The Gallery Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
27
2x $0.78
Hypnosis
1x $1.12
Tango
2x $1.65
Statics
1x $4.32
Grip Tape
2x $2.23
The Daily Deagle
2x $3.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Turbine
12.0% $45.05
Breakthrough
20.0% $27.06
Rapid Transit
12.0% $17.02
Hydro Strike
12.0% $14.26
Trace Lock
20.0% $13.99
Saibā Oni
12.0% $12.21
Max Win
$45.05 (+100.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$20.06 (-10.9%)
Win %
32.0%
Volatility
+47.9%
Cost
$22.50
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $22.50
Ask Price EV $20.06 (-10.9%)
Bid Price EV $19.43 (-13.6%)
Ask Profit $-2.44 (-10.9%)
Bid Profit $-3.07 (-13.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.62 (+2.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.44
Bid Slippage Buffer -$3.07
Risk
Win Probability 32.0%
Loss Probability 68.0%
Best Case $45.05 (+100.2%)
Worst Case $10.17 (-54.8%)
Volatility +47.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 56.0%
Avg Win +$11.30
Avg Loss -$8.92
Bottom 5% Outcome $10.17 (-54.8%)
Std Dev $10.79
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 155h 49m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
USP-S | 27
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | 27
—
Minimal Wear
$0.81 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Minimal Wear
$1.12 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Tango
—
Minimal Wear
$1.65 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Tango
—
Minimal Wear
$1.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Statics
—
Factory New
$4.32 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Factory New
$2.23 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Factory New
$2.35 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Factory New
$3.00 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Factory New
$4.49 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 10M 56S //TOTAL COST $22.50 //ASK PRICE EV $20.06 //BID PRICE EV $19.43 //ASK PROFIT $-2.44 (-10.9%) //BID PROFIT $-3.07 (-13.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 32.0% //BEST CASE $45.05 //VOLATILITY +47.9% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.0%
$45.05
+$22.55
+100.2%
$44.10
+$21.60
+96.0%
$0.95
2.1%
—
WIN
20.0%
$27.06
+$4.56
+20.3%
$26.47
+$3.97
+17.6%
$0.59
2.2%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$17.02
-$5.48
-24.3%
$16.60
-$5.90
-26.2%
$0.42
2.5%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$14.26
-$8.24
-36.6%
$13.68
-$8.82
-39.2%
$0.58
4.1%
—
LOSS
20.0%
$13.99
-$8.52
-37.8%
$13.26
-$9.24
-41.1%
$0.72
5.2%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$12.21
-$10.29
-45.7%
$11.44
-$11.06
-49.2%
$0.77
6.3%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$10.17
-$12.33
-54.8%
$9.90
-$12.60
-56.0%
$0.27
2.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.05241,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 27.057000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 27.05,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 26.47,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:40:17.581071Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.048915999999999994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 13.985,
"optimistic_value": 13.74,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 13.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:34:37.719548Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.05600308984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 14.26,
"optimistic_value": 14.26,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 13.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:22.320595Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.059398,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 45.051500000000004,
"optimistic_value": 44.81,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 44.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Turbine (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:52:56.963822Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.0461208,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 12.2125,
"optimistic_value": 11.81,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 11.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:07.719063Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.05241,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 10.1745,
"optimistic_value": 10.08,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 9.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:28:59.264270Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.05241,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 17.0245,
"optimistic_value": 16.93,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 16.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T15:51:38.983326Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f66397e7fe171450e5d8e146",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-5b2502fc6ca2",
"listing_id": "491598743580612422",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | 27",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5b2502fc6ca2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:13.081232Z"
},
{
"price": 0.81,
"skin_id": "skin-5b2502fc6ca2",
"listing_id": "498354089952105367",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | 27",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5b2502fc6ca2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:13.081232Z"
},
{
"price": 1.12,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "559150711031336592",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:31:59.944943Z"
},
{
"price": 1.65,
"skin_id": "skin-3604c7754aa6",
"listing_id": "756171314560601397",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Tango (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Tango",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3604c7754aa6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:23.308243Z"
},
{
"price": 1.75,
"skin_id": "skin-3604c7754aa6",
"listing_id": "725769855353084531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Tango (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Tango",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3604c7754aa6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:23.308243Z"
},
{
"price": 4.32,
"skin_id": "skin-63ed7bb762a0",
"listing_id": "499479937454784289",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Statics (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Statics",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-63ed7bb762a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:34:20.414763Z"
},
{
"price": 2.23,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "500605942755906911",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:34:45.232980Z"
},
{
"price": 2.35,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "518620341243286300",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:34:45.232980Z"
},
{
"price": 3,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "506235389469302484",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Factory New)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:35:19.627397Z"
},
{
"price": 4.49,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "498354142900748443",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Factory New)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:35:19.627397Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-34:6+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Turbine 12.0% $45.05 Breakthrough 20.0% $27.06 Rapid Transit 12.0% $17.02 Hydro Strike 12.0% $14.26 Trace Lock 20.0% $13.99 Saibā Oni 12.0% $12.21 | $45.05 +148.6% | $20.06 +10.7% | 32.0% | +56.5% | $18.12 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 20.0% $12.05 Turbine 12.0% $5.44 Rapid Transit 12.0% $5.23 Trace Lock 20.0% $5.03 Saibā Oni 12.0% $4.30 Hydro Strike 12.0% $3.68 | $12.05 +106.0% | $5.95 +1.7% | 20.0% | +50.3% | $5.85 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.05 Rapid Transit 2.0% $5.23 Trace Lock 45.0% $5.03 Saibā Oni 2.0% $4.30 Randy Rush 2.0% $2.47 Turbine 2.0% $1.88 | $12.05 +85.7% | $7.99 +23.1% | 45.0% | +55.8% | $6.49 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 35.0% $12.05 Rapid Transit 6.0% $5.23 Trace Lock 35.0% $5.03 Saibā Oni 6.0% $4.30 Randy Rush 6.0% $2.47 Turbine 6.0% $1.88 | $12.05 +114.8% | $6.88 +22.7% | 35.0% | +66.1% | $5.61 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.05 Rapid Transit 4.0% $5.23 Trace Lock 40.0% $5.01 Saibā Oni 4.0% $4.30 Randy Rush 4.0% $2.39 Turbine 4.0% $1.88 | $12.05 +95.3% | $7.42 +20.3% | 40.0% | +60.0% | $6.17 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 30.0% $12.05 Rapid Transit 8.0% $5.23 Trace Lock 30.0% $5.03 Saibā Oni 8.0% $4.30 Randy Rush 8.0% $2.47 Turbine 8.0% $1.88 | $12.05 +124.8% | $6.33 +18.1% | 30.0% | +68.6% | $5.36 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 25.0% $12.05 Rapid Transit 10.0% $5.23 Trace Lock 25.0% $5.03 Saibā Oni 10.0% $4.30 Randy Rush 10.0% $2.47 Turbine 10.0% $1.88 | $12.05 +134.0% | $5.78 +12.2% | 35.0% | +69.5% | $5.15 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×7+The Achroma Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Turbine 14.0% $45.05 Breakthrough 15.0% $27.06 Rapid Transit 14.0% $17.02 Hydro Strike 14.0% $14.26 Trace Lock 15.0% $13.99 Saibā Oni 14.0% $12.21 | $45.05 +146.9% | $19.98 +9.5% | 29.0% | +58.8% | $18.25 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×8+The Achroma Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Turbine 16.0% $45.05 Breakthrough 10.0% $27.06 Rapid Transit 16.0% $17.02 Hydro Strike 16.0% $14.26 Trace Lock 10.0% $13.99 Saibā Oni 16.0% $12.21 | $45.05 +142.5% | $19.90 +7.1% | 26.0% | +60.3% | $18.58 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×9+The Achroma Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Turbine 18.0% $45.05 Breakthrough 5.0% $27.06 Rapid Transit 18.0% $17.02 Hydro Strike 18.0% $14.26 Trace Lock 5.0% $13.99 Saibā Oni 18.0% $12.21 | $45.05 +128.3% | $19.82 +0.5% | 23.0% | +59.2% | $19.73 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New | The End  60.0% $159.10 The Outsiders  13.3% $136.14 Epicenter  13.3% $61.47 Neo-Noir  13.3% $59.72 | $159.10 +22.9% | $129.77 +0.3% | 73.3% | +32.8% | $129.43 | — |