The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Scrawl
2x $0.21
Poultrygeist
1x $0.29
Foresight
2x $0.30
Ensnared
1x $0.32
Hypnosis
3x $0.43
Trail Blazer
1x $0.82
↓
Possible Outputs
Rapid Transit
8.0% $14.22
Turbine
8.0% $12.89
Saibā Oni
8.0% $8.54
Hydro Strike
8.0% $6.39
Randy Rush
8.0% $4.44
Night Terror
12.0% $4.12
Max Win
$14.22 (+261.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.09 (+29.1%)
Win %
52.0%
Volatility
+109.5%
Cost
$3.94
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.94
Ask Price EV $5.09 (+29.1%)
Bid Price EV $4.45 (+12.9%)
Ask Profit $1.15 (+29.1%)
Bid Profit $0.51 (+12.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.64 (+16.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.15
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.51
Risk
Win Probability 52.0%
Loss Probability 48.0%
Best Case $14.22 (+261.0%)
Worst Case $0.92 (-76.6%)
Volatility +109.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 36.0%
Avg Win +$4.16
Avg Loss -$2.82
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.92 (-76.6%)
Std Dev $4.32
Avg Norm Float 0.1757
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 15m
Oldest Output Price 142h 19m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.54 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer
—
Minimal Wear
$0.82 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 40M 53S //TOTAL COST $3.94 //ASK PRICE EV $5.09 //BID PRICE EV $4.45 //ASK PROFIT $1.15 (+29.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.51 (+12.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.0% //BEST CASE $14.22 //VOLATILITY +109.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
8.0%
$14.22
+$10.28
+261.0%
$12.20
+$8.26
+209.6%
$2.02
14.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$12.89
+$8.95
+227.2%
$11.24
+$7.30
+185.3%
$1.65
12.8%
—
BIG WIN
8.0%
$8.54
+$4.60
+116.7%
$7.91
+$3.97
+100.8%
$0.63
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
8.0%
$6.39
+$2.45
+62.1%
$5.78
+$1.84
+46.7%
$0.60
9.5%
—
PAPER WIN
8.0%
$4.44
+$0.49
+12.6%
$3.65
-$0.29
-7.4%
$0.78
17.7%
—
PAPER WIN
12.0%
$4.12
+$0.18
+4.7%
$3.46
-$0.48
-12.2%
$0.66
16.1%
—
PAPER WIN
12.0%
$3.94
+$0.00
+0.0%
$3.26
-$0.68
-17.3%
$0.68
17.3%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.22
-$2.72
-69.0%
$1.19
-$2.75
-69.8%
$0.03
2.5%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.21
-$2.73
-69.3%
$1.17
-$2.77
-70.3%
$0.04
3.3%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.92
-$3.02
-76.6%
$0.81
-$3.13
-79.4%
$0.11
12.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.17566,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 0.9235,
"optimistic_value": 0.92,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 0.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:37.414137Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.122962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 4.1240000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 3.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:15.418096Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.11769220000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.221,
"optimistic_value": 1.2,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:01.043093Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1335016,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 3.94,
"optimistic_value": 3.94,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 3.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:45.994094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.08783,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.21,
"optimistic_value": 1.21,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 1.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:05:46.927058Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14077708588,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 6.385,
"optimistic_value": 6.14,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 5.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:00.005902Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.149311,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 12.8915,
"optimistic_value": 12.65,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 11.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.603657Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.11593560000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 8.539000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 8.21,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 7.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:51.999651Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.131745,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 4.435,
"optimistic_value": 3.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:20:53.966089Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.131745,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 14.224,
"optimistic_value": 14,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 12.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.297824Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_e51bab3e1e9b579f59ef00a3",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "514116688948507758",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:30.318194Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "507361289451954337",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:30.318194Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-2c6b935bb4eb",
"listing_id": "509612292204674439",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c6b935bb4eb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:23.530618Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292238590183",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:01.867290Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292231168711",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:01.867290Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "514116523130036466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:09:01.973760Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "499479989895678073",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:10:40.796814Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "510738989039869354",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:10:40.796814Z"
},
{
"price": 0.54,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "506234592361574640",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:10:40.796814Z"
},
{
"price": 0.82,
"skin_id": "skin-03f6e200c8b6",
"listing_id": "511864888983896805",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-03f6e200c8b6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:10:35.069455Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-30:6+collection-set-community-34:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $36.14 Turbine 8.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 8.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 8.0% $16.76 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $10.13 Randy Rush 8.0% $9.47 | $36.14 +236.8% | $12.36 +15.2% | 32.0% | +91.4% | $10.73 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Gallery Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 10.0% $14.22 Turbine 10.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 10.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 10.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 10.0% $4.44 Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +217.5% | $5.79 +29.2% | 40.0% | +81.7% | $4.48 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $14.22 Turbine 6.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 6.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 6.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 6.0% $4.44 Night Terror 14.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +311.1% | $4.39 +26.8% | 58.0% | +97.7% | $3.46 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 4.0% $4.44 Night Terror 16.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +378.9% | $3.69 +24.1% | 52.0% | +101.7% | $2.97 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Gallery Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 12.0% $14.22 Turbine 12.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 12.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 12.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 12.0% $4.44 Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +167.9% | $6.49 +22.2% | 48.0% | +69.3% | $5.31 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Gallery Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 14.0% $36.14 Turbine 14.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 14.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 14.0% $16.76 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $10.13 Randy Rush 14.0% $9.47 | $36.14 +132.0% | $17.88 +14.8% | 56.0% | +66.3% | $15.58 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×9+The Gallery Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 2.0% $14.22 Turbine 2.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 2.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 2.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 2.0% $4.44 Night Terror 18.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +442.9% | $2.98 +13.9% | 46.0% | +90.4% | $2.62 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Vaporwave  20.0% $288.29 Starlight Protector  30.0% $95.25 Nightwish  30.0% $92.29 Gold Toof  20.0% $69.84 | $288.29 +182.2% | $127.89 +25.2% | 20.0% | +79.0% | $102.17 | — |