The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Distressed
4x $0.51
Tom Cat
3x $1.10
Bone Forged
1x $1.67
Foresight
2x $0.78
↓
Possible Outputs
Fever Dream
16.0% $18.94
Acid Etched
16.0% $17.96
Darkwing
16.0% $13.75
Enforcer
16.0% $11.37
Apocalypto
16.0% $11.36
Ticket to Hell
4.0% $10.13
Max Win
$18.94 (+54.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$12.92 (+5.6%)
Win %
48.0%
Volatility
+38.5%
Cost
$12.24
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $12.24
Ask Price EV $12.92 (+5.6%)
Bid Price EV $10.40 (-15.0%)
Ask Profit $0.68 (+5.6%)
Bid Profit $-1.84 (-15.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.52 (+20.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.68
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.84
Risk
Win Probability 48.0%
Loss Probability 52.0%
Best Case $18.94 (+54.7%)
Worst Case $2.45 (-80.0%)
Volatility +38.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 16.0%
Avg Win +$4.64
Avg Loss -$2.97
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.99 (-75.6%)
Std Dev $4.72
Avg Norm Float 0.0698
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 153h 38m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.55 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$1.10 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged
—
Factory New
$1.67 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Factory New
$2.44 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Factory New
$3.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Factory New
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Factory New
$0.81 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 34M 41S //TOTAL COST $12.24 //ASK PRICE EV $12.92 //BID PRICE EV $10.40 //ASK PROFIT $0.68 (+5.6%) //BID PROFIT $-1.84 (-15.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 48.0% //BEST CASE $18.94 //VOLATILITY +38.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
16.0%
$18.94
+$6.70
+54.7%
$15.04
+$2.80
+22.9%
$3.90
20.6%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$17.96
+$5.72
+46.7%
$14.21
+$1.97
+16.1%
$3.75
20.9%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$13.75
+$1.51
+12.3%
$11.40
-$0.84
-6.9%
$2.35
17.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$11.37
-$0.87
-7.1%
$8.97
-$3.27
-26.7%
$2.40
21.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$11.36
-$0.88
-7.2%
$8.88
-$3.36
-27.5%
$2.48
21.8%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$10.13
-$2.12
-17.3%
$8.42
-$3.82
-31.2%
$1.71
16.8%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$8.14
-$4.10
-33.5%
$7.88
-$4.36
-35.6%
$0.26
3.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$5.94
-$6.30
-51.5%
$5.08
-$7.16
-58.5%
$0.86
14.5%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$2.99
-$9.26
-75.6%
$2.62
-$9.62
-78.6%
$0.36
12.2%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$2.45
-$9.79
-80.0%
$2.11
-$10.13
-82.8%
$0.34
13.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 17.957,
"optimistic_value": 17.04,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 14.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:44.737410Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 11.373,
"optimistic_value": 11.17,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 8.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:21:20.051836Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 13.746,
"optimistic_value": 13.34,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 11.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T12:00:17.131456Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.0502848,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 18.937,
"optimistic_value": 18.44,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 15.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:39.589633Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 11.3575,
"optimistic_value": 10.5,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 8.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:17:58.762876Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 5.939,
"optimistic_value": 5.89,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 5.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:39:44.544996Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.048887999999999994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 8.1365,
"optimistic_value": 8,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 7.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:47.293122Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.0467928,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 2.985,
"optimistic_value": 2.95,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T20:23:52.712289Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.0530784,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 10.125,
"optimistic_value": 10.09,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 8.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:05:44.991761Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.03492,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 2.45,
"optimistic_value": 2.45,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 2.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:31:07.939313Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ecfbbb6aaff580c6f92228c6",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "518620122757916680",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:07.332163Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "490472625092404815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:07.332163Z"
},
{
"price": 0.55,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "507360492284530429",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:07.332163Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "510738192173824270",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:07.332163Z"
},
{
"price": 1.1,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "648097416170940020",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:33:59.493426Z"
},
{
"price": 1.67,
"skin_id": "skin-3c54e05cbb62",
"listing_id": "499480042828445113",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c54e05cbb62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:17.900129Z"
},
{
"price": 2.44,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "510738192176872066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Factory New)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:18.312638Z"
},
{
"price": 3.23,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "515241791644858189",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Factory New)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:18.312638Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "510739041953563954",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:26:02.170705Z"
},
{
"price": 0.81,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "503983642532457235",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:26:02.170705Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:8+collection-set-community-30:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 16.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 16.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 16.0% $4.36 Night Terror 4.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 4.0% $3.94 Darkwing 16.0% $3.82 | $8.04 +107.7% | $4.48 +15.8% | 56.0% | +39.1% | $3.87 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 12.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 12.0% $4.36 Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $3.94 Darkwing 12.0% $3.79 | $8.04 +141.4% | $3.96 +18.9% | 64.0% | +45.8% | $3.33 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 10.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 10.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 10.0% $4.36 Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $3.94 Darkwing 10.0% $3.79 | $8.04 +156.0% | $3.70 +17.8% | 70.0% | +48.2% | $3.14 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 8.0% $18.94 Night Terror 12.0% $8.12 Acid Etched 8.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 8.0% $4.36 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $3.94 Darkwing 8.0% $3.79 | $18.94 +329.4% | $5.14 +16.6% | 28.0% | +92.6% | $4.41 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 4.0% $18.94 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $10.13 Night Terror 16.0% $8.14 Acid Etched 4.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 4.0% $4.36 Darkwing 4.0% $3.79 | $18.94 +295.3% | $5.46 +13.9% | 40.0% | +72.5% | $4.79 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 6.0% $18.94 Ticket to Hell 14.0% $10.13 Night Terror 14.0% $8.12 Acid Etched 6.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 6.0% $4.36 Darkwing 6.0% $3.79 | $18.94 +278.0% | $5.67 +13.2% | 40.0% | +76.0% | $5.01 | — |