The Safehouse Collection ×6+The Harlequin Collection ×4
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Orange Peel
2x $0.06
Gator Mesh
1x $0.07
Condemned
1x $0.09
Forest Leaves
2x $0.10
XoooM
1x $0.08
Coral Paisley
1x $0.08
↓
Possible Outputs
Fraise Crane
10.0% $2.60
Sky Mandala
10.0% $1.77
Acid Fade
20.0% $1.36
Earth Mandala
10.0% $1.21
Warm Blooded
10.0% $1.06
Teardown
20.0% $0.49
Max Win
$2.60 (+206.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.10 (+28.9%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+82.1%
Cost
$0.85
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $0.85
Ask Price EV $1.10 (+28.9%)
Bid Price EV $1.00 (+17.1%)
Ask Profit $0.25 (+28.9%)
Bid Profit $0.15 (+17.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.10 (+11.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.25
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.15
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $2.60 (+206.3%)
Worst Case $0.30 (-64.3%)
Volatility +82.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$0.71
Avg Loss -$0.45
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.30 (-64.3%)
Std Dev $0.70
Avg Norm Float 0.2113
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 10h 51m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP9 | Orange Peel
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Gator Mesh
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Orange Peel
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Condemned
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | XoooM
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Calligrafaux
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Calligrafaux
—
Field-Tested
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 08M 05S //TOTAL COST $0.85 //ASK PRICE EV $1.10 //BID PRICE EV $1.00 //ASK PROFIT $0.25 (+28.9%) //BID PROFIT $0.15 (+17.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $2.60 //VOLATILITY +82.1% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$2.60
+$1.75
+206.3%
$2.37
+$1.52
+178.8%
$0.23
9.0%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$1.77
+$0.92
+108.1%
$1.56
+$0.71
+83.5%
$0.21
11.8%
—
BIG WIN
20.0%
$1.36
+$0.51
+60.1%
$1.31
+$0.46
+54.1%
$0.05
3.7%
—
WIN
10.0%
$1.21
+$0.36
+42.9%
$1.01
+$0.16
+18.8%
$0.20
16.8%
—
WIN
10.0%
$1.06
+$0.21
+24.8%
$1.01
+$0.16
+18.8%
$0.05
4.8%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$0.49
-$0.36
-42.4%
$0.41
-$0.44
-51.8%
$0.08
16.3%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$0.30
-$0.55
-64.3%
$0.28
-$0.57
-67.1%
$0.02
7.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-safehouse|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.126774,
"output_skin_id": "skin-466d0513f5e8",
"realistic_value": 0.49,
"optimistic_value": 0.49,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Teardown",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:02:34.220385Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-466d0513f5e8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.08451600000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45614ab4f605",
"realistic_value": 0.3035,
"optimistic_value": 0.3,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz",
"conservative_value": 0.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:00:11.172408Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45614ab4f605.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.0063387,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d85f69ac3c8",
"realistic_value": 1.361,
"optimistic_value": 1.34,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Acid Fade",
"conservative_value": 1.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:14:06.086264Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d85f69ac3c8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1373385,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"realistic_value": 2.6035,
"optimistic_value": 2.6,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"conservative_value": 2.37,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T16:29:25.041413Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.147903,
"output_skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"realistic_value": 1.7685,
"optimistic_value": 1.73,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"conservative_value": 1.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:49.130885Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.147903,
"output_skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"realistic_value": 1.0605,
"optimistic_value": 1.05,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:11.322143Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1394514,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"realistic_value": 1.2145,
"optimistic_value": 1.19,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:37.308300Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c7e5c59dd83044c68fa49590",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-2ed9e1f9de26",
"listing_id": "498354089953161211",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Orange Peel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Orange Peel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2ed9e1f9de26.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:58:24.710216Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-3b11b1a4314b",
"listing_id": "520872088106372100",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Gator Mesh (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Gator Mesh",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3b11b1a4314b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:02:34.457009Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-2ed9e1f9de26",
"listing_id": "515242588554214801",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Orange Peel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Orange Peel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2ed9e1f9de26.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:58:24.710216Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-64d604ccd5cf",
"listing_id": "517493591318861578",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Condemned",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-64d604ccd5cf.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:07:11.412051Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "520872088105979016",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:46.740566Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "606438509290341941",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:46.740566Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-674317d93e09",
"listing_id": "507361237008603373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | XoooM (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | XoooM",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-674317d93e09.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:58:23.707692Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "509613089304167139",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:09:02.432289Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-2efacc35df16",
"listing_id": "511864888985117277",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2efacc35df16.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:42.088138Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-2efacc35df16",
"listing_id": "501731789729198609",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2efacc35df16.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:42.088138Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-safehouse:6+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Safehouse Collection ×6+The Harlequin Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Fraise Crane 10.0% $2.60 Sky Mandala 10.0% $1.77 Silver Quartz 20.0% $1.38 Acid Fade 20.0% $1.36 Earth Mandala 10.0% $1.21 Warm Blooded 10.0% $1.06 | $2.60 +98.7% | $1.31 +0.1% | 60.0% | +33.8% | $1.31 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Safehouse Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Fraise Crane 22.5% $2.60 Sky Mandala 22.5% $1.77 Acid Fade 3.3% $1.39 Earth Mandala 22.5% $1.20 Warm Blooded 22.5% $1.05 Teardown 3.3% $0.48 | $2.60 +124.4% | $1.56 +34.7% | 70.8% | +53.3% | $1.16 | — |
The Safehouse Collection ×7+The Harlequin Collection ×3 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Fraise Crane 7.5% $2.60 Sky Mandala 7.5% $1.77 Acid Fade 23.3% $1.39 Earth Mandala 7.5% $1.20 Warm Blooded 7.5% $1.05 Teardown 23.3% $0.48 | $2.60 +202.7% | $1.00 +16.7% | 53.3% | +67.4% | $0.86 | — |