The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Bone Forged
1x $0.29
Desert Strike
1x $0.34
Distressed
1x $0.36
Rose Hex
3x $0.34
Shredded
3x $0.47
Blush Pour
1x $0.65
↓
Possible Outputs
Mulberry
23.3% $15.94
Glitched Paint
23.3% $7.07
Bleeding Edge
23.3% $5.91
Fever Dream
6.0% $3.16
Acid Etched
6.0% $1.01
Apocalypto
6.0% $0.98
Max Win
$15.94 (+195.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.17 (+33.1%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+99.0%
Cost
$5.39
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.39
Ask Price EV $7.17 (+33.1%)
Bid Price EV $6.42 (+19.0%)
Ask Profit $1.78 (+33.1%)
Bid Profit $1.03 (+19.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.76 (+14.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.78
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.03
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $15.94 (+195.8%)
Worst Case $0.94 (-82.5%)
Volatility +99.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$4.25
Avg Loss -$3.98
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.94 (-82.5%)
Std Dev $5.34
Avg Norm Float 0.1996
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 16m
Oldest Output Price 144h 42m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.65 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Minimal Wear
$0.77 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Minimal Wear
$0.83 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Minimal Wear
$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 28M 48S //TOTAL COST $5.39 //ASK PRICE EV $7.17 //BID PRICE EV $6.42 //ASK PROFIT $1.78 (+33.1%) //BID PROFIT $1.03 (+19.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $15.94 //VOLATILITY +99.0% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$15.94
+$10.55
+195.8%
$14.54
+$9.15
+169.8%
$1.40
8.8%
—
WIN
23.3%
$7.07
+$1.68
+31.1%
$6.21
+$0.82
+15.2%
$0.86
12.1%
—
PAPER WIN
23.3%
$5.91
+$0.52
+9.7%
$5.14
-$0.25
-4.6%
$0.77
13.1%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$3.16
-$2.23
-41.4%
$2.80
-$2.59
-48.1%
$0.36
11.3%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.01
-$4.38
-81.3%
$0.87
-$4.52
-83.9%
$0.14
13.9%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.98
-$4.41
-81.8%
$0.88
-$4.51
-83.7%
$0.10
10.3%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.97
-$4.42
-82.1%
$0.85
-$4.54
-84.2%
$0.12
12.1%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.94
-$4.45
-82.5%
$0.85
-$4.54
-84.2%
$0.09
9.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.149715,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d7d76a0b8b5",
"realistic_value": 15.9415,
"optimistic_value": 15.91,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry",
"conservative_value": 14.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:07.329445Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d7d76a0b8b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.13374540000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"realistic_value": 7.067,
"optimistic_value": 6.99,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"conservative_value": 6.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:50:49.164092Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.11977199999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"realistic_value": 5.914000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 5.9,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"conservative_value": 5.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:37:03.298221Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.19962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 1.01,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 0.87,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:36:18.459472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.19962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 0.9675,
"optimistic_value": 0.95,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:45:47.116069Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.19962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 0.9410000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 0.92,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:37:01.189764Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14372639999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 3.1575,
"optimistic_value": 3.14,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 2.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:45:29.661315Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.19962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 0.9815,
"optimistic_value": 0.95,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 0.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:50:33.424745Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f6aa8c91f9f6b0a989ce3013",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-3c54e05cbb62",
"listing_id": "517494388633932970",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c54e05cbb62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:40.313258Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "506235337026426216",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:54.236682Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "525375522202008871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:45:49.309909Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "516368488725524570",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:57:05.265099Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "525375688036290175",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:57:05.265099Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "520872088105717584",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:39.391496Z"
},
{
"price": 0.65,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "526501535293744649",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:54:04.080679Z"
},
{
"price": 0.77,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "501731789730685373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:53:45.975803Z"
},
{
"price": 0.83,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "494976390476814342",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:53:45.975803Z"
},
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "517494388633767838",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:54:05.646522Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-25:3+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Mulberry 23.3% $33.42 Glitched Paint 23.3% $17.13 Bleeding Edge 23.3% $16.98 Fever Dream 6.0% $8.46 Acid Etched 6.0% $2.37 Darkwing 6.0% $2.29 | $33.42 +109.3% | $16.77 +5.0% | 70.0% | +60.7% | $15.97 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 20.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 20.0% $6.72 Bleeding Edge 20.0% $5.91 Fever Dream 8.0% $3.16 Acid Etched 8.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 8.0% $0.98 | $15.94 +237.7% | $6.28 +33.0% | 60.0% | +103.8% | $4.72 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 26.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 26.7% $7.07 Bleeding Edge 26.7% $5.91 Fever Dream 4.0% $3.16 Acid Etched 4.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 4.0% $0.98 | $15.94 +163.5% | $7.99 +32.1% | 53.3% | +79.4% | $6.05 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 30.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 30.0% $7.17 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.91 Fever Dream 2.0% $3.19 Acid Etched 2.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 2.0% $0.98 | $15.94 +134.8% | $8.85 +30.3% | 60.0% | +68.5% | $6.79 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 16.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 16.7% $6.72 Bleeding Edge 16.7% $5.91 Fever Dream 10.0% $3.16 Acid Etched 10.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 10.0% $0.98 | $15.94 +276.0% | $5.47 +29.0% | 50.0% | +113.4% | $4.24 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Radiant Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 13.3% $15.94 Glitched Paint 13.3% $7.07 Bleeding Edge 13.3% $5.91 Fever Dream 12.0% $3.16 Acid Etched 12.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 12.0% $0.98 | $15.94 +315.1% | $4.70 +22.5% | 40.0% | +120.4% | $3.84 | — |