.0%)
Worst Case $1.55 (-47.7%)
Volatility +51.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 5.0%
Avg Win +$1.69
Avg Loss -$0.74
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.55 (-47.7%)
Std Dev $1.52
Avg Norm Float 0.0998
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 3h 33m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Cold Cell
—
Factory New
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Picnic
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Minimal Wear
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Minimal Wear
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Minimal Wear
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Picnic
—
Factory New
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Picnic
—
Factory New
$0.61 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 42M 43S //TOTAL COST $2.96 //ASK PRICE EV $3.56 //BID PRICE EV $3.47 //ASK PROFIT $0.60 (+20.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.51 (+17.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 55.0% //BEST CASE $6.16 //VOLATILITY +51.4% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
20.0%
$6.16
+$3.20
+108.0%
$6.12
+$3.16
+106.8%
$0.04
0.6%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$5.18
+$2.22
+74.9%
$5.03
+$2.07
+69.9%
$0.15
2.8%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$3.66
+$0.70
+23.7%
$3.28
+$0.32
+10.8%
$0.38
10.4%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$3.65
+$0.69
+23.3%
$3.31
+$0.35
+11.8%
$0.34
9.3%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$3.51
+$0.55
+18.5%
$3.42
+$0.46
+15.5%
$0.09
2.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$2.30
-$0.66
-22.2%
$2.25
-$0.71
-24.0%
$0.05
2.3%
—
LOSS
20.0%
$2.30
-$0.66
-22.3%
$2.25
-$0.71
-24.0%
$0.05
2.2%
—
NUKE
5.0%
$1.55
-$1.41
-47.7%
$1.52
-$1.44
-48.6%
$0.03
1.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-realism-camo|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.06488300000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"realistic_value": 6.1579999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 6.13,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"conservative_value": 6.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:00.132495Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.069874,
"output_skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"realistic_value": 3.507,
"optimistic_value": 3.5,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"conservative_value": 3.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:34.234866Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.069874,
"output_skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"realistic_value": 2.3035,
"optimistic_value": 2.3,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:31.477023Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.0658812,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"realistic_value": 2.3,
"optimistic_value": 2.3,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:31.420853Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.09982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad8878d8dfca",
"realistic_value": 1.547,
"optimistic_value": 1.54,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Yorkshire",
"conservative_value": 1.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:20:12.955322Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad8878d8dfca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.069874,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
"realistic_value": 3.661,
"optimistic_value": 3.64,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Small Game",
"conservative_value": 3.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:37.223235Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.069874,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6aaf237dc6ae",
"realistic_value": 3.6485,
"optimistic_value": 3.61,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno",
"conservative_value": 3.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:44.541679Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6aaf237dc6ae.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.06787760000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7d2a2ccef9f1",
"realistic_value": 5.1770000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 5.17,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo",
"conservative_value": 5.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:20:25.787230Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7d2a2ccef9f1.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f770627139bda8f15f2e8039",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "526501587737915297",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:15:54.657198Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-578fd8494dd0",
"listing_id": "505109489449340372",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-578fd8494dd0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:13:25.409513Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"listing_id": "518620288314610552",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:46.438920Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "507361237008908833",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:06:20.599036Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "492724538183377989",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:06:00.178541Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "509613036861256419",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:06:00.178541Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "499479989895930289",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:06:00.178541Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "517494388634098390",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:56.359617Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"listing_id": "491598690699919238",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:43.242087Z"
},
{
"price": 0.61,
"skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"listing_id": "501731789729823857",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:43.242087Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-realism-camo:2+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Sport & Field Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Fraise Crane 22.5% $2.93 Sky Mandala 22.5% $1.74 Alpine Camo 2.5% $1.44 Zeno 2.5% $1.22 Small Game 2.5% $1.20 Earth Mandala 22.5% $1.17 | $2.93 +125.7% | $1.69 +29.8% | 47.5% | +50.0% | $1.30 | — |