The Achroma Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Dark Chamber
2x $0.09
Aeolian Dark
3x $0.11
Robin's Egg
2x $0.14
Naval Shred Camo
1x $0.17
Rose Nacre
1x $0.17
Electric Blue
1x $0.20
↓
Possible Outputs
Mint Fan
10.0% $3.37
Royal Baroque
10.0% $2.64
The Daily Deagle
12.5% $2.32
Reef Grief
10.0% $2.26
Yeti Camo
10.0% $1.90
Cobalt Paisley
10.0% $1.14
Max Win
$3.37 (+141.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.74 (+23.9%)
Win %
52.5%
Volatility
+62.4%
Cost
$1.40
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.40
Ask Price EV $1.74 (+23.9%)
Bid Price EV $1.62 (+15.5%)
Ask Profit $0.34 (+23.9%)
Bid Profit $0.22 (+15.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.12 (+8.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.34
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.22
Risk
Win Probability 52.5%
Loss Probability 47.5%
Best Case $3.37 (+141.0%)
Worst Case $0.76 (-45.6%)
Volatility +62.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 37.5%
Avg Win +$1.09
Avg Loss -$0.50
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.76 (-45.6%)
Std Dev $0.87
Avg Norm Float 0.1165
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 1h 18m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Minimal Wear
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 12M 21S //TOTAL COST $1.40 //ASK PRICE EV $1.74 //BID PRICE EV $1.62 //ASK PROFIT $0.34 (+23.9%) //BID PROFIT $0.22 (+15.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.5% //BEST CASE $3.37 //VOLATILITY +62.4% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$3.37
+$1.97
+141.0%
$3.33
+$1.93
+137.9%
$0.04
1.3%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$2.64
+$1.24
+88.6%
$2.62
+$1.22
+87.1%
$0.02
0.8%
—
BIG WIN
12.5%
$2.32
+$0.92
+66.0%
$2.26
+$0.86
+61.4%
$0.06
2.8%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$2.26
+$0.86
+61.2%
$1.99
+$0.59
+42.1%
$0.27
11.8%
—
WIN
10.0%
$1.90
+$0.50
+35.7%
$1.62
+$0.22
+15.7%
$0.28
14.7%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.14
-$0.26
-18.5%
$1.04
-$0.36
-25.7%
$0.10
8.9%
—
LOSS
12.5%
$0.94
-$0.46
-32.9%
$0.83
-$0.57
-40.7%
$0.11
11.7%
—
NUKE
12.5%
$0.81
-$0.59
-42.4%
$0.71
-$0.69
-49.3%
$0.10
12.0%
—
NUKE
12.5%
$0.76
-$0.64
-45.6%
$0.66
-$0.74
-52.9%
$0.10
13.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.093224,
"output_skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"realistic_value": 0.94,
"optimistic_value": 0.94,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Creep",
"conservative_value": 0.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:33:40.849988Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.06758739999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"realistic_value": 2.324,
"optimistic_value": 2.31,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"conservative_value": 2.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:56:32.600213Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.08739749999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"realistic_value": 0.807,
"optimistic_value": 0.8,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"conservative_value": 0.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:06:53.383584Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.07574449999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"realistic_value": 0.761,
"optimistic_value": 0.74,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:14:17.321797Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.069918,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"realistic_value": 3.3735,
"optimistic_value": 3.37,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"conservative_value": 3.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:17:12.846419Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.08157099999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"realistic_value": 1.9,
"optimistic_value": 1.9,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:55:31.481063Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.07574449999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"realistic_value": 1.141,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:02:53.037696Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.069918,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"realistic_value": 2.64,
"optimistic_value": 2.64,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:16:52.144045Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.069918,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"realistic_value": 2.257,
"optimistic_value": 2.25,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"conservative_value": 1.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:16:31.395752Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_dd8c28364a683d94b9886649",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "518620288314527860",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:12.176568Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "512990789045321231",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:12.176568Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-9449a702cb3c",
"listing_id": "524249787962194179",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9449a702cb3c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:56.201762Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-9449a702cb3c",
"listing_id": "517493591332850710",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9449a702cb3c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:56.201762Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-9449a702cb3c",
"listing_id": "526501535292675197",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9449a702cb3c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:56.201762Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"listing_id": "502857637417906948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:20:27.068208Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"listing_id": "507361237008872437",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:20:27.068208Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "491597893797568694",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:59:21.470032Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "516368488724892626",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:59:24.267967Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "490472790737224023",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:16.228466Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:5+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Achroma Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 16.0% $3.37 Royal Baroque 16.0% $2.64 The Daily Deagle 5.0% $2.33 Reef Grief 16.0% $2.26 Yeti Camo 16.0% $1.79 Cobalt Paisley 16.0% $1.14 | $3.37 +114.9% | $2.03 +29.4% | 69.0% | +44.9% | $1.57 | — |
The Achroma Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 12.0% $3.37 Royal Baroque 12.0% $2.64 The Daily Deagle 10.0% $2.33 Reef Grief 12.0% $2.26 Yeti Camo 12.0% $1.89 Cobalt Paisley 12.0% $1.14 | $3.37 +135.9% | $1.84 +28.4% | 58.0% | +47.7% | $1.43 | — |
The Achroma Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Yeti Camo 8.0% $1.90 Cobalt Paisley 8.0% $1.14 Royal Baroque 8.0% $1.10 The Daily Deagle 15.0% $1.04 Mint Fan 8.0% $1.03 Reef Grief 8.0% $0.98 | $1.90 +120.9% | $1.02 +19.1% | 70.0% | +29.2% | $0.86 | — |
The Achroma Collection ×7+The Ascent Collection ×3 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Yeti Camo 6.0% $1.90 Cobalt Paisley 6.0% $1.14 Royal Baroque 6.0% $1.10 The Daily Deagle 17.5% $1.10 Mint Fan 6.0% $1.03 Reef Grief 6.0% $0.98 | $1.90 +118.4% | $1.00 +15.0% | 65.0% | +26.2% | $0.87 | — |