The Boreal Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Tiger Tear
1x $0.06
Leafhopper
2x $0.07
Marsh
1x $0.08
Steel Work
2x $0.07
O-Ranger
1x $0.08
Grey Ghost
1x $0.10
↓
Possible Outputs
Wintergreen
8.0% $4.61
Tropical Breeze
8.0% $1.82
Coral Bloom
10.0% $1.36
Red Tide
10.0% $1.04
Arsenic Spill
10.0% $1.01
Blush Pour
10.0% $0.93
Max Win
$4.61 (+412.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.21 (+34.0%)
Win %
56.0%
Volatility
+119.5%
Cost
$0.90
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $0.90
Ask Price EV $1.21 (+34.0%)
Bid Price EV $1.06 (+18.1%)
Ask Profit $0.31 (+34.0%)
Bid Profit $0.16 (+18.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.14 (+15.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.31
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.16
Risk
Win Probability 56.0%
Loss Probability 44.0%
Best Case $4.61 (+412.2%)
Worst Case $0.37 (-58.4%)
Volatility +119.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 24.0%
Avg Win +$0.79
Avg Loss -$0.31
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.37 (-58.4%)
Std Dev $1.08
Avg Norm Float 0.1981
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 113h 15m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Steel Work
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | O-Ranger
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | Grey Ghost
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Basket Halftone
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Basket Halftone
—
Minimal Wear
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Steel Work
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 58M 36S //TOTAL COST $0.90 //ASK PRICE EV $1.21 //BID PRICE EV $1.06 //ASK PROFIT $0.31 (+34.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.16 (+18.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 56.0% //BEST CASE $4.61 //VOLATILITY +119.5% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
8.0%
$4.61
+$3.71
+412.2%
$3.81
+$2.91
+323.3%
$0.80
17.4%
—
BIG WIN
8.0%
$1.82
+$0.92
+102.3%
$1.70
+$0.80
+88.9%
$0.12
6.6%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$1.36
+$0.46
+50.6%
$1.15
+$0.25
+27.8%
$0.21
15.2%
—
WIN
10.0%
$1.04
+$0.14
+15.2%
$1.01
+$0.11
+12.2%
$0.03
2.6%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$1.01
+$0.10
+11.7%
$0.89
-$0.01
-1.1%
$0.11
11.4%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$0.93
+$0.03
+3.4%
$0.82
-$0.08
-8.9%
$0.11
11.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$0.79
-$0.11
-12.2%
$0.70
-$0.20
-22.2%
$0.09
11.4%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$0.79
-$0.11
-12.4%
$0.74
-$0.16
-17.8%
$0.05
6.1%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.47
-$0.43
-47.4%
$0.41
-$0.49
-54.4%
$0.06
13.4%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.41
-$0.49
-54.4%
$0.38
-$0.52
-57.8%
$0.03
7.4%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.37
-$0.53
-58.4%
$0.35
-$0.55
-61.1%
$0.02
6.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.09943345448999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-bc79778fcc59",
"realistic_value": 1.005,
"optimistic_value": 0.97,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Arsenic Spill",
"conservative_value": 0.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:27.049249Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bc79778fcc59.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14915008269,
"output_skin_id": "skin-79039995c554",
"realistic_value": 1.3555,
"optimistic_value": 1.31,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Coral Bloom",
"conservative_value": 1.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:19.058336Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79039995c554.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.099045,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"realistic_value": 0.7905,
"optimistic_value": 0.78,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"conservative_value": 0.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:28:14.906937Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.11885399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"realistic_value": 0.788,
"optimistic_value": 0.76,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"conservative_value": 0.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:54:02.937915Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1485675,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1244c7faf3ea",
"realistic_value": 1.037,
"optimistic_value": 1.03,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Red Tide",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Red Tide (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:19.661860Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1244c7faf3ea.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.13439039679,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"realistic_value": 0.9305,
"optimistic_value": 0.92,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"conservative_value": 0.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:09:14.999732Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.1485675,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 4.61,
"optimistic_value": 4.61,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 3.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:23.769730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.1347012,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 0.4735,
"optimistic_value": 0.47,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:21.094439Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.11885399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 0.41050000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:54.653511Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.1089495,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 1.821,
"optimistic_value": 1.73,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 1.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.839903Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.11885399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 0.374,
"optimistic_value": 0.36,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 0.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:19.582408Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f5632884e235d1030b9bb7bb",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "526501587737058101",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:27.003513Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "498354089952663223",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:06:08.706025Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "502856892559649080",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:07:18.914368Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "519746135814788696",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:06:08.706025Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-07d3aad223e4",
"listing_id": "630083017733692770",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Steel Work (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A4 | Steel Work",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-07d3aad223e4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:06:37.090021Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-41452c191f44",
"listing_id": "518619491401898812",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | O-Ranger",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41452c191f44.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:02:15.704460Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-1a08f20b0116",
"listing_id": "528753387757293309",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a08f20b0116.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:51:02.895006Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-cee47ac22903",
"listing_id": "503983537176103663",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cee47ac22903.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:38.805022Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-cee47ac22903",
"listing_id": "636838345232107636",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cee47ac22903.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:38.805022Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-07d3aad223e4",
"listing_id": "524249787960621051",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Steel Work",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-07d3aad223e4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:12:05.990520Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:4+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Boreal Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Wintergreen 8.0% $10.66 Coral Bloom 10.0% $4.96 Tropical Breeze 8.0% $3.67 Red Tide 10.0% $3.32 Arsenic Spill 10.0% $2.32 Blush Pour 10.0% $2.11 | $10.66 +321.3% | $3.14 +24.1% | 36.0% | +88.9% | $2.53 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Boreal Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 6.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 6.0% $1.82 Coral Bloom 11.7% $1.36 Red Tide 11.7% $1.04 Arsenic Spill 11.7% $1.01 Blush Pour 11.7% $0.89 | $4.61 +418.0% | $1.15 +29.0% | 47.0% | +98.2% | $0.89 | — |
The Boreal Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 4.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 4.0% $1.82 Coral Bloom 13.3% $1.36 Red Tide 13.3% $1.04 Arsenic Spill 13.3% $1.01 Blush Pour 13.3% $0.89 | $4.61 +429.9% | $1.09 +25.2% | 61.3% | +83.9% | $0.87 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Boreal Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Glitched Paint  23.3% $5.03 Mulberry  23.3% $4.72 Bleeding Edge  23.3% $2.22 Sheet Lightning  15.0% $2.03 Glockingbird  15.0% $1.62 | $5.03 +97.2% | $3.34 +31.0% | 46.7% | +56.9% | $2.55 | — |