The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Distressed
7x $0.26
Desert Strike
1x $0.27
Spirit Board
1x $0.15
Lifted Spirits
1x $0.17
↓
Possible Outputs
Fever Dream
16.0% $8.04
Night Terror
4.0% $4.12
Ticket to Hell
4.0% $3.94
Acid Etched
16.0% $1.98
Apocalypto
16.0% $1.66
Darkwing
16.0% $1.61
Max Win
$8.04 (+160.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.83 (-8.5%)
Win %
24.0%
Volatility
+76.9%
Cost
$3.09
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.09
Ask Price EV $2.83 (-8.5%)
Bid Price EV $2.52 (-18.4%)
Ask Profit $-0.26 (-8.5%)
Bid Profit $-0.57 (-18.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.31 (+9.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.26
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.57
Risk
Win Probability 24.0%
Loss Probability 76.0%
Best Case $8.04 (+160.1%)
Worst Case $0.90 (-70.8%)
Volatility +76.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 76.0%
Avg Win +$3.61
Avg Loss -$1.49
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.17 (-62.1%)
Std Dev $2.38
Avg Norm Float 0.1908
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 16m
Oldest Output Price 153h 24m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 34M 59S //TOTAL COST $3.09 //ASK PRICE EV $2.83 //BID PRICE EV $2.52 //ASK PROFIT $-0.26 (-8.5%) //BID PROFIT $-0.57 (-18.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 24.0% //BEST CASE $8.04 //VOLATILITY +76.9% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
16.0%
$8.04
+$4.95
+160.1%
$7.38
+$4.29
+138.8%
$0.66
8.2%
—
WIN
4.0%
$4.12
+$1.03
+33.5%
$3.46
+$0.37
+12.0%
$0.66
16.1%
—
WIN
4.0%
$3.94
+$0.85
+27.5%
$3.26
+$0.17
+5.5%
$0.68
17.3%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.98
-$1.11
-36.0%
$1.76
-$1.33
-43.0%
$0.22
11.0%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.66
-$1.43
-46.4%
$1.39
-$1.70
-55.0%
$0.27
16.1%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.61
-$1.48
-47.8%
$1.46
-$1.63
-52.8%
$0.15
9.4%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.53
-$1.56
-50.6%
$1.35
-$1.74
-56.3%
$0.18
11.6%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.31
-$1.78
-57.5%
$1.19
-$1.90
-61.5%
$0.12
9.4%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.17
-$1.92
-62.1%
$1.00
-$2.09
-67.6%
$0.17
14.6%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$0.90
-$2.19
-70.8%
$0.80
-$2.29
-74.1%
$0.10
11.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.19078,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 1.9769999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.97,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 1.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:26.613826Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.19078,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 1.528,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 1.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:39:17.955133Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.19078,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 1.6115,
"optimistic_value": 1.58,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:42:20.982016Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1373616,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 8.0375,
"optimistic_value": 7.53,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 7.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:39.583432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.19078,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 1.6575,
"optimistic_value": 1.64,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T13:01:11.935890Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.19078,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 0.9015,
"optimistic_value": 0.87,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 0.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:31:19.523046Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.133546,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 4.1240000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 3.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:15.418096Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.1278226,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.314,
"optimistic_value": 1.3,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:37:00.712880Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.1449928,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 3.94,
"optimistic_value": 3.94,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 3.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:45.994094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.09539,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.1709999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 1.15,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:12.113494Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ecfbbb6aaff580c6f92228c6",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "516368541588637910",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:19.569288Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "520872088107230916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:49.787997Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "493850438107893880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:19.569288Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "496101493276070891",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:19.569288Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "523123091047708294",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:19.569288Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "501730992868715561",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:19.569288Z"
},
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "518620122757916680",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:07.332163Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "490472625092404815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:07.332163Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-3da25779ee2d",
"listing_id": "528753440605638477",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3da25779ee2d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:16.863305Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-75edb16f0014",
"listing_id": "511864941882448797",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75edb16f0014.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:29.382210Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:8+collection-set-community-30:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 16.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 16.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 16.0% $4.36 Night Terror 4.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 4.0% $3.94 Darkwing 16.0% $3.82 | $8.04 +107.7% | $4.48 +15.8% | 56.0% | +39.1% | $3.87 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Fever Dream 16.0% $18.94 Acid Etched 16.0% $17.96 Darkwing 16.0% $13.75 Enforcer 16.0% $11.37 Apocalypto 16.0% $11.36 Ticket to Hell 4.0% $10.13 | $18.94 +54.7% | $12.92 +5.6% | 48.0% | +27.1% | $12.24 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 12.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 12.0% $4.36 Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $3.94 Darkwing 12.0% $3.79 | $8.04 +141.4% | $3.96 +18.9% | 64.0% | +45.8% | $3.33 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 10.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 10.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 10.0% $4.36 Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $3.94 Darkwing 10.0% $3.79 | $8.04 +156.0% | $3.70 +17.8% | 70.0% | +48.2% | $3.14 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 8.0% $18.94 Night Terror 12.0% $8.12 Acid Etched 8.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 8.0% $4.36 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $3.94 Darkwing 8.0% $3.79 | $18.94 +329.4% | $5.14 +16.6% | 28.0% | +92.6% | $4.41 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 4.0% $18.94 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $10.13 Night Terror 16.0% $8.14 Acid Etched 4.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 4.0% $4.36 Darkwing 4.0% $3.79 | $18.94 +295.3% | $5.46 +13.9% | 40.0% | +72.5% | $4.79 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 6.0% $18.94 Ticket to Hell 14.0% $10.13 Night Terror 14.0% $8.12 Acid Etched 6.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 6.0% $4.36 Darkwing 6.0% $3.79 | $18.94 +278.0% | $5.67 +13.2% | 40.0% | +76.0% | $5.01 | — |