The Gallery Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Statics
1x $0.31
Calligraffiti
3x $0.37
Trail Blazer
2x $0.58
Creep
3x $0.50
Aeolian Light
1x $0.70
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
20.0% $12.05
Turbine
12.0% $5.54
Rapid Transit
12.0% $5.23
Trace Lock
20.0% $4.94
Saibā Oni
12.0% $4.30
Hydro Strike
12.0% $3.68
Max Win
$12.05 (+114.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.93 (+5.4%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+56.7%
Cost
$5.63
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $5.63
Ask Price EV $5.93 (+5.4%)
Bid Price EV $5.23 (-7.1%)
Ask Profit $0.30 (+5.4%)
Bid Profit $-0.40 (-7.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.70 (+12.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.30
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.40
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $12.05 (+114.0%)
Worst Case $2.39 (-57.6%)
Volatility +56.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 24.0%
Avg Win +$6.42
Avg Loss -$1.23
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.39 (-57.6%)
Std Dev $3.19
Avg Norm Float 0.1759
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 154h 20m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP5-SD | Statics
—
Field-Tested
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti
—
Field-Tested
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti
—
Field-Tested
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer
—
Minimal Wear
$0.58 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer
—
Minimal Wear
$0.62 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Minimal Wear
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Minimal Wear
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 05M 15S //TOTAL COST $5.63 //ASK PRICE EV $5.93 //BID PRICE EV $5.23 //ASK PROFIT $0.30 (+5.4%) //BID PROFIT $-0.40 (-7.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $12.05 //VOLATILITY +56.7% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
20.0%
$12.05
+$6.42
+114.0%
$10.32
+$4.69
+83.3%
$1.73
14.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$5.54
-$0.09
-1.5%
$5.03
-$0.60
-10.7%
$0.51
9.3%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$5.23
-$0.40
-7.1%
$4.80
-$0.83
-14.7%
$0.43
8.2%
—
LOSS
20.0%
$4.94
-$0.69
-12.3%
$4.30
-$1.33
-23.6%
$0.64
12.9%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$4.30
-$1.33
-23.7%
$3.77
-$1.86
-33.0%
$0.53
12.3%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$3.68
-$1.95
-34.7%
$3.46
-$2.17
-38.5%
$0.22
5.9%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$2.39
-$3.24
-57.6%
$2.15
-$3.48
-61.8%
$0.24
10.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.13196249999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 12.049,
"optimistic_value": 11.93,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 10.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:40:28.312731Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.12316499999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 4.9385,
"optimistic_value": 4.9,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 4.3,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:32.311458Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1410094971,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 3.6755,
"optimistic_value": 3.63,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 3.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T07:59:35.047001Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14955749999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 5.5435,
"optimistic_value": 5.54,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 5.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:37.877557Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.11612700000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 4.298,
"optimistic_value": 4.2,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 3.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T03:48:58.343848Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.13196249999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 2.3895,
"optimistic_value": 2.33,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 2.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:33.181178Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.13196249999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 5.2275,
"optimistic_value": 5,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 4.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:39.207780Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f66397e7fe171450e5d8e146",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-63ed7bb762a0",
"listing_id": "517494441498697738",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Statics (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Statics",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-63ed7bb762a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:40:13.856297Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-48039a85c871",
"listing_id": "503983589619618679",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48039a85c871.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:39:59.388720Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-48039a85c871",
"listing_id": "517494336190260670",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48039a85c871.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:39:59.388720Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-48039a85c871",
"listing_id": "515242641501841021",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48039a85c871.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:39:59.388720Z"
},
{
"price": 0.58,
"skin_id": "skin-03f6e200c8b6",
"listing_id": "511864091785714893",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-03f6e200c8b6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:19.398318Z"
},
{
"price": 0.62,
"skin_id": "skin-03f6e200c8b6",
"listing_id": "491598524991426146",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-03f6e200c8b6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:19.398318Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "516368541589358198",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:21:06.512999Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "496102343226808487",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:46.403366Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "497228243056065977",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:39.795184Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "491598743581180106",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:39.795184Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-34:6+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Turbine 12.0% $45.05 Breakthrough 20.0% $27.06 Rapid Transit 12.0% $17.02 Hydro Strike 12.0% $14.26 Trace Lock 20.0% $13.78 Saibā Oni 12.0% $12.21 | $45.05 +150.1% | $20.01 +11.1% | 32.0% | +57.0% | $18.01 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.05 Rapid Transit 4.0% $5.23 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.94 Saibā Oni 4.0% $4.30 Randy Rush 4.0% $2.47 Turbine 4.0% $1.88 | $12.05 +107.0% | $7.40 +27.1% | 40.0% | +63.9% | $5.82 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.05 Rapid Transit 2.0% $5.23 Trace Lock 45.0% $4.94 Saibā Oni 2.0% $4.30 Randy Rush 2.0% $2.39 Turbine 2.0% $1.88 | $12.05 +87.4% | $7.94 +23.6% | 45.0% | +57.0% | $6.43 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 35.0% $12.05 Rapid Transit 6.0% $5.23 Trace Lock 35.0% $4.94 Saibā Oni 6.0% $4.30 Randy Rush 6.0% $2.47 Turbine 6.0% $1.88 | $12.05 +111.0% | $6.85 +20.0% | 35.0% | +65.3% | $5.71 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 30.0% $12.05 Rapid Transit 8.0% $5.23 Trace Lock 30.0% $4.94 Saibā Oni 8.0% $4.30 Randy Rush 8.0% $2.47 Turbine 8.0% $1.88 | $12.05 +122.3% | $6.30 +16.3% | 30.0% | +68.1% | $5.42 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Turbine 10.0% $45.05 Breakthrough 25.0% $27.06 Rapid Transit 10.0% $17.02 Hydro Strike 10.0% $14.26 Trace Lock 25.0% $13.78 Saibā Oni 10.0% $12.21 | $45.05 +153.4% | $20.08 +12.9% | 35.0% | +54.8% | $17.78 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×7+The Achroma Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Turbine 14.0% $45.05 Breakthrough 15.0% $27.06 Rapid Transit 14.0% $17.02 Hydro Strike 14.0% $14.26 Trace Lock 15.0% $13.78 Saibā Oni 14.0% $12.21 | $45.05 +146.9% | $19.95 +9.3% | 29.0% | +58.9% | $18.25 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×8+The Achroma Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Turbine 16.0% $45.05 Breakthrough 10.0% $27.06 Rapid Transit 16.0% $17.02 Hydro Strike 16.0% $14.26 Trace Lock 10.0% $13.73 Saibā Oni 16.0% $12.04 | $45.05 +142.5% | $19.85 +6.8% | 26.0% | +60.6% | $18.58 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×9+The Achroma Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Turbine 18.0% $45.05 Breakthrough 5.0% $27.06 Rapid Transit 18.0% $17.02 Hydro Strike 18.0% $14.26 Trace Lock 5.0% $13.73 Saibā Oni 18.0% $12.04 | $45.05 +130.7% | $19.78 +1.3% | 23.0% | +59.9% | $19.53 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | The End  60.0% $27.17 The Outsiders  13.3% $12.21 Neo-Noir  13.3% $8.28 Epicenter  13.3% $8.04 | $27.17 +49.8% | $20.11 +10.8% | 60.0% | +48.2% | $18.14 | — |