The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Ensnared
1x $0.32
Scrawl
1x $0.41
Necro Jr.
2x $0.52
Lifted Spirits
2x $1.43
Statics
1x $1.62
27
3x $1.68
↓
Possible Outputs
Rapid Transit
8.0% $36.14
Turbine
8.0% $36.07
Saibā Oni
8.0% $18.57
Hydro Strike
8.0% $16.76
Ticket to Hell
12.0% $10.13
Randy Rush
8.0% $9.47
Max Win
$36.14 (+166.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$12.92 (-4.8%)
Win %
32.0%
Volatility
+82.4%
Cost
$13.57
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $13.57
Ask Price EV $12.92 (-4.8%)
Bid Price EV $10.97 (-19.2%)
Ask Profit $-0.65 (-4.8%)
Bid Profit $-2.60 (-19.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.95 (+14.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.65
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.60
Risk
Win Probability 32.0%
Loss Probability 68.0%
Best Case $36.14 (+166.3%)
Worst Case $2.45 (-81.9%)
Volatility +82.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 68.0%
Avg Win +$13.32
Avg Loss -$7.22
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.45 (-81.9%)
Std Dev $11.19
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 143h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Minimal Wear
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
—
Factory New
$1.43 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
—
Factory New
$1.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
—
Factory New
$2.16 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Statics
—
Minimal Wear
$1.62 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | 27
—
Minimal Wear
$1.68 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | 27
—
Minimal Wear
$1.80 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | 27
—
Minimal Wear
$1.91 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 32M 55S //TOTAL COST $13.57 //ASK PRICE EV $12.92 //BID PRICE EV $10.97 //ASK PROFIT $-0.65 (-4.8%) //BID PROFIT $-2.60 (-19.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 32.0% //BEST CASE $36.14 //VOLATILITY +82.4% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID
8.0%
$36.14
+$22.57
+166.3%
$27.00
+$13.43
+99.0%
$9.14
25.3%
—
BIG WIN
8.0%
$36.07
+$22.50
+165.8%
$32.04
+$18.47
+136.1%
$4.03
11.2%
—
WIN
8.0%
$18.57
+$5.00
+36.9%
$15.73
+$2.16
+15.9%
$2.84
15.3%
—
WIN
8.0%
$16.76
+$3.19
+23.5%
$14.28
+$0.71
+5.2%
$2.48
14.8%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$10.13
-$3.45
-25.4%
$8.42
-$5.15
-38.0%
$1.71
16.8%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$9.47
-$4.10
-30.2%
$8.92
-$4.65
-34.3%
$0.55
5.8%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$8.17
-$5.40
-39.8%
$7.88
-$5.69
-41.9%
$0.29
3.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$5.94
-$7.63
-56.2%
$5.08
-$8.49
-62.6%
$0.86
14.5%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$2.99
-$10.59
-78.0%
$2.62
-$10.95
-80.7%
$0.36
12.2%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$2.45
-$11.12
-81.9%
$2.11
-$11.46
-84.5%
$0.34
13.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 5.939,
"optimistic_value": 5.89,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 5.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:21.774990Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.048992999999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 8.171,
"optimistic_value": 8.01,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 7.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:04.842408Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.0468933,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 2.985,
"optimistic_value": 2.95,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T20:23:52.712289Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.0531924,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 10.125,
"optimistic_value": 10.09,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 8.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:05:44.991761Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.034995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 2.45,
"optimistic_value": 2.45,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 2.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:11.374537Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.056091245819999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 16.759,
"optimistic_value": 16.29,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 14.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.350675Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.059491499999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 36.0705,
"optimistic_value": 35.57,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 32.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T08:34:09.254161Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.0461934,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 18.573,
"optimistic_value": 18.09,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 15.73,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:48.491520Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.0524925,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 9.472999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 9.2,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 8.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:25.713128Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.0524925,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 36.1385,
"optimistic_value": 35.61,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 27,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.036973Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_e51bab3e1e9b579f59ef00a3",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "514116523130036466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:56:22.961979Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "507361289452933933",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:10:40.760546Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-0571189c0ca3",
"listing_id": "501730992860193137",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr.",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0571189c0ca3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:14.232391Z"
},
{
"price": 1.43,
"skin_id": "skin-75edb16f0014",
"listing_id": "506235337024831560",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75edb16f0014.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:13:37.414569Z"
},
{
"price": 1.72,
"skin_id": "skin-75edb16f0014",
"listing_id": "506235389469297444",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75edb16f0014.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:13:37.414569Z"
},
{
"price": 2.16,
"skin_id": "skin-0571189c0ca3",
"listing_id": "519746022670275764",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr.",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0571189c0ca3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:07:24.633374Z"
},
{
"price": 1.62,
"skin_id": "skin-63ed7bb762a0",
"listing_id": "775323495749622894",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Statics",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-63ed7bb762a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:31.243080Z"
},
{
"price": 1.68,
"skin_id": "skin-5b2502fc6ca2",
"listing_id": "521997988015903758",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | 27",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5b2502fc6ca2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:01.209361Z"
},
{
"price": 1.8,
"skin_id": "skin-5b2502fc6ca2",
"listing_id": "510738823411591174",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | 27",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5b2502fc6ca2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:01.209361Z"
},
{
"price": 1.91,
"skin_id": "skin-5b2502fc6ca2",
"listing_id": "518619491422681144",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | 27",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5b2502fc6ca2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:01.209361Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-30:6+collection-set-community-34:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $14.22 Turbine 8.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 8.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 8.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 8.0% $4.44 Night Terror 12.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +256.5% | $5.09 +27.6% | 52.0% | +89.6% | $3.99 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $36.14 Turbine 8.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 8.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 8.0% $16.76 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $10.13 Randy Rush 8.0% $9.47 | $36.14 +222.7% | $12.38 +10.6% | 32.0% | +87.4% | $11.20 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $14.22 Turbine 6.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 6.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 6.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 6.0% $4.44 Night Terror 14.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +309.9% | $4.39 +26.5% | 58.0% | +97.4% | $3.47 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 4.0% $4.44 Night Terror 16.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +378.9% | $3.70 +24.5% | 52.0% | +101.5% | $2.97 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Gallery Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 10.0% $14.22 Turbine 10.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 10.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 10.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 10.0% $4.44 Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +204.6% | $5.79 +24.0% | 40.0% | +78.4% | $4.67 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Gallery Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 12.0% $14.22 Turbine 12.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 12.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 12.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 12.0% $4.44 Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +167.9% | $6.49 +22.2% | 48.0% | +69.3% | $5.31 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×9+The Gallery Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 2.0% $14.22 Saibā Oni 2.0% $8.54 Turbine 2.0% $5.05 Randy Rush 2.0% $4.44 Night Terror 18.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 18.0% $3.94 | $14.22 +510.5% | $2.76 +18.5% | 46.0% | +86.3% | $2.33 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Gallery Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 14.0% $36.14 Turbine 14.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 14.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 14.0% $16.76 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $10.13 Randy Rush 14.0% $9.47 | $36.14 +136.4% | $17.89 +17.0% | 56.0% | +67.5% | $15.29 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Vaporwave  20.0% $288.29 Starlight Protector  30.0% $95.25 Nightwish  30.0% $92.29 Gold Toof  20.0% $69.84 | $288.29 +181.6% | $127.89 +24.9% | 20.0% | +78.9% | $102.37 | — |