The 2018 Nuke Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Cold Fusion
1x $0.25
Robin's Egg
2x $0.14
Rose Nacre
2x $0.17
Electric Blue
3x $0.20
Gum Wall Camo
1x $0.36
Turquoise Pour
1x $0.38
↓
Possible Outputs
Yeti Camo
18.0% $4.46
Mint Fan
18.0% $3.36
Cobalt Paisley
18.0% $2.65
Royal Baroque
18.0% $2.64
Exchanger
2.5% $2.44
Acheron
2.5% $2.41
Max Win
$4.46 (+73.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.99 (+16.2%)
Win %
72.0%
Volatility
+30.5%
Cost
$2.57
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.57
Ask Price EV $2.99 (+16.2%)
Bid Price EV $2.92 (+13.7%)
Ask Profit $0.42 (+16.2%)
Bid Profit $0.35 (+13.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.06 (+2.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.42
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.35
Risk
Win Probability 72.0%
Loss Probability 28.0%
Best Case $4.46 (+73.6%)
Worst Case $2.20 (-14.5%)
Volatility +30.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 0.00%
Avg Win +$0.71
Avg Loss -$0.33
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.20 (-14.4%)
Std Dev $0.78
Avg Norm Float 0.0997
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 3h 29m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
—
Factory New
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Turquoise Pour
—
Factory New
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Factory New
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 39M 59S //TOTAL COST $2.57 //ASK PRICE EV $2.99 //BID PRICE EV $2.92 //ASK PROFIT $0.42 (+16.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.35 (+13.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 72.0% //BEST CASE $4.46 //VOLATILITY +30.5% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$4.46
+$1.89
+73.6%
$4.43
+$1.86
+72.4%
$0.03
0.7%
—
WIN
18.0%
$3.36
+$0.79
+30.6%
$3.34
+$0.77
+30.0%
$0.02
0.5%
—
SMALL WIN
18.0%
$2.65
+$0.08
+3.1%
$2.64
+$0.07
+2.7%
$0.01
0.4%
—
SMALL WIN
18.0%
$2.64
+$0.07
+2.7%
$2.62
+$0.05
+1.9%
$0.02
0.8%
—
LOSS
2.5%
$2.44
-$0.13
-5.0%
$2.37
-$0.20
-7.8%
$0.07
2.9%
—
LOSS
2.5%
$2.41
-$0.16
-6.3%
$2.18
-$0.39
-15.2%
$0.23
9.5%
—
LOSS
2.5%
$2.23
-$0.34
-13.3%
$2.16
-$0.41
-16.0%
$0.07
3.0%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$2.20
-$0.37
-14.4%
$1.99
-$0.58
-22.6%
$0.21
9.5%
—
LOSS
2.5%
$2.20
-$0.37
-14.5%
$2.04
-$0.53
-20.6%
$0.16
7.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.05982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"realistic_value": 3.357,
"optimistic_value": 3.35,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"conservative_value": 3.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:46:13.777256Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.06978999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"realistic_value": 4.461,
"optimistic_value": 4.44,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"conservative_value": 4.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:42:10.424256Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.064805,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"realistic_value": 2.65,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"conservative_value": 2.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:08:19.246119Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.05982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"realistic_value": 2.64,
"optimistic_value": 2.64,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:44:56.785405Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.05982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"realistic_value": 2.2,
"optimistic_value": 2.2,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"conservative_value": 1.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:08:19.012953Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.08275099999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e9b9cd050d5",
"realistic_value": 2.4084999999999996,
"optimistic_value": 2.3,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Acheron",
"conservative_value": 2.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:06:06.424336Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e9b9cd050d5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.04985,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"realistic_value": 2.197,
"optimistic_value": 2.19,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"conservative_value": 2.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:54:19.758726Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.04985,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"realistic_value": 2.4415,
"optimistic_value": 2.41,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"conservative_value": 2.37,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:26.121273Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.04985,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
"realistic_value": 2.2270000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 2.22,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
"conservative_value": 2.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:51:57.851374Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ddb66aeb33f0833cd46381f8",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "500605889840729975",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:05:39.726772Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"listing_id": "502857637417906948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:58:01.215662Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"listing_id": "525375635593436155",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:58:01.215662Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "516368488724892626",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:57:54.256594Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "499479989895797449",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:54:31.831693Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "654852743754232591",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:54:31.831693Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "794463791558467223",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:54:31.831693Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"listing_id": "505109437007351828",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:08:52.601892Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-d219c8f3fe3b",
"listing_id": "508487136897429290",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d219c8f3fe3b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:36.003942Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "494976390476374350",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Factory New)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:02:53.459242Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-nuke-2:1+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Exchanger 15.0% $2.44 Acheron 15.0% $2.41 Facility Negative 15.0% $2.23 Co-Processor 15.0% $2.20 Yeti Camo 8.0% $1.75 Reef Grief 8.0% $1.13 | $2.44 +67.2% | $1.88 +29.0% | 68.0% | +28.0% | $1.46 | — |
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Acheron 12.5% $2.57 Exchanger 12.5% $2.44 Co-Processor 12.5% $2.25 Facility Negative 12.5% $2.23 Yeti Camo 10.0% $1.75 Reef Grief 10.0% $1.13 | $2.57 +82.3% | $1.80 +27.7% | 60.0% | +33.2% | $1.41 | — |
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Exchanger 10.0% $2.44 Acheron 10.0% $2.41 Facility Negative 10.0% $2.23 Co-Processor 10.0% $2.20 Yeti Camo 12.0% $1.75 Reef Grief 12.0% $1.13 | $2.44 +76.9% | $1.66 +20.6% | 52.0% | +33.3% | $1.38 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Midnight Laminate  30.0% $6.94 Nuclear Garden  13.3% $3.59 Royal Guard  30.0% $1.47 Core Breach  13.3% $1.31 Random Access  13.3% $1.26 | $6.94 +166.0% | $3.35 +28.2% | 43.3% | +94.5% | $2.61 | — |
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×8+The Ascent Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Control Panel  40.0% $418.56 Stratosphere  20.0% $131.31 Remote Control  40.0% $94.77 | $418.56 +95.6% | $231.59 +8.2% | 40.0% | +71.6% | $214.01 | — |